PRO RosterWatch End Zone and Goal-Line Targets Report: Week 3

alex bylineHere you can find a new tool we’ve added for the 2017 season. Each week, we will maniacally go through the All-22 tape on NFL Game Pass and chronicle every time a player is targeted in the end zone. Red-Zone targets are a nice statistic, but are not as telling as being targeted in the actual end zone which is clearly a much higher expected-value event. We could not find this statistic available publicly anywhere else, so our solution was to do it for ourselves and for RosterWatch Nation. We hope the database, which will be updated on Thursdays weekly through Week 15, is one you find useful in making your critical sit/start decisions or in projecting player performance moving forward while gauging value for trades.

A few notes:

– RosterWatch considers an end-zone target a target where the player is targeted either in the end zone, or where a reception occurs as a player is entering the end zone. For example, if Corey Coleman leaps in the air from the 3-yard-line and makes a catch in the air outside of the end zone but lands in the end zone, we count those as end zone targets. A goal-line target is one where the player catches a pass inside the one yard line on plays designed to get him in the end zone.

– RosterWatch considers all end-zone and goal-line targets to count even if the play is nullified by penalty. For example, if Rob Gronkowksi is targeted in the end zone and the defender is called for pass interference giving New England a new set of downs at the one-yard line, the end-zone target will still be counted. This is also the case if the play were to be called back due to holding by an offensive lineman or any other penalty. As long as the play was live when the end-zone target occurred, it will be counted.

– RosterWatch does not award end-zone targets to players closest to the ball when a QB clearly is throwing away a football out of the back of the end-zone.

– RosterWatch counts all end-zone targets, including those on two-point conversions. For example, if Alshon Jeffery catches a pass in the end zone for a two-point conversion, he’ll still be awarded a red-zone target. If the reception is made, a * will be added next to the number in the “TDs” column to indicate it was a conversion attempt rather than a TD. NOT ALL TDs CAUGHT BY A PLAYER WILL BE CHRONICLED IN THE TOOL. For example, if Amari Cooper catches a ball at the 20 yard line and runs it in, it will not be listed. The only TDs listed in the tool are those that occur as a result of end-zone or goal-line targets.

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106 Comments

  1. Post By ninerfn49er@aol.com

    Team name: Fire & Fury
    Record: 1-1

    Gurley or Hyde in ppr tonight?

    Keep up the good work!

    1. Really like them both but if we have to choose one we roll with Gurley. GL

  2. Post By thetzel3@aol.com

    We get 6pts per touchdown I’ve been playing Dak & doing good. Do I drop him for Cutler for this week? I have a stacked bench of good WRs & RBs so I can’t drop anybody without losing them on waiver wire. Daks been consistent for me around 20pts, am I over thinking Cutlers upside this week?

    1. Cutler has a good matchup this week, but I worry you wouldn’t be able to get Dak back if you tossed him into FA. I might just roll with him and hope for the best.

      1. Post By thetzel3@aol.com

        Thanks Alex will roll with Dak

  3. I really like this tool! Thanks again for thinking out of the box. Your site offers so much more than competing sites.

    QB Carr TE Kelce DST Rams
    RB MGordon/DCook/DMartin/TColeman/DHenry/SPerine
    WR MEvans/KAllen/THill/DParker/JKearse/KGolladay

    I picked up Golladay in week 2 waivers and picked up Perine & Kearse in this week’s waivers (dropped Perkins and CColeman).

    My strategy in my Standard scoring, 10-team league (redraft) is to continue building a roster for late/post season through waiver stashes. Thanks to your draft cheat sheet, I have good starters with youth on their side. It’s a 2RB/2WR/1FLEX-RB or WR.

    D’Onta Foreman and Kamara are still available. I’m considering dropping Golladay to pick up Foreman but think I should wait one more week to make this move and hope he’ll be available. Do you agree I should wait for now? And, do you think Kamara is a better stash than Foreman? Based on ROS SOS towards late/post season games, NO has a slight edge but I think Foreman has a better chance at increasing his workload sooner than Kamara and think Lamar Miller might wear down by late season.

    1. thanks – Foreman is the better stash if you’re looking for a player who could blast onto the scene as a major contributor at some point. You can probably wait to pick him up if you plan to use Golladay this weekend, but you’ll want to off yourself if somehow Lamar Miller goes down vs. the Pats. ; )

  4. Post By pulse009@hotmail.com

    ppr start 3 wr and Flex- Sanders, Parker, Hopkins, Jeffrey and McCaffrey?

    1. Would probably leave out Alshon versus Janoris.

  5. Offered Gordon and Terrel Pryor for McCoy and Michael Thomas, PPR

    Other receivers:
    Keenan Allen
    Adam thielen
    Corey Davis
    Kearse
    Rb:
    Cohen
    Buck Allen
    Abdullah
    Proles
    Duke Johnson
    Foreman

    Thoughts. I don’t feel good about McCoy ROS or Thomas with New Orleans O-Line

    1. I was offered. I am the McCoy Owner

      1. I’m a little worried about Shady staying healthy too but you need a stronger piece to pair with with Gordon than Pryor. Pryor may go off this week but the fact is that he’s looked like shit thus far in 2017.

  6. Post By nferreir@hotmail.com

    1 pt ppr. Team name: last year spent more money on spilt liquor… Trade question. I have martavis. Being offered Baldwin for him. Most likely will play this guy in finals and he has Wilson as qb. My other wr are Evans, green and diggs. Thoughts?

    1. I don’t really have a feel for that trade one way or the other. If you want to diversify the type of WR on your roster, you have a bunch of big beasts and maybe a more volume guy like Baldwin could help you out some but I’m not doing backflips to get rid of Martavis on my bench.

  7. What would you trade Hunt for? I was offered Flacco and Cooper for him. I only have Dak as my QB and Beathard. I have Cook Hunt McCaffery Carson Henry Breida Ivory. WR Cobb, Flash Bryant, Diggs, Lockett, Tyrell. Thoughts? I am 2-0 right now.

    1. Don’t trade Hunt for Amari Cooper and Flacco! I wouldn’t trade him for anything less than a mega-stud WR.

      1. Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

        Footsteps Flacco and Cooper???!!! What the hell do they take you for in that league? I never like to say never but I don’t think there is a trade I would make giving away Hunt unless it was so lopsided it wouldn’t be fair…lol. Ride that baller to a championship! And me to rookie of the year at 28/1!!!

  8. Choose 2 PPR:

    Lee, Kupp, Golladay, Agholor and Doctson

    1. Probably Kupp and Golladay

  9. I got a live one here Alex. 12 team PPR. Offered Jarvis Landry for my Buck. Countered it for Keenan Allen. Declined. I’m already stacked with WR2s so I declined Landry. He offered me Kenaan Allen for CJ but as a son of rosterwatch I know thats a CJ offense. RBs are pretty premium in this league. Should I take the Landry deal or do you see a different maniacal trade in there? His guys I like Allen, Crabtree, Landry, Doug Martin, maybe buy low on.
    My Roster
    QB Jameis
    RB Fournette, Lynch, C.J, Buck
    WR Kelvin, Diggs, D.Adams, Martavis, Corey Davis, ZAY
    TE J Reed, G.Olsen

    1. see if he’ll do Keenan + Doug Martin for Buck + Diggs.

  10. Team Name: Sex Panther
    Record 7-3 (5 leagues)
    In one of my leagues I waited a little to long for QB but still felt comfortable rolling into the season with Dalton because I believed in the offense. What a bad read that was! I’m in a good spot in that league despite because I loaded up on RB’s. Do you think that the change in OC is going to have any effect on the offense? Shoudl I give Dalton another week or two? I could drop him for a waiver wire QB. Currently the top 8 options on the wire are Siemian, Goff, Bradford, Palmer, Flacco, Kiezer, Watson or Cutler. On a side note were’s the robot genius been? I listen to the show on XM and the podcast and haven’t heard much of that perverted degenerate.

    1. The little creep doesn’t get home from Belize until Week 4. He needs three weeks of data before his little robot pants start cranking out throbbers. I like Dalton more this week than others, but maybe it would be worthwhile to pick up Siemian just in case he keeps this up. Dalton has always been good in road games with out of conference, out of division opponents and the new OC will pepper AJG. Let’s see how he does this week but roster Siemian just in case he shits the bed again.

  11. Team Name: Sisters of the Poor
    Record: 1-1, 1pt PPR

    Need 1 WR, 2 RB and 1 Flex from the remaining

    WR- Marquise Lee, Davante Parker, D. Funchess
    RB- McCoy, T. Cohen, D. Murray, C. Carson

    Thanks guys!!

    1. McCoy, Cohen, Parker, … Funchess??

      Check back for Trashman’s flex rankings on that last one, I’m not confident in it at all.

  12. Would you pick up either Siemian or Cutler to play over Jameis this week? Or just roll Jameis?

    1. Close call- I’d prob roll Cutler.

  13. Start Parker over tyreek?
    Also for another league how do you feel about Henry and carsons this week? I can start d Jackson or theilen over either of those backs

    1. Gosh a lot of this exact question – I’d prob roll Parker. I love him on the season, and I really love him this week.

      1. Sorry I didn’t have a chance to read the posts to see it asked over and over. thanks for the answer anyways. You guys are the best!

  14. Post By rahulkaul641@gmail.com

    I just got offered this deal should I take it?

    Send Todd Gurley, LAR RB from RB to SPUD
    Send Jarvis Landry, Mia WR from FLEX to SPUD
    Receive DeMarco Murray, Ten RB from SPUD to Bench
    Receive Antonio Brown, Pit WR from SPUD to Bench
    Receive Tyrell Williams, LAC WR from SPUD to Bench

    1. Close call- I think I’d rather have the Gurley / Landry side.

  15. Flex question: Devante Parker (if healthy) or Tyreek?

    1. Parker

  16. Standard league, starting K. Hunt. Would like to start 2 more (1 RB spot, 1 Flex)
    D. Cook, C. Hyde, J. Allen, C. Carson

    Which 2?

    1. Personally – I’m getting Dalvin back in-regardless of the “matchup”- people don’t know he had sick TD called back last week. He’s ready to rumble back at home on the fast track. While, useful this is still very early season matchup data.

      And, you have to get Allen in. Crazy wold we’re living in. If you hate the matchup for Dalvin, I’m to sure you can like it a whole lot more for Hyde- logic would dictate to roll the dice on Carson in that scenario. Again, for me- I feel better with Dalvin. But all great options this week!

  17. Two questions:

    1) pick 2: Chris Thompson, Tarik Cohen, or Buck Allen in a 1 PPR League.

    2) Pick 3: AJ Green, Tyree Hill, Keenan Allen, or DeVante Parker in a Non-PPR League.

    Thanks guys. Y’all are the best.

    1. LOL- love these options – they are so RWNation!

      Feels like another great week to play Thompson, this one I tough. I’d make sure to get Allen in – then watch the status of Jordan Howard and Rob Kelley along with the matchup tool to make the decision on the other two.

      I can’t bench Keenan Allen right now, and I have to hit the streets again this week with the new Ferrari – DeVante Parker

      Great option either way with Green or Hill- I think I’d roll AJ and hope for a breakout v GB.

  18. Post By chuckcnc@icloud.com

    Need to start one of these at my flex:

    Kenny Golloday
    Jermaine Kearse
    Rashard Higgins

    Just looking for the lowest Floor from this position.

    1. Post By chuckcnc@icloud.com

      1/2 point PPR

    2. I’d roll Kearse.

  19. Proud member of Rosterwatch Nation! Have Cook in several leagues without a backup. Love his matchup this week but he’s got a Q tag for a late game.
    1) Do I drop him for Fleener in a PPR league?
    2) Drop him for Gates, Engram, Njoku, or Everett in standard leagues?

    Thanks!

    1. Yeah, I’d drop for Fleener- just because I like FLeener more to develop as a potential season long option.

      Super close on those other guys- think I’d roll with whoever has the best matchup. Cook’s upside is pretty limited, but I don’t think he’ll blank you.

      Njoku might have more upside if you’re a gambling man.

  20. Team Name: Glennon’s Neck. 14-team standard. Need a TE this week. I have J Graham, G Everett & just picked up B Watson. Start Everett tonight or wait until Sunday?

    1. Haha, team name.

      I’d prob roll Watson.

      1. Thanks B!

  21. Are we looking at a possible Riddick monster week against the Falcons? We saw what Ty did, but he rushed the ball. Falcons bulldoze the Lions and it’s a dump off game for Riddick? Or am I just blowing that out my ass? Thanks guys!

    1. It’s a good chain of logic. I’m not mortgaging the house with it. But, def a reasonable spot play in a pinch.

  22. Hey guys, lost David Johnson Greg olsen and started 0-2! Need to win this week.
    I need one in each position

    Parker or Jeffrey
    Chris Thompson or Chris johnson (yuk)
    Engram, Watson, Miller, j Thomas, clay or ed dickson

    I need upside

    1. 0.5 ppr

    2. Parker

      If RKelley is def out- I’m taking my chances with Thompson again

      Yikes- prob Watson or Thomas.

  23. Trade Lynch for ODB today, receivers are now Julio Jones, ODB and Keenan Allen. Montgomery, Gillislee, Jarvorius Allen by other RB’s. Now I’m thinking about trading Keenan Allen and Gillislee or Allen for Zeke.

    Pull trigger?

    1. Yes- if you can pull all of that off- those are solid moves- and you are a good player!

  24. would you drop OJ Howard for Hooper? I also have Eifert

    1. Meh. I’m not thrilled with Hooper’s target volume right now.

  25. One PPR flex spot…Garcon, Watkins, or Hunter Henry?

    1. Prob Garcon. Jeez.

      If you’re looking to gamble on a big play – either of the others are fine- hard to imagine you’ll miss an epic performance from Garcon if you bench.

      With no Eric Berry and a good matchup – Henry is sneaky . So, either he or Garcon for me.

  26. 1pt ppr – Alshon, Kupp or Chris Carson for FLEX? Thanks guys

    1. I’d wait to to decide between Alshon and Carson.

  27. Post By antmcdaniel88@gmail.com

    Dk question. Are you fading the two backs tonight?

    1. Think you can play Gurley if you want- we tend to fade all the TNF Players when we enter a TNF slate.

  28. What do you guys think about A Collins? Especially if T west misses this week.

    1. Meh- just makes us love Buck even more.

  29. 12 Team .5 PPR

    [1] QB: Mariota
    [2] RB: Gordon, Lynch (J. Howard, Perine, Sproles)
    [2] WR: Jeffery, Parker (C. Davis, Sanu)
    [1] TE: Reed (Eifert)
    [1] W/R/T: Kearse
    Bench total: (6)

    1) Yikes so with the cheatsheet this year I ended up with the two most fragile TEs and this week I might be screwed if neither can go! SO who is the drop here so I can pick up one of Engram or Cook ?!

    2) Also with Mariota’s low ranking this week, do I still roll him out vs. SEA or drop someone else to pick up and play Cousins vs. OAK or Palmer vs. DAL?

    1. Drop Sproles or Sanu

      Pick up Cousins.

  30. 8 team ppr 5 keepers we play 2-QB, 2-RB, 2-WR, 2- Flex, 1-TE
    I have a trade offer for D. Cook and I would get AJ Green and Mm Ingram
    RB: Hunt, Cook, Buck Allen, Miller Murray, Mixon, Foreman, Mack
    WR: Jeffery, D. Thomas, M. Jones, Kearse, Kupp,

    I tried to trade him Murray, Miller & Foreman Declined

    Do I need to upgrade WR or just stay put
    Thanks

    1. I’d pursue AJ – but would not ship Dalvin. Send Murray , Miller, or Buck Allen- tools in a low end WR if you have to.

      1. Thanks to all for joining me for this Q&A! I’ll see y’all in the future!

      2. *toss in

  31. Post By kkisell@courtsplus.org

    Flex, 1 pt ppr. TY Hilton, T Coleman, C Kupp, C Carson or J Howard?

  32. team name: Hunt and Cook
    Record 2-0

    full point ppr do i start ameer abdullah or cooper kupp as my flex

    1. Abdullah

  33. Thanks for the help, 2-0, points leader! Starting Hunt n Gurley, AB n K Allen. For TE, go with Hooper or Hunter Henry? For flex, L Miller, Garçon, Kupp, or Tyrell William? Love Rosterwatch!

    1. Henry

      Yikes on flex- I’d probably give Kupp a spin!

  34. Full point PPR, 12 teams for above question. Sorry.

  35. Hate Thursday Night games. Already have Gurley and Rams Defense going. Kearse over Kupp to limit exposure? Full PPR.

    Thanks

  36. Should I start Kearse or Derrick Henry in my flex? I also have Kupp and M. Lee, if that helps. Standard scoring.

    Side note. I had Foreman on the bench and Graham as my starter at te. I dropped Foreman and picked up Ebron. Now I have two te. Do I roll with that, it get Foreman back, and for who?

  37. PPR DYNASTY. got an offer of brady and lamar miller for darrick carr.. i get carr(i may can get dez included in the deal) we start 2qbs 3rb 3wr 1Flex 1TE DEF. we have 10 bench spots.. its an 8 team league. if i get rid of miller i will still have cj anderson, hyde, kareem hunt, joe mixon, perine, darkwa. my WRS are julio, ODB, devante parker, crabtree, martavious bryant,maclin.. as u can see i dont neet miller so this is pretty much going from brady to carr and this is a dynasty league. i dont really need dez as u can see. he has jamal charles and since i have cj anderson, i can try to get charles included in the deal.. is it worth it? or even if i dont get charles or anything else, is it worth it? my feeling is that miller is on borrowed time

  38. Post By mjgoodsman@live.com

    I am sorry for being a pest but how do you go about getting trade to other managers & how do you go about evaluating who you should target to acquire?

  39. I’ve been a Sirius listener for a couple of years now, but this my first season as a pro member of the RW Nation. Really enjoying all your tools from draft prep to in season management.
    My team is sick (10 team league so it should be), but WR heavy, because .5 PPR AND 1 pt EVERY 7 yards receiving. All other scoring is standard except 1 pt every 30 yards passing. I have Antonio Brown and Ty Montgomery locked in.
    Which 2 of these 4 WR should I start this week?
    Cooks, Tyreke, Hopkins, Crabtree
    Which 1 of these 3 RB should I start this week?
    Howard, Cohen, Perine

    Thank you.

  40. Standard League

    Need 1 RB 1 WR 1 Flex

    Henry
    Cohen
    Coleman
    M Bryant
    Jeffery
    Howard

  41. I was offered Big Ben and AJ Green for Hunt? 1 pt ppr. Take it?

    1. Who is your current QB? Who are your other RBs?

  42. Hey need one rb one flex in a standard league.

    Mcaffrey
    Mixon
    Marshall
    Gillislee
    Henry
    Cohen
    Kearse

  43. The Lamborghini!
    Love it. The nation is strong!

  44. .5 ppr

    Should I trade my dalvin cook and alshon for zeke? To create a 3 headed monster of Bell, Gurley and Zeke.

    I have proposed Doug Martin and Jeffery right now for zeke and he is thinking hard, however I’m thinking if I change Martin to cook, it might get it done.

    My other WRs are: K Allen, Emmanuel sanders and Hilton

  45. Post By kkisell@courtsplus.org

    Flex, 1 pt ppr. TY Hilton, T Coleman, C Carson or J Howard? Thanks!

    1. I’d roll Coleman or Hilton.

  46. Couple questions for you guys. I was offered Davante Adams for cooper straight up. I am getting sick of the crabtree weeks and coopers hit or miss weeks. would you do this trade?.

    Also do i bench Murray ands start Heny in my flex this week?

    Thanks for your help

    1. Really close- if Jordy and / or Cobb appeared out for extended time, I’d say so. Otherwise, I think I’d stay put. Cooper is getting the targets in an offense that looks fantastic.

  47. .5ppr. Flex spot…. Kearse, Cohen, or Lee?

    .5ppr Flex spot…. Mixon, Cohen, or DJax?

    1. Prob Cohen, maybe Kearse

      tough call, Mixon feels on verge of a breakout. DJAx could do some work here, this week – he’s a bad matchup for those DBs. Cohen feels safest. Tough call between DJax and Cohen. If I wasn’t sure I’d roll Cohen.

  48. Post By sattmchrupp@yahoo.com

    I have Mariota as my QB. I am somewhat hesitant to start him this week with him going against Seattle. The top QBs available are the following..

    Wentz
    Siemian
    Smith
    Dalton
    Goff
    Palmer

    Should I pick up Wentz or Palmer as a stream option this week?

    1. Go with Wentz!

  49. So I wake up this morning to both a trade offer and a text message regarding said trade offer. The offer is to send AB and CJA for Ajayi and Gronk. Not a huge fan because obviously as a nation we aren’t willing to get rid of our Ferraris for less than what they are worth. I’m looking at his roster and he has no WRs except Garcon that are worthy of starting. However, he has Gordon, Montgomery, and Ajayi. I’m willing to get rid of AB for two of the monsters he has in his stable. Trying to figure out if its worth it and what piece I should probably throw in with AB. My RBs are CJA, Martin, Coleman, Riddick, Miller, and the newest addition off waivers Perine. WRs are AB, Tyreke, Keenan, Hilton, and Watkins. I need guidance. This goes out to all RWN for help please. Thanks gentlemen and have a great weekend.

    1. SO I’ll start by saying, I wouldnt want Gronk back in any trade. Dont want to sign up for that injury headache.

      You are deep enough at WR where giving up Brown wont kill you, but I would be trying to use Hilton or Watkins. Watkins could get a value boost after last nights game too.

      If you could get just one of his RBs for Hilton or Watkins, thats the route I would go. If Im you, I want to hold onto CJA and add to be RB depth.

      1. I like this too- don’t completely trust Gronk- see the deal I just outlined. Watkins is a great sell high right now! Maybe you could go Watkins + Miller for a studly RB!

    2. I like your thinking. I’d toss him AB and Lamar Miller and see if I could get Gordon and Gronk or two of the RBs . If not, you never feel bad about having AB.

      Otherwise toss him Tyreek and Miller for one of those sick RBs!

  50. Was offered Aaron Rodgers for Doug Martin

    Should I jump on this?

    QB Scoring:.5 per completion 1pt per 50 yards 6pt TD

    Also, Andrew luck was just dropped, and I have a claim in on him.

    Should I trade for Rodgers or hold out and see if I can land Luck?

    Roster:

    QB: Russell Wilson
    Wr: Keenan Allen, Alshon Jeffery, TY Hilton, Emmanuel Sanders
    RB: Bell,Gurley, Cook, Martin, Carson, Foreman
    TE: Walker

    1. Damn you have 3 studs and then add in Martin next week? I would say that deal is worth it when you can demolish with those 3 RBs already.

    2. I dont like giving up RB depth when I dont have to. With how volatile the RB position is, the more horse int eh stable, the better.

      That said, its not a bad deal value wise. I just dont think you have to have Rodgers/Brady/Brees to win.

      1. Thx for lending a helping hand Rschader! You too Tanner, that is awesome!

  51. Post By chuckcnc@icloud.com

    Ebron or Hunter Henry?

    I had Rams defense this week. Do you recommend I look for floors or ceilings?

    I am thinking I don’t need to panic and I should be focused on higher floors but certainly need to make up some ground.

    Thanks in advance

    1. You need to just keep making the best sit / starts possible and not worry about cockamamie logic and strategies. I’d go with whichever of those two TE is higher in our rankings- I like them both. Henry is my guy.

  52. Suffering from TE injuries. trying to pick up someone off the waiver wire. Should I grab Clay with those 3 end zone targets, even up against Denver? Otherwise, Cook, Miller, Brate and James are available. Who do you think has the best matchup combined with the most upside? Thanks!

  53. 1ppt PPR league. I have Jay Ajayi and worried over chronic knee issues. Who yo pick up: Damien Williams or Kenyon Drake?

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