Trashman’s Fantasy Fallout Going Into Week 10
Adrian Peterson is getting 30+ carries, and Marshawn Lynch is scoring multiple TDs. It’s like 2012 all over again, including my absence of a social life during the football season. Let’s face it, it will probably always be that way. I can’t complain though. Here’s the fallout going into Week 10 folks….
Bengals vs Jaguars
- Joe Mixon isn’t lighting the world on fire with his 2.9 YPC, but the Bengals are intent on getting him the ball. Jeremy Hill had actually started every game until Week 9, but missed the game on Sunday with an ankle injury. If he can’t go this week, that just gives Mixon a few more snaps he wasn’t already getting.
- Tyler Kroft is proving to be a weekly high floor TE play. He’ll be particularly useful this week if Green is suspended.
- Chris Ivory took over the lead back role when T.J. Yeldon fumbled early in the game and had a good day overall. It’s probably all for naught, as Coach Doug Marrone stated early on Monday that Leonard Fournette is likely to return to the field this week.
- Dede Westbrook was held out of the game as a healthy scratch. Apparently he needs more practice reps before he gets game action. Monitor his progress, but he should make his debut this week.
Broncos vs Eagles
- Devontae Booker was the Broncos’ most effective rusher on Sunday, though it was only on 6 carries. He should start to see more snaps moving forward and is a speculative add for those who need RB help.
- Brock Osweiler was impotent under center as expected, but he wasn’t any worse than Trevor Siemian has been. He seems to like Demaryius Thomas a lot but doesn’t seem as inclined to target TE A.J. Derby, so take that into account moving forward.
- Rookie RB Corey Clement led all Eagles in carries with 12, and scored 3 TDs on the day. Makes you wonder if getting Ajayi was money worth spending. The Eagles admire his pass-blocking skill, so he should maintain a role going forward. The Philly backfield could become a game of musical chairs so random even the Patriots would blush at, but Clement needs to be owned all the same.
- Jay Ajayi fit right into the Eagles RB rotation Sunday and scampered off for a 46 yard score. Corey Clement‘s breakout muddies his outlook a bit, but Ajayi looks like an RB2 moving forward.
- Zach Ertz was a last minute inactive on Sunday, to much chagrin, but he should be able to return after Philly’s bye this week. No need to add Trey Burton.
Buccaneers vs Saints
- Jameis Winston‘s shoulder is not right, and Tampa pass-catchers are going to suffer for it until it’s healed. Ryan Fitzpatrick will start at least the next two weeks, and though Fitz isn’t much of a cure to what ails, he was serviceable in a Week 6 start this season and should be reinvigorated to face his former team, the Jets.
- Doug Martin had an abysmal game on Sunday with only 7 yards on 8 carries. He was replaced by Peyton Barber at the beginning of the 2nd half when the Bucs were trailing by just 13, so it may not have been due to the score. This is a situation to monitor, and Barber should be picked up if you’re a Martin owner.
- Mike Evans is suspended for 1 game following his dust up with Marshaun Lattimore. DeSean Jackson, Cameron Brate, and Adam Humphries get bumps. O.J. Howard will be a boom or bust TE2.
- The Saints have been on a roll blowing people out, and Michael Thomas has paid for it. The Saints are keeping the ball on the ground and in the hands of their backs in efforts to use up clock. They have some tougher matchups coming up though, so perhaps they’ll turn to Thomas sooner than later.
- Mark Ingram‘s carries and fantasy output have been negatively correlated with Alvin Kamara‘s output over the last 4 games. He did play 60% of snaps on Sunday though. He’s more of an RB2 now, while Kamara is flirting with RB1 territory.
Colts vs Texans
- Almost a week after Frank Gore was almost traded, the Colts fed him 17 carries, which is his second highest total this season. He out-snapped Marlon Mack 40 – 27 as well. Gore isn’t going away, and in fact I like his chances a lot this week against a Steelers team that stifles the pass. I actually like Mack in this one too, as a pass-catcher.
- T.Y. Hilton goes big in good matchups. He all but disappears in bad ones, like this week versus the Steelers.
- Tom Savage did the best impression of Deshaun Watson he could, which isn’t one at all, but at least he didn’t throw any picks. He threw 1 TD to DeAndre Hopkins, who was peppered all day to the tune of 16 targets. All other pass-catchers fell off a cliff, production wise. Going forward, Hopkins is the only Houston WR you can depend on on a weekly basis, which is actually better than I thought.
- D’Onta Foreman saw 11 carries to Lamar Miller‘s 10, but Miller out-snapped, out-touched, and out-produced the rookie. They’ll continue to sap each other’s value from week to week, but they should both be leaned on more by Savage as he tries to manage the offense.
Falcons vs Panthers
- Julio Jones has a lower leg injury but came out fine against the Panthers. He’ll probably be limited in practice all week, but he’ll be good to go at home against Dallas this week.
- A week after Tevin Coleman out-touched Devonta Freeman, Freeman led the backfield on Sunday, though Coleman was able to score a TD, and Freeman has been kept out of the end-zone since Week 4. Both will be reasonable plays against Dallas this week, though Freeman is looking more like a RB2 than RB1 this season.
- Christian McCaffrey‘s carries tripled in Week 9 from his average of 5 to 15. His usage is likely to stay in this range from here on out, as the Panthers try to make up for the loss of Kelvin Benjamin.
- Curtis Samuel was targeted 5 times to Russell Shepard‘s 2. I guess he’s up to speed now. Samuel will be hit or miss, but he has track-star speed and can be added in deeper formats.
Rams vs Giants
- Jared Goff had a field-day against the Giants on Sunday, and he should continue to roll this week against Houston. Beware after that though. He faces MIN, NO, ARI, PHI, and SEA in the following weeks. Todd Gurley is the only safe start over that period.
- Don’t be too concerned with Malcolm Brown‘s 15 carries to Todd Gurley‘s 16. The Rams had a big lead for the majority of the game, and Gurley was no longer needed. With the Rams’ tough schedule and Gurley’s estimated workload though, it would be wise to add Brown if you own Gurley.
- Robert Woods is LA’s most consistent WR and needs to be owned in all formats.
- Orleans Darkwa seems to have a loose grip on the lead spot in the Giants backfield. He gets a nice matchup versus the 49ers this week, so play him.
- To no one’s surprise, Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard led the Giants in targets with 19 and 9 respectively. Tavarres King was the target on multiple deep shots though and could provide some usefulness in deep leagues this week against the lowly 49ers.
Ravens vs Titans
- Alex Collins fell behind Buck Allen in snaps as the Ravens fell behind in the score on Sunday. He’ll bounce back against the Packers after the bye this week, but the same can’t be said for Allen. Danny Woodhead is eligible to return at that point and would likely eat into Allen’s snaps. Woodhead is one to add if you’re sitting comfortably at the top of your league.
- Jeremy Maclin had his best game of the 2017 season, 98 yards on 9 catches, on Sunday and has an extra week to heal up his shoulder before he gets back to it. He’s only owned in 62% of leagues so there’s a fair chance he’s still available in yours.
- DeMarco Murray is dealing with a knee injury which may or may not keep him out this week. It’s most likely that he’ll suit up and run half-assed, limiting his and Derrick Henry‘s value. It’s a situation I’d avoid if possible.
- Corey Davis only had a couple of catches his first week back, but he played 75% of snaps and came out healthy. He needs to be added in all formats.
Cardinals vs 49ers
- It’s unrealistic to think that Adrian Peterson can maintain his health on 35+ carries every week, but you have to ride him while he’s hot. Adding Kerywn Williams, if you have the luxury to do so, isn’t a terrible idea.
- Drew Stanton resembled an actual NFL QB in this one, but the 49ers aren’t exactly a suitable litmus test. I’ll consider trusting Cardinals WRs if he can have a decent day against Seattle this week. I do think Andre Ellington could see considerable looks this week with Seattle shutting down the outside of the field.
- Carlos Hyde, Marqise Goodwin and Aldrick Robinson were the biggest beneficiaries of the Pierre Garcon injury, with Hyde leading the way with 11 targets. Hyde’s schedule is brutal, but his usage in the passing game should help keep him afloat.
- C.J. Beathard looked just not bad enough to fend of an early appearance of Jimmy Garoppolo. With the season all but lost, we may not see Garoppolo under center this season, as long as Beathard continues to make progress.
Redskins vs Seahawks
- Josh Doctson only had 3 catches on the day, but on of them was a fantastic 38 yard diving grab that may have saved the game for Washington. There is hope for him yet, and he’s worth holding onto, largely because no other WRs are doing enough to push him.
- Vernon Davis should retain value even if Jordan Reed returns this week. He’s one of the few Washington pass-catchers who’s pulling his weight.
- Rob Kelley is the definition of TD dependent with 18 yards behind his 2 TDs on Sunday. 18 yards on 14 carries mind you.
- Eddie Lacy started for the Seahawks but was injured, leaving an opening for Thomas Rawls who looked better anyway. If Lacy has to sit, Rawls makes for a decent play against Arizona this week.
- Tyler Lockett had 8 targets on Sunday but could only come down with 2 of them for 10 yards on the day. This just goes to show that Russell Wilson is targeting him on deep plays. With Patrick Peterson likely to control Doug Baldwin most of the day in Week 10, Lockett and Paul Richardson make for reasonable starts.
Cowboys vs Chiefs
- Kareem Hunt only played 54% of snaps against the Cowboys, and it’s no surprise the Chiefs lost. Not sure if they’re limiting his touches to keep him fresh or what, but no Hunt means no win. He’ll get things right against the Giants in Week 11.
- Ezekiel Elliott‘s “final” hearing will be this Thursday, but it’s unlikely we’ll hear a decision before Sunday, meaning he’ll most likely be available against Atlanta this week. That would mean he wouldn’t be available for the fantasy playoffs would the suspension come down on Monday or thereafter. Hopefully he’s gotten you to a nice comfy spot on the top of your league leaderboard by this point. The ride may be coming to an end…
- Dez Bryant left the game with an ankle injury on Sunday, but seems likely to play in Week 10, despite probably missing practice for most of the week. Terrance Williams performed admirably on Sunday and could be in a for a larger role this week with Bryant dealing with the injury or Zeke missing the game.
Raiders vs Dolphins
- Of course Marshawn Lynch has his best game of the season the one week I sit him. Lynch looked hungry, and hopefully they keep feeding him in week 11 against the Patriots. DeAndre Washington and Jalen Richard carried the ball sparingly behind Lynch in this one and aren’t advised play in week 11.
- With the Oakland WRs dropping almost everything that touched their fingers, Derek Carr relied on Jared Cook to help move the chains on Sunday night, resulting in a 128 yard monster. He’ll stay involved against the Patriots.
- Kenyan Drake and Damien Williams touched the ball 15 and 13 times each on Sunday night, with Williams nabbing the TD. Drake looked like the better runner, but Williams was an effective pass-catcher. Both will be shaky flex plays this week against the Panthers on Monday night, though Drake is the stronger play.
- DeVante Parker may have tweaked something in Week 9, so his condition will be worth monitoring this week. He stepped back into heavy targets upon his return to action on Sunday night and is a high upside play moving forward, if he can stay healthy.