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PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 16 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 16 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring.

By gathering the early offshore over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to both sites’ pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings and FanDuel lineups.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long or playoff-only leagues.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them early. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

26 Comments

  1. NEED WR Help. 4 separate leagues:

    * I need 2 of 3 WRs (1/2 ppr): FUNCHESS, ALSHON or GORDON?

    *I need 1 WR ( 1point pr): ALSHON or JUJU?

    *I need 1 WR ( Non PPR): Josh Gordon or Sterling shepherd??

    *I need 1 WR ( 1/2 ppr):Tyreek H or Doug Baldwin ??

    Thanks In Advance ROSTERWATCH NATION. It’s time to bring some more Championships home!!!

    1. funchess, gordon. juju. shepard. hill

  2. Thank you for another great season! PPR league championship game: I’m facing Bell, Hunt, and Kamara. Thankfully, I have Gurley. I also have Kennan and DeAndre. I’m considering starting Martaivis over Julio for upside. Talk me off of the ledge . . .

    1. you can’t do it in a ppr format. bell gets the biggest boost in pitt anyway. bryant probably third on totem

  3. Hey guys, Merry Christmas! Let’s see if we can make this a great holiday season. Standard league. Need to make a decision for 3rd RB. Riddick or J. Williams? Trashman rankings have Riddick over Williams, the reverse on the site rankings. We have Vegas props for Williams but none for Riddick. Suggestions?

    1. tm rankings are half pt ppr. i’m fine with williams in standard

  4. thanks for what you’ve done this season. I need a flex, my options are

    Mixon
    Jeffery
    Bryant

  5. Post By PolishNationFF

    Keenum or Bortles

    PPR
    AJ or Westbrook

  6. Post By daary1985@hotmail.com

    Golden Tate or Sterling Shepherd & Roethlisberger or Winston , Taylor, Mariota

  7. Two important questions to win my championship:
    PPR need two -S. Shepard, M Goodwin, M Jones, G Tate, (I start Stafford) AND
    PPR need one – M Davis, K Bibbs, Gilislee, Gallman, Powell
    Thank You!

  8. Bibbs Gillislee or Gallman #2 flex ppr

  9. I need 2. Brees, Rivers, Foles

    1. rivers, brees if thomas plays

  10. PPR. need upside. 1 wr and 1 flex. cooks, robert woods, crabtree, mixon, hyde, ebron

  11. Post By Ryze75@hotmail.com

    Good Morning and THANKS for your advice last week!! MUCH APPRECIATED!!!
    Well I made it to the SuperBowl first time ever… I have a a few hard choices to make today and NEED YOUR HELP SIR….. I have Gurley , Zeke , L.Fournette , Jordan Howard…which 3 is best combo to destroy my Opponent….also . MY WR’s are – Keenan Allen – Dez Bryant – AJ Green – Keenan Cole ?? Can you PLEASE help answer Which 3 RB’s & which 3 WR’s to play that give me the best combo and chance to win?? I had Flacco Yesterday..He had McKinnon…I have Gronk today too!! Lastly Which DST -CHICAGO OR KC???
    THANKS FOR YOUR TIME! Love all the content on the site-!!!

    1. sit howard and cole, play chicago. good luck my friend!

      1. Post By Ryze75@hotmail.com

        Thanks For your help!

  12. Post By Ryze75@hotmail.com

    OHHH ITS STANDARD SCORING..THANKS AGAIN

  13. Post By Ryze75@hotmail.com

    Maybe too long of a question…Sorry
    Gurley – Zeke – Fournette – Howard? Need 3?
    &
    Keenan Allen – Dez – AJ Green – K.Cole? Need 3?
    I have Olsen as a possible flex too.. standard.
    KC Or Chicago?
    Please Help. Thanks Sir

  14. Post By Ryze75@hotmail.com

    GOTCHA-!!!! THANKS VERY MUCH

  15. Post By Ryze75@hotmail.com

    LOL…Just ONE MORE QUESTION!
    I have Gronk at TE… also Zeke and Dez in my lineup so would it be smart to play Greg Olsen Today over Dez in the Flex.. or leave it the way it is. Once again THANK YOU-!!

  16. Who to sit PPR: Michael Thomas, AJ Green, Tyreek Hill, Robert Woods?

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