Week 9 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 9 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

22 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Oldschool92

    Where is Zeke on the sheets? Have you accounted for that yet? Its the #7 matchup per the tool and they have fed him every game and he is hungrier not taking any week for granted. I think I may make a lot of money this week for people not doing their own research this week after Deshaun 🙁 went out and Zeke came back this morning. All Dez? May get his but its not a Dak to Dez week anymore like I see everywhere.

    1. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

      Do not over think things!!! Start your studs! If Zeke is playing you are starting him!

  2. ↓ Post By Uncle_Maynard

    Would you trade the Jags D for Deandre Hopkins? Std league. My other WR’s are Keenan Allen, Funchess, Marvin Jones and Julio.

  3. ↓ Post By xraytakr

    I have an open bench spot from losing Garcon. Should I grab R Smith, Forte, Zay, Doctson, or Golladay?

    I have Hunt, Mixon, T Coleman, Darkwa, Evans, K Allen, Golden Tate, Funchess, and Corey Davis.

    RIP Cook, OBJ, Garcon, Corey Coleman, and Watson!

    1. ↓ Post By xraytakr

      I could also grab Paul Richardson.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Prob Forte or PRich.

  4. ↓ Post By nctarheelfan

    Hi Guys,

    I have a trade question. I am being offered Micheal Thomas and the Lions D for Stefon Diggs, DeMarco Murray, and JuJu Smith Schuster. What do you think?

    Also, any advice about a good streaming defense this week? The Cardinals, Ravens, Titans, Packers, Broncos are available. Thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      That’s probably giving up too much, but I think we’d do it if the rest of your roster is solid. You are “overpaying” , but you are also front loading the equity in your roster exactly as discussed on the TradeCast.

      I’d probably do it. Thomas is the best player, and we like him down the stretch.

  5. ↓ Post By nctarheelfan

    Sorry but that trade is in a 1/2 point PPR league.

  6. ↓ Post By pepster68

    Thanks for the help. 12 team ppr, 6-2. Traded L Miller for zeke 2 days ago. I now have Hunt Gurley n zeke with AB, K Allen. Start 2 RBs and flex. Was hoping to have zeke weeks 15&16. Should i hold him or trade him?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Damn sonny, you’re feeling like a slick wheeler / dealer right now. Hold Zeke.

  7. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Hey guys, in my 12 team $200 salary cap dynasty keeper league I got offered a trade. Aaron Jones $23
    Will fuller $6
    For
    D. Freeman $34

    My team is 4-4, I’m in 5th place.

    Qb- Wilson/Cam
    Rb- K Hunt, D Martin, Mixon, A Jones and Darkwa
    Wr- Dez, Diggs, E Sanders, W fuller, P Rich
    Te- Ertz

    My team should be like 6-2 but I played the wrong players. Idiot.. I should also be able to return everyone next year aside from Dez $49 right now, he’ll prolly be $60 next year.

    Does this trade help me enough to go after a ship this year or should I hold with who I have?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      We want Freeman.

  8. ↓ Post By Incognito

    On your FLEX rankings you have Fuller higher than Parker and Collins. Does this take into account that Watson is out? Or is IND that bad a defense. Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Doubtful that Trashman had updated those for Watson. He’s pretty lazy. I’d def roll Collins and Parker over Fuller .

      1. ↓ Post By Incognito

        thanks — between Parker and Collins who would choose?

  9. ↓ Post By rudymazzocca@yahoo.com

    Thoughts on McKinnon from Minn. would you give away diggs to get mckinnon in a ppr? My other wr are evans, m thomas, allen and kupp. My rb are d martin, lynch, cj anderson, al morris, riddick. Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yes.

  10. ↓ Post By scrtlj@aol.com

    Just curious why the Monday night games are never involved with the lineup builder.

    1. ↓ Post By xraytakr

      Monday night games aren’t on the “main” slate……on FD at least. No idea about DK.

  11. ↓ Post By jjorris13@gmail.com

    (2) WR & (1) Flex. PPR:
    Doctson
    Pryor
    Ross
    Brandon Coleman
    Damien Williams
    Ellington

  12. ↓ Post By pulse009@hotmail.com

    Start 2 in ppr– CJ Anderson, D. Parker and Peterson?

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