RosterWatch

Trade and Free Agency Fallout: What’s Happened, Fantasy Implications

There have been a plethora of intriguing moves made in the NFL over the past week or so, and I’ve sussed out the ones involving skill players that will affect you as a fantasy owner the most. They are, not necessarily in order of importance, as follows:

Quarterback

Nick Foles to the Rams: It might have more to do with the fact that Chip Kelly just wants to clean house as Foles was inherited from the prior regime, and the guy who they brought in to replace him, Sam Bradford, isn’t exactly the epitome of a mobile QB. It could also have to do with a maniacal attempt on Kelly’s part to ship Bradford off for a chance to move up in this year’s draft to nab Marcus Mariota, although Kelly denied those rumors Wednesday to the Philly media. We shall see. Fantasy wise, the Rams O-line still needs a lot of work and Foles won’t have the caliber of weapons he possessed in Philly. He might flirt with QB1 status on occasion, but I don’t have high hopes for Foles this season.

Sam Bradford to the Eagles: This is kind of a head scratcher as Bradford isn’t who one would expect Chip Kelly to choose as the centerpiece of his offense. Rumors have it that it’s all just a scheme to get an earlier pick in the draft, which doesn’t sound that crazy coming from Kelly. If the plan doesn’t work out, Kelly is left with a QB who isn’t all that different from the one he just shipped off. That being said, Bradford will have an opportunity to put up QB1 numbers on a regular basis, as he’s an improvement on Mark Sanchez and Sanchez was more than fantasy relevant during his tenure as a starter last season.

Ryan Mallett/Brian Hoyer to the Texans: Mallett is the favorite going in, but Hoyer could definitely win out a competition for the starting spot. Both guys have worked with Bill O’Brien in New England, so they are familiar with his system. I’m not bullish on either as the future for Houston, but both are capable of putting up serviceable fantasy numbers in that offense for the time being. It’s a good real-football move to bring in a veteran exactly like Hoyer to push a young player in Mallett with stiff, smart competition instead of anointing Mallett on Day 1.

Ryan Fitzpatrick to the Jets: A shitty underwhelming choice for an underwhelming team, offensively. It would be nice to pair Brandon Marshall with a big arm, but we’ll have to make due with Fitzpatrick’s pee-pee pop-gun instead. I guess it’s getting ahead of myself to say he’ll be the starter, but Fitz is more consistent than Geno Smith is and should have a longer leash. On the plus side, we know Fitz can put up QB1 numbers, he was No. 9 on the season in 2014, so he could be a player to use in daily or as a spot-starter at times.

Running Back

LeSean McCoy to the Bills: I’d be upset too if I was McCoy, but at least he’ll get paid. This actually might work in our favors in fantasy, as it was becoming a crapshoot every week to see if Kelly would implement McCoy heavily into his gameplan. At least we can be sure that Shady will get major action in Buffalo, even if he’s not tailor-made for the offense. The biggest loser here is Fred Jackson. He’ll be a change of pace back at best for his twilight years in Buffalo.

Demarco Murray to the Eagles: Bradford recruited in Murray, his boy from back at Oklahoma and the NFL’s reigning rushing leader. We don’t like the move for Murray’s outlook in dynasty, the Philly OL is nowhere near the group he had in Dallas and the Chip Kelly offense alone is not an equalizer in trying to project future production. Plus, he’s still an injury concern and a faster-paced offense means more touches. If we’re Murray owners in dynasty, we’re checking the temperature with league mates about trade offers. If an owner would give up two first-round rookie picks, we’d be very tempted to hit accept.

Frank Gore to the Colts: Gore was almost an Eagle before he realized that Chip Kelly is a mad man. With better receivers and a superstar QB, Gore realized that he has a better chance of ending up with a ring in Indy and he could play for more of a player’s coach there. He’s still a force to be reckoned with on the ground, and he’s a superb pass blocker as well – making this pairing a seamless one. We can’t tell from mocks just yet, but it may very well be the case that you can stock up on elite WRs and a QB before taking a very serviceable Gore several rounds in. He will easily flirt with RB1 numbers as long as he holds up physically. Carlos Hyde’s day has come in San Francisco, and he could easily put up RB1 as early as next season numbers as well.

Mark Ingram back to the Saints: Ingram is going to feast in New Orleans this year. With no Pierre Thomas, possibly no Travaris Cadet, and no Jimmy Graham to focus on, the Saints offense will run through Ingram and what’s left of the receiving corps. The team is going to stink, but Ingram could be a top 5 back for fantasy. Don’t be afraid to make him your first pick in redraft next season. Seriously.

Marshawn Lynch back to the Seahawks: Mo’ Beastmode. Christine Michael will have to continue to wait.

Shane Vereen to the Giants: Vereen goes from one committee to another, poor guy. This isn’t as important for Vereen as it is for the other Giants backs though. Rashad Jennings loses PPR value, losing his third down role, and Williams loses fantasy value on the whole unless both Jennings and Vereen go down to injury. Vereen may actually maintain some PPR consistency in the Giants offense, at least in relation to what we could expect in New England.

Roy Helu to the Raiders: The Raiders are looking to implement more no-huddle packages under new OC Bill Musgrave, meaning Helu could see a lot of action this season. He’ll be a nice add in PPR leagues and a sneaky play early-on in the season for daily before the algorithms catch on. Should the Raiders not add anymore firepower to the backfield, this would bode well for Latavius Murray as a workhorse this season.

Wide Receiver

Jeremy Maclin to the Chiefs: I’m not sure how this really helps either party, as the Chiefs had capable receivers, they just didn’t do much with them. This is the worst-case scenario for Maclin’s dynasty owners and you should have traded him when we told you last season. Last I heard, they haven’t changed up their scheme, so it looks like more dink and dunk courtesy of Alex Smith. Maclin will see a down-tick in fantasy and real-life production though, that we can be sure of. Thankfully for him, he has a pile of money to wipe his tears now. He leaves Jordan Matthews and potentially Josh Huff to fill his role in Philly.

Randall Cobb back to the Packers: I knew he wasn’t going anywhere, and it just goes to show that Aaron Rodgers sees him as a lynchpin of the offense. He’ll only get better for fantasy this year.

Brandon Marshall to the Jets: Jay Cutler rarely generated enough offense to make fantasy owners of Marshall or Jeffery happy on a regular basis, so this could be a boon for the like. Both will eat up targets in their respective offenses, rendering them both WR1 material.

Torrey Smith to the 49ers: I hate Torrey Smith as a fantasy player a little less now that he’s in San Fran where he should be more consistent throughout the season. His wheels and Kaepernick’s arm are a match made in heaven. Let’s just hope the team can take advantage of the situation, as Smith could maintain WR2 numbers with WR1 upside.

Andre Johnson to the Colts: Indy is attracting aging talent from the U like a gold-grill-magnet right now, as older players realize they have a chance to go all the way with Andrew Luck under center. Johnson will start opposite T.Y. Hilton, where he will rack up receptions as a potential PPR monster. Should he stay healthy, he’ll easily eclipse his recent numbers in Houston and likely have more TDs than usual which has always been AJ’s biggest fantasy knock. DeAndre Hopkins is the man in Houston now. Should he get solid QB play from Mallett ot Hoyer, he’ll be an every week WR1.

Brian Hartline to the Browns: This sounds about right for Cleveland. They brought in some new, exciting blood on offense to go with their new, exciting logo. Jesting aside, someone is going to have to catch balls for the Browns, and Hartline is at least capable of doing that from time to time. He’s worth a flier as their potential no.1 WR, but don’t get him twisted for a WR1- Josh McCown is still their QB until further notice and Johnny Football’s still in rehab.

Kamar Aiken back to the Ravens: Aiken finished 2014 off strong as a Raven, and with Torrey Smith going to the 49ers, he could start 2015 in a similar manner. Don’t sleep on this guy, he could be the new No.1 in Baltimore. He’s well worth drafting in all formats as of now.

Cole Beasley back to the Cowboys: Beasley quietly made himself fantasy relevant in PPR leagues during the latter half of the 2014 season as their No.3 WR. If the Cowboys plan to use him like that for a whole year, he’s well worth a pickup.

Chris Hogan back to the Bills: Hogan notched 40+ receptions last season in a role that should increase this season. Draft him in PPR leagues.

Tight End

Jimmy Graham to the Seahawks: In what is arguably the most shocking move of the off-season thus far, New Orleans’ best weapon now has a new home in Seattle. Graham will continue to feast as usual, but what this move really does is drive up Russell Wilson’s fantasy stock through the roof. He’s got top 5 potential now. Josh Hill is the most apparent beneficiary for the Saints, as he seems to be next in line to assume the starting TE role in New Orleans.

Julius Thomas to Jacksonville: This is great news for Blake Bortles owners, as he gets another new toy to play with this year, in addition to getting Justin Blackmon back. He only has himself to blame if he can’t succeed at this point. Thomas probably won’t have the mammoth games that he had with Manning, but he will be more consistent, which is actually better news for his owners. His feast or famine ways almost gave me ulcers last season.

Niles Paul back to the Redskins: Paul isn’t a sexy play like Jordan Reed (who really isn’t that sexy, either), but he’s turning out to be more reliable. Don’t be surprised if he ends up being the better fantasy value as you can get him for peanuts in most leagues.

Virgil Green/Owen Daniels to the Broncos: Both of these guys could end up being fantasy viable this year because Peyton Manning’s arm is shrinking by the day. Green is the better athlete, but he’s also a better blocker, meaning Daniels could be the one getting open more often. The move leave Dennis Pitta as the go to in Baltimore again, with a young Crockett Gillmore waiting in the wings.

Lance Kendricks back to the Rams: Kendricks is a better player than Jared Cook, but he’s not much of a pass catcher. He’ll be a red-zone target every week for Nick Foles though, which isn’t worth nothing. he’s worth a flier in deeper leagues.

3 Comments

  1. I’m not so sure that Pitta makes it back to the field again. What is your take on Forsett? Did this go up before the resigning?

  2. It’s true, Pitta’s a big if. I think they’ll add more depth before all is said and done. Yes, I did this yesterday morning. If Forsett is the lead back in Baltimore, he’s not getting paid like it. I think this season will be closer to a committee for the Ravens, though Forsett should do well in PPR leagues under Trestman.

  3. Post By minionhunter

    Thanks DC! I think Brown, Aiken and Butler (red shirted last year) are all worth shots in Baltimore at this point going into camp, maybe even Campanero if he can stay healthy. The Ravens need to be creative with just over 20 million in dead money, and that is before considering whatever Pitta’s dead money might be. For a team that likes to spend to the cap each year that is a tremendous amount of dead money.

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