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VEGAS TOOL: Week 1 DFS Flex Values Based on Sportsbook Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 1 Main-Slate DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring this weekend.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

33 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Gman

    Need to drop one to pick up a Kicker–Lat Murray, Waddle, M Calloway or T Lance.

    My roster is as follows:

    QB- Hurts, T Lance
    RB- J Rob, Javante Williams, Mostart, M Gordon, T Sermon, Lat Murray
    WR- Tyreek, DK Metcalf, Cee Dee, Waddle, M Calloway
    TE- Hooper

    What do you think?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Calloway if you think you need Murray. I’m not sure you do with those RBs. I don’t hate dropping Murray either.

  2. ↓ Post By Bigmanmike

    Would you guys drop and of the following players to stash Tony Jones Jr.
    M Carter, Callaway, Landry, I also have Gio, but he is locked..
    Thanks RW

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Don’t think so. Maybe Carter or Callaway if you don’t want to own two saints

  3. ↓ Post By Kv1422

    Just wanted to see when the line-up optimizer tool will be updated to match the Draft Kings and Fan Duel player values? I am a new Pro member and will try not to ask to many questions.

    Thanks Ken

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Lol thank Ken- it goes up every Friday as early as possible, but it’s usually a late afternoon or evening release. Thank you so much for your support! Best wishes this season!

  4. ↓ Post By Kv1422

    Just a quick question, when do you normally update the Line up Generator tool? So the dollar amount match the Draft Kings or Fan duel sights. I know you guys are busy, and I am a new Pro member, so I will try not to ask to many dumb questions.

    Thanks
    Team name (Turn over Twins)

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yes- it all matches up! Go give it a spin!

  5. ↓ Post By Jon Deba

    In a non PPR 16 team league is it safe to drop Carlos Hyde or Justin Jackson for Dyami Brown?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I would not. Hyde and Jackson have value in that format. Hold them for now. Hyde is actually a sneaky start this wk if you are in a pinch at flex!

  6. ↓ Post By ians

    Are we dropping javonte or Michael carter for ty’son?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Maybe / probably Carter

  7. ↓ Post By Ron Rich

    PPR: I have Miles Sanders as my Bellcow and really want to handcuff him prior to Sunday. I have the following WRs that I could drop to pick up Kenneth Gainwell: Mike Williams, Jarvis Landry, Elijah Moore, Mecole Hardman… My other WRs are Calvin Ridley and Stefon Diggs… My other RBs are Josh Jacobs, Darrell Henderson and Trey Sermon

  8. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

    I might drop Landry is you really want him.

  9. ↓ Post By Chief58

    Good morning. Can you rank these 3 ROS? Gio, Tevin Coleman, Lat Murray.

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Murray + Gio + Coleman

  10. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

    How much fab would you put on lat Murray ? (Out of 100)

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Depending on your need at RB, I think he’s worth a decent bid. Maybe up to 16.

  11. ↓ Post By PhillysPhinest

    Would you drop Reagor for any of the following? Ty Williams, D Parker, Marvin Jones, Ruggs, Agholor, Justin Jackson. 0.5 ppr

    I already have: K Allen, AJ Brown, Sutton, Chase, Fuller.
    RBs – CMC, Gibson, AJ Dillon, Pollard

    1. ↓ Post By Ron Rich

      I think I’d grab Ty’Son Williams now. You are thin at RB, and you aren’t likely to start Reagor over those other WRs anytime soon.

      1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

        Agree with Mr. Ron Rich!

        1. ↓ Post By PhillysPhinest

          Im sorry it Tyrell Williams… someone did just cut Michael Carter but Ill have to wait until waivers this week where I am 9th so I doubt Ill get him.

  12. ↓ Post By D Ron

    12 team ppr. I have 1 flex spot to fill
    Sutton
    Elijah Moore
    Mecole hardman
    Marquise brown
    Who would it be?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      answered in the other thread.

  13. ↓ Post By The Great

    Pound the Emmanual Sanders overs. I think he is still very talented and poised to enjoy the Josh Allen effect.

  14. ↓ Post By JEN

    Team name..flying squirrel stole your nuts. Ppr need 1 rb and 1 flex starting cmc, Diggs, already payed Lamb. Mixon, Mostert, Locket, Dionte Johnson,

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’d go Mostert and Mixon, maybe Lockett if you have a hunch

  15. ↓ Post By Airbenders

    D.. Harris (NE), K. Hunt, J. Chase, M. Carter and C. Davis. Which is the best flex. 10 team, .5 PPR. RosterWatch fan for two years running!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      I like Harris, good luck!

  16. ↓ Post By Andrew

    Need 2 .5ppr
    Team name: All I do is winston. 2-0
    Mattison, amari cooper, lamb.

  17. ↓ Post By Andrew

    Who to go with in flex?
    Team name: Don’t you fournette about me. 0-2
    Mattison or Gordon.

    1. ↓ Post By Andrew

      Full ppr

  18. ↓ Post By Andrew

    TE spot. Don’t you fournette about me.
    Kmet or Engram?

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