2023 Season-Long Player Props Tool (WRs) Now Available
Here is a new tool you can use for your 2023 season-long redraft and best-ball research.
We’ve gone though the various season-long props offerings at DraftKings, PrizePicks and UnderDog to compile an “average” for each player who has a market for their season-long receiving over/unders for use in identifying who the market might like more or less than their implied price via average draft position in early 2023 season-long managed leagues. For each wide receiver, there are three outputs: standard, .5 PPR and PPR. Based on the season-long yardage totals, we have provided implied reception and TD totals in cases where no market exists for either of those. The three columns for each scoring format represent the following: 1) the players implied fantasy points per game in the given format; 2) where that total ranks from highest to lowest among the sample of players listed, and; 3) the DIFFERENCE between the player’s rank by current average draft position*** and the player’s ranked by implied scoring totals via the prop. This way, you can get an idea of who is going earlier and later in drafts than their prop-market sports-betting action would indicate they should be.
*** since not all players have season-long totals markets available, the ADP rank is not technically average draft position, although it is close. Since players like Deandre Hopkins, at this time, and Jameson Williams, etc. do not have season-long markets available.
**** you should also note that Deebo Samuel looks like a terrible pick when using this tool alone, but it’s a good reminder that no one tool (besides the Ultimate Draft Cheat Sheet which takes into account everything we do at RosterWatch) should be used as a one-stop solution. In the case of Deebo, he clearly will have fantasy production via rushing that is not captured via this tool.
***** cells are color coded from blue (good) to white (median) to red (bad).
