RosterWatch Podcast Episode 815 – RosterWatch Big Fantasy Draft Show Live
Alex Dunlap and Cody Carpentier come to you live with a fantasy football overload to get you ready for your fantasy football drafts.
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My apologies if this has already been asked but how high does Travis Hunter go in an IDP league with dual eligibility.
Thanks
I think that depends most on your IDP settings. I am not a huge IDP player, but in my IDP leagues, CB is the lowest scoring position. I’d think Hunter would be like IDP60 or so on his own as a defensive player? Maybe? Depending on how much he is used? And you’ll have to play him in either the CB or the WR slot so I don’t think I’d value him really much differently at all. You’ll likely be wanting to use him as a receiver unless things go disastrously for him on offense.
Thanks Alex. He would be plugged into the CB spot and still get receiver points so its kind of like adding an additional receiver to the starting line up.
Are there some instructions on how to read the SOS Qb, Rb, Wr, Te tool? Mainly what exactly do the “TOTAL/ FAST START/ PLAYOFFS” numbers and colors mean?
EXPLANATION OF THE TOOL
The matchup grades for each defensive unit the fantasy player will face are marked as always on the RosterWatch matchup tool. Cells on the NFL Schedule grid next to each opponent are color-coded in the same way as the world-famous and epic RosterWatch Matchup Tool:
RED: Awful Matchups (projected)
PINK: Bad Matchups (projected)
WHITE: Neutral Matchups (projected)
LIGHT BLUE: Good Matchups (projected)
BLUE: Excellent Matchups (projected)
The tool is a simple NFL Schedule grid with Weeks 1-17 (Week 18 excluded for fantasy purposes) visually represented via the type of matchup we are projecting it will be for the fantasy player. The three periods are all included in the visualization, but it is sorted by TOTAL DIFFICULTY-SEASON.
1) TOTAL DIFFICULTY: the full season’s total sum of matchup grades. The higher the total sum of grades, the easier the schedule. The teams are sorted from easiest to worst projected schedule for the position in question.
2) FAST-START: the total sum of matchup grades for the first four games of the season (as we put a HIGH premium on getting off to a fast star). The higher the total sum of grades, the easier the schedule. The teams are sorted from easiest to worst projected schedule for the position in question.
3) PLAYOFFS: the total sum of matchup grades for Weeks 15-17 (the fantasy playoff period in over 95% of leagues). The higher the total sum of grades, the easier the schedule. The teams are sorted from easiest to worst projected schedule for the position in question.
WHAT GOES INTO RW MATCHUP RANKINGS?
RosterWatch Matchup ratings ARE NOT REGULAR-OLD “FANTASY POINTS AGAINST” metrics!!!
In fact, these rankings will vary greatly from what you see elsewhere from outlets using such a worthless predictive metric as last year’s final fantasy-points-allowed tallies. While 2022 schedule-adjusted fantasy-points-against makes up a portion of the overall mix of steps that make up our proprietary matchup algorithm prior to the start of the season, what makes our unit matchup rankings so special is that the scores come predominantly from RW’s private matchup grades and other advanced analytics for every projected player who will be defending against the run, defending the receiver/tight end in coverage and rushing the passer. Also mixed in are advanced stats and grades regarding the players who will be on the 2024 version of each defense as opposed to only relying on data from last season, when the players might have been different. The preseason projections also take into account the latest Vegas win totals for each team in an effort to encapsulate some semblance of game-script projection. All of these private grades give us our initial baseline scores which go into our overall defensive unit rankings, but they also allow us to dissect the defense into groupings suited toward each fantasy position specifically.
PLEASE NOTE: These unit rankings are not necessarily the same as they will be on the Week 1 Matchup Tool as the Epic Matchup Tool utilizes a weekly feed of data that accounts for injuries specific to the game in question as well as Vegas indicators which can’t be reasonably predicted and/or accessed at this early point in the preseason. It does, however, give our early projections of how we expect the defensive unit in question to operate over the long haul of the season all things being equal.
***This tool is a decision-making, tie-breaker tool and is NEVER to be used as a substitute for the RosterWatch Cheat Sheet.
Is there an easy way to Import the Cheat Sheet into the Fantasy Pros Draft Simulator?
Thanks
it’s not super easy but there is a way.
– download the cheat sheet in the pdf version.
– copy the cross positional list of players
– paste that into an excel spreadsheet or google sheet, etc
– one column over from the four rows of positions, enter this formula: =flatten(
– then inside the ( highlight all of the players and close off the formula to where it looks something like =flatten(A1:D85)
– when you do that, you will get a vertical list of all the players
– copy and paste that into the “cheat sheet creator” inside the draft wizard tool on Fantasy Pros
Thank you.
Sounds kind of complicated. Did you guys ever do a you tube video of all those steps?
Having a problem using this formula — seems that when i paste sheet into google sheets players do not line up in separate columns – so formula does not put them in single row .
Its best to copy Cheat sheet without downloading it. Then when you drop it into google sheets it aligns within the correct columns. From here do the flatten trick.
12 man ppr, i have first pick Chase or Robinson?
That is up to you, both are fine. I like how teams look a little better when I draft Chase, but both picks are great.
I’m in a 12 team 1/2 pt PPR Keeper Superflex league. I have the third overall pick. There is a possible scenario where I will have a choice to select Patrick M or Ceedee Lamb. Here is the setup – my keepers are James C(rd 3), Bucky I (Rd 13) and Bo Nix (Rd 8). Roster Build 1 QB, 2 RB, 2WR, 1 TE, 1 Superlex, 1 Flex, Def. The issue is if I pass on Mahomes there is a drop off at QB remaining – Stroud, Lawerence, Fields, Herbet, Stafford, Tua, Penix and Cam Ward. At least 2 or 3 of them will be selected before my late round RD 2 pick.
Select Ceedee Lamb and wait on QB or select Patrick M and then attack WR in RD 2 and 4?
I think given your exact scenario my lean would be to take Mahomes and hope great WR value falls to you in RDs 2 and 4, but both are good options.
10 team 1/2 ppr league. Keeper rules are:
1 keeper allowed in 4th drafted 4th round or later.
1 keeper allowed in the 7th drafted 7th round or later,
Currently my only keeper option is Jameson in round 7, but I have an offer to get JSN who can be kept in round 7 (or 4) for my 5th, and I’d get a 10th back
So I could
1.Stay as is, keep Jameson in round 7 and draft the rest of my draft normal
2.Trade the 5th for JSN, keep him in round 7 and throw Jameson back
3.trade the 5th for JSN, keep him in the 4th and Jameson in the 7th
In scenario 2, you basically get JSN but no 5th and no 7th, whereas in scenario 3 you get JSN and Jameson for a 4,5 and7?
with the 22 pick in my draft would you take James Cook or T Henderson (taking into account that 8 players ranked higher than these two players are off the board as keepers)
.5 pt ppr
I think it depends on how sharp your league is and whether you think they’d let Henderson fall to you with your next pick. Not everyone follows this stuff as closely to see how fast he seems to be rising (sadly for us) in nerdy fantasy circles.