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PRO RosterWatch End-Zone and Goal-Line Targets Report: Week 4

alex bylineHere you can find a new tool we’ve added for the 2017 season. Each week, we will maniacally go through the All-22 tape on NFL Game Pass and chronicle every time a player is targeted in the end zone. Red-Zone targets are a nice statistic, but are not as telling as being targeted in the actual end zone which is clearly a much higher expected-value event. We could not find this statistic available publicly anywhere else, so our solution was to do it for ourselves and for RosterWatch Nation. We hope the database, which will be updated on Thursdays weekly through Week 15, is one you find useful in making your critical sit/start decisions or in projecting player performance moving forward while gauging value for trades.

A few notes:

– RosterWatch considers an end-zone target a target where the player is targeted either in the end zone, or where a reception occurs as a player is entering the end zone. For example, if Corey Coleman leaps in the air from the 3-yard-line and makes a catch in the air outside of the end zone but lands in the end zone, we count those as end zone targets. A goal-line target is one where the player catches a pass inside the one yard line on plays designed to get him in the end zone.

– RosterWatch considers all end-zone and goal-line targets to count even if the play is nullified by penalty. For example, if Rob Gronkowksi is targeted in the end zone and the defender is called for pass interference giving New England a new set of downs at the one-yard line, the end-zone target will still be counted. This is also the case if the play were to be called back due to holding by an offensive lineman or any other penalty. As long as the play was live when the end-zone target occurred, it will be counted.

– RosterWatch does not award end-zone targets to players closest to the ball when a QB clearly is throwing away a football out of the back of the end-zone.

– RosterWatch counts all end-zone targets, including those on two-point conversions. For example, if Alshon Jeffery catches a pass in the end zone for a two-point conversion, he’ll still be awarded a red-zone target. If the reception is made, a * will be added next to the number in the “TDs” column to indicate it was a conversion attempt rather than a TD. NOT ALL TDs CAUGHT BY A PLAYER WILL BE CHRONICLED IN THE TOOL. For example, if Amari Cooper catches a ball at the 20 yard line and runs it in, it will not be listed. The only TDs listed in the tool are those that occur as a result of end-zone or goal-line targets.

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66 Comments

  1. 10 team half point PPR. Would you stream Palmer over Winston and/or Cook over Rudolph this week?

    1. Or I could take a chance and roll out Deshaun Watson…..

  2. Looking at a DFS question here: Last night I mustered up a line up using a C. Carson and J. Mixon RB base…. was able to fit in OBJ and A. Brown with Watson-Hopkins stack. Balanced out with C. Clay, Cincy D and K. Thoughts. Feels built as a tournament play but think it’ll also cash a 50/50.

    Thoughts on this strategy and building around Carson/Mixon this week?

  3. Post By Show Me Your TDs

    Got a guy in my league who needs running back thinking about offering Tevin with maybe Jeffery or P Richardson to try and receive Jordy Nelson
    My other RBs are Cj Anderson, Carson, jamaal, Henry and Foreman

    Other WR are Julio, T hill and K Allen. Do you think I would be on the better end if I offer that up and he accepts?

    16 team standard. Thanks appreciate all your hard work

  4. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

    Trade:
    I give Mixon and Winston for Howard and Alex Smith. Have to carry two Qbs in this league and I have brees so Winston or Smith Isnt really needed.

    1. I dont think you can do it. Howard was awesome last week but hes got a bum shoulder and dont know that I trust him to play a full season. Mixon is getting more work with the new offensive coordinator. Would also rather have Winston if Brees were to go down.

      1. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

        Yea I dont think I am going to do it. I like Mixon a lot going forward but I just like to hear what the guys will say since Howard was a buy low. Even though this trade isnt close to a buy low.

  5. Wentz Eli or Cutler this week 6 pt tds

    1rb and 1 flex PPR Martavius Bryant, Buck Allen, Tevin Coleman, Derrick Henry

    1. Wentz – Bryant/Allen

  6. Alright, so im trotting along with Cam Newton but Stafford is on the waiver wire. It seems so wrong to drop Cam, but hes been crap. I can drop Cam, Riddick, Tevin Coleman, M Lee or Buck Allen to pick up Stafford. PPR. Thoughts?

  7. Half point ppr I was offered either Rob Kelly and Jermaine Kearse or j Stewart and Kearse for marshawn lynch. I would drop either Perine J Nelson or Funches. Would you do either and who would you drop

    1. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

      They told me to hold on to Lynch right now. He has 3/4 games at home coming up and the TDs are on the way.

      1. yep

  8. 12 team PPR

    I trade: Big Ben, Ajayi, and Garcon
    Receive: Cousins, J. Nelson, and Tyrell Williams

    Other RBs: Freeman, Anderson, Mixon, D. Henry, A. Kamara and J. Charles
    Other WRs: K. Allen, A. Jeffery, M. Bryant

    1. I’d pass, but I’d come back and offer any two 2 of these guys for Nelson: Jeffrey or Bryant + Henry, Kamara, Charles, and a swap of Ben and Cousins- if the other owner views that as a QB upgrade.

      If he doesn’t go for it, find an owner with a similar player to Jordy and do something like that.

  9. I have J. Kerley on my bench and W. Fuller is on waivers. Do I drop Kerley for Fuller? 12 man ppr

    Thanks

    1. sure, go for it!

      1. RW! Have a wavier wire question as well. Corey Davis is on the wire, could pick up free of charge. Who would you drop from my bench – Garcon, Kupp, D. Henry, Foreman, Forte, Rawls. I’m assuming Forte or Rawls since neither have much value and def no upside at this point? Thanks as always!

  10. Thanks as always gentlemen – I have Cohen and Howard – against GB, do you think tonight could be a “play them both” decision? Worked out last week of course…

    1. Yeah, think you can if you need to.

  11. Someone just dropped Watkins in my league. How much of my FA budget should I spend?

    1. Man, that’s a crazy drop- assuming this is a 10 man league? I’d spend 25%+ easy. Maybe, as high as 35-40 depending on the league and my roster and record.

  12. Favorite Cash Line up to load up in 50/50s – FanDuel

    1) Watson, Carson, Mixon, Hopkins, OBJ, A. Brown, Clay, Bullock, CincyD. (+500)
    2) Palmer, Cook, Freeman, Fitz, E. Sanders, AJ Green, R. Griffin, Bailey, SEA D (+200)
    3) Watson, Powell, Cook, Hopkins, R. Matthews, OBJ, Ertz, Prater, NE D (+300) – pivot Cook to Fournette?

  13. are you guys still doing the Flex Rankings? I don’t think i’ve seen them this year. used to be one of my favorites

    1. Trashman releases them on Fridays

      1. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

        If we are lucky. He never gets his articles in on time. Such a filthy pile of trash! I feel sorry for Alex since he has to fix all of his mistakes and lets not forget the fact that most of the articles come soaked in urine.

      2. shit, today isn’t friday 🙁

      3. He releases a lot of other stuff into the universe on the other days of the week, none of it is work though. He does the reverse-sabbath thing.

      4. yessir

  14. Post By Dsummitt15@sbcglobal.net

    Should I trade buck allen for jamal charles? Standard scoring

    1. I probably would, yeah.

  15. Maclin or Howard in the flex? 1 pt. ppr

    1. Howard

  16. Trying to trade for Joe Mixon. Offered Buck and Rob Kelley but owner is shaky about the trade. I also have Pryor , Lee, Kamara and Charles on my bench. What type of package should I cook up? Rb’s are Hunt and Gordon but in desperate need for flex play this week. Thanks love you guys

  17. Let him pick any two of those RBs AND one of those WR- assuming you own other WR you are starting that are not listed here. He likely won’t take Kelley and Pryor due to being on same team, so you will be left w/ 1 solid asset.

    Thx a ton for your support!

  18. Post By nklaczynski@gmail.com

    10 team ppr.

    My WRs,
    Michael Thomas
    Doug Baldwin
    Sammy Watkins
    Marqise lee

    Rbs
    Leveon bell
    Marshawn lynch
    Doug Martin

    Guy offering ajayi for Thomas and lynch?
    What do I do

    1. too rich for my taste

      1. Was offered Mike Thomas and Mixon, for Ajayi and Hopkins. What do u think?

  19. PPR

    Giving up cooks and Henry and getting dal cook. Weak at rbs with only Mixon but deep in wr.

    I think Daniels is way better than Payton at utilizing cooks and that’s why I’m weary on giving him up.

    Wrs : Allen, m. Bryant Lee, snead, Cooper Kupp, Doctson and gOlladay

    1. Like it!

  20. RW! Which side (PPR) would you rather have? Gronk/Lynch or Kelce/M. Gordon?

    Thank you, your maniacal follower.

    1. Kelce and Gordon.

  21. Trade Question
    I would trade Doug Martin and get Isiah Crowell.
    It’s a dynasty league full PPR.

    Also tonight start Howard or Montgomery?PPR
    Thanks for your help

    1. Probably Howard, I have a gutshot feeling Ty is going to get injured…

  22. Was offered Mike Thomas and Mixon, for Ajayi and Hopkins. What do u think?

  23. I am in a full point PPR league I have Jordy Nelson, Mike Evans, Lamar Miller, Keenan Miller, Carlos Hyde, C.J. Anderson, Alshon Jeffery, DeVante Parker, Frank Gore, Jeremy Machin, Derek Carr, Dak Prescott, Dalvin Cook, and Eric Ebron. I am 0-2-1 I think I can get a little stronger at Running Back. I was looking at making a trade for LeSean McCoy or Ty Montgomery or Doug Martin or Melvin Gordon. Out of those Running Backs who would you choose and who should I offer to try to get one of those Running Backs I mentioned.

  24. Full point PPR
    CUTLER over CARR?
    THOMPSON over J. ALLEN?

    1. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

      Yea on both accounts. Cant really trust Carr this week and Thompson is too hot to sit even though he is going to lay a turd soon. I would look on your wavier wire for someone better than cutler. Im not sure you can trust him either.

  25. Post By Bioverse0@gmail.com

    Full point PPR.
    Abdullah or Ellington?

    1. Trashy… nice. Abdullah simply due to volume. Close though.

      1. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

        Would have to agree because of volume. He is also going to get in the endzone soon. Not sure that this is the game he does but I have a feeling the Lions handle the Vikings this week.

  26. Post By smithsonje@gmail.com

    Morning Guys!

    10 Team:
    Mariota or Wentz

    1pt PPR
    Flex need:
    CJ Anderson
    Kennan Allen
    Rishard Matthews

    Thank you in advance!

    1. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

      Allen and that is a tough call on the Qb I think I would go with Wentz. The Eagles are hurting at Rb and are going to have to score points to keep up with the Chargers this week.

      1. Post By smithsonje@gmail.com

        Thanks for your thoughts T.F.

  27. Post By chuckcnc@icloud.com

    Pro Football Focus has Xavier Rhodes ranked #72 of all corners and even has his pass coverage rated at 50.7 (152 snaps) A comparison: Jalen Ramsey of Jacksonville is rated #1 at 89.7 (195 snaps).

    Given the above I see a sneaky play for Marvin Jones at WR. Am I misreading this information or missing something more important? In my season long league I now have Martavias Bryant in my lineup.

    Thanks!

  28. Trade question. 12 team dynasty ppr. Took over the team just before week 1. Was offered Chris Thompson for Kearse and a 2018 4th round pick. My RBs are Gurley, Foreman, White, Buck Allen, Alex Collins, Dayes, Ekeler, AP and L Murray. Other WRs are M Thomas, Tate, Crab, Kupp, Woods, Sanu, Maclin, Wallace, Trent Taylor. Our rookie draft is 4 rounds, so I don’t feel like I’m giving up much with a 4th rd pick when I have the sick RW scouting talents at my disposal.

  29. Post By chuckcnc@icloud.com

    Sit Start Question.

    Joe Mixon or CJ Anderson?

    1. Post By chuckcnc@icloud.com

      1/2 point ppr

      1. Post By Trashmans Fonzanoons

        That one is tough. I dont think you can pick wrong here but I would give Mixon a slight edge because he will catch a few passes.

  30. Would you start Jacquizz Rodgers over Buck Allen with Giants giving 10th best matchup to Rb’s ?

  31. What up nation!!!

    2 questions…

    1-I have Cam and Ben, don’t plan on dropping either but should I pickup Palmer for this week only?

    2-My starters are Dez and Alshon. I need 1 out of these 3, half point PPR. Martavius Bryant, Garcon, Desean Jackson.

    Thanks fella’s!

  32. Post By ronmcfarland12@yahoo.com

    Good Morning from Cowtippers .5 PPR 12 team

    My flex options suck but it is what it is…recommendation please.

    D.Foreman RB
    D. Henry RB
    M Jones WR
    J Kearse WR

    Thanks in advance

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