2018 WR Fantasy Scoring Distribution: Busts and Monsters Tool
Here is a supplemental tool you can use for your 2018 draft research and preparation for the upcoming redraft season. The tool is a simple one: it calculates and gives a visualization of the frequency with which a fantasy player either had a monster game or an awful one for fantasy purposes.
PRO MEMBERS: Click here to head to the downloads section and check out the tool.
The tool is color-coded from white (the worst) to dark green (the best) and is sorted by early 2018 ADP. For the purposes of the tool, a “bust” in standard leagues is a score of anything less than 7 points while a monster is any score over 20. For PPR, the parameters are anything under 10 points being labeled as a bust while monsters are considered any output over 25. A few notes on the tool:
– No rookies are included as we do not have an NFL sample to use for fantasy points scored, obviously.
– Among veterans, the last two years of data (all games, including Week 17 and NFL playoffs when applicable) are taken into consideration. For players who only have one season of NFL data on the books, only that season was taken into consideration.
– You’ll notice some players have a star(*) next to their name in the sheet. For these players, a special set of data was taken that did not include all games in the same way the others did. Those players for the purposes of this tool are:
Keenan Allen – Sole/partial 2016 contest not counted.
Allen Robinson – Sole/partial 2017 contest not counted.
Josh Gordon – Only 2017 contests counted.
Alshon Jeffery – Only games as an Eagle (2017) counted.
Julian Edelman – 2016 and 2015 counted.
Devin Funchess – Only 2017 counted.
Robert Woods – Only games as a Ram (2017) counted.
Desean Jackson – Only games as a Buc (2017) counted.