PRO Week 16 DraftKings Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props
Here is a tool you can use in your Week 16 DFS research. It’s quickly become one of our most popular. We’ve aggregated all the open Week 16 NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the organic fantasy production occurring in Week 16.
Always remember, we talk about organic production at RosterWatch because touchdowns, while necessary to any player’s fantasy success, are unpredictable. By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing along with our projected tournament ownership percentages as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.
PLEASE NOTE:
– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books, both online and private. Players will be added into the spreadsheet through Saturday Night, with the main update usually occurring after the RosterWatch SiriusXM radio performance (which ends at 7pm eastern), and as the bookmakers we gather the information from get it to us.
– Not included in the Week 16 tool are players from the WAS/PHI Saturday Night game as they are not available on any of the larger Week 16 slates.
– These are not RW’s Week 16 Rankings. Those can be found on the rankings page.
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our PRO members in decision making.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. The Week 16 Ultimate DFS Cheat Sheet can be downloaded here.
– Ownership percentage projections are for use in determining how popular a play each player will be, and are based on percentages from large Thursday Night locked games at FanDuel. PLEASE REMEMBER that these are projected ownership percentages for large tournament fields as opposed to smaller 50/50’s.
– Receivers with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with 2015 season-average receptions per-game adjusted per RW proprietary matchup coefficient.
– Running backs were given their season-average of receptions and receiving yards in their current situations.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 95.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 89.5 to 94.5 receive 2.5 points, 80-89 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point. Any projection under 69.5 yards does not receive an expected bonus score.
