The Value Index Algorithm (VIA) is a time-tested, proprietary NFL betting tool that predicts scores with 58-62% historical accuracy. The predicted margin of victory is compared to las Vegas spreads to determine value in every NFL game. The model was created in 2015 and has never produced a losing season. In 2021 the algorithm was amongst the top 30% in the Circa Sports Million Contest with its worst performing year. The Value Index Algorithm derives from investment modeling techniques used by veteran investment industry professional “Can’t Miss Mitch”.

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Detroit  @ Dallas (-7) Sunday 1pm

 

The Lions go on the road with one of the best passing offenses in the league ranked 4th the last 3 weeks at 287 yards/game while Dallas has been one of the worst ranked 29th. Detroit has been able to put up points this season ranked 3rd in scoring offense at 28 points/game while Dallas is ranked 23d at just 18.3 points/game. The big difference is this Dallas defense ranked 3rd in points allowed at just 16.3 points/game. Detroit is the worst in the league giving up 34 points/game. 

 

Value Index Prediction: Dallas 21.4 – 21.25 Detroit

 

Pick: Detroit

 

Value: 6.85 

 

New York Giants @ Jacksonville (-3) Sunday 1pm

 

Head Coach Brian Daboll has his team 5-1, that’s against the spread too. This Giants team has a stout defense ranked 7th in opponent points allowed at just 18 points/game the last 3 games. Jacksonville’s defensive unit has struggled a bit giving up 25.3 points/game the last 3 games. On the offensive side of the ball, Jaguars are averaging 18 points/game compared to the Giants putting up nearly 24 points/game their last 3 games.

   

Value Index Prediction: New York 23.06 – 21.49 Jacksonville 

 

Pick: New York 

 

Value: 4.56

 

Chicago @ New England (-8) MNF

 

The Patriots defense has continued to be impressive ranked 1st, allowing just 14 points/game their last 3 games. Bears have been very solid on defense as well allowing 20 points/game in that same time span. Matt Patricia seems to have figured out his new play calling duties as New England is ranked top 5 in scoring offense putting up 30.3 points/game while Chicago sits at 31st averaging 13.7 points a game.

  

Value Index Prediction: New England 27.53 – 17.73 Chicago 

 

Pick: New England

 

Value: 1.79