Associated Press

PRO Betting Picks Against the Spread: Value Index Tool – Week 11

The Value Index Algorithm (VIA) aka “The ALGO” is a time-tested, proprietary NFL betting tool that predicts scores with 58-62% historical accuracy. The predicted margin of victory is compared to las Vegas spreads to determine value in every NFL game. The model was created in 2015 and has never produced a losing season. In 2021 the algorithm was amongst the top 30% in the Circa Sports Million Contest with its worst performing year. The Value Index Algorithm derives from investment modeling techniques used by veteran investment industry professional “Can’t Miss Mitch”.

Gain access to the VIA’s picks for EVERY game of EACH week, along with helpful tools for sports betting, player props and more and by upgrading to a PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP.

 

Value Index Tool by Can’t Miss Mitch

 

Detroit @ New York Giants (-3) Sunday 1pm 

 

The Giants are one of top rushing offenses, ranked 3rd YTD and averaging 165 yards/game with Saquon Barkley leading the league in scrimmage yards per game and a mobile QB in Daniel Jones. Surprisingly, the Lions are ranked 10th YTD in rushing yards per game even with a banged-up D’Andre Swift, averaging 130 yards/game on the ground. But, Detroit is well rounded on the offensive side of the ball, ranked 8th YTD in passing yards/game while the G-Men are ranked 29th. Defensively, the Lions are awful and have been ranked 32nd, but, in their last 3 games, they are allowing opponents 6 points less than their YTD average. 

 

Value Index Prediction: Detroit 23.71 – 22.49 New York

 

Pick: Detroit

 

Value: 4.22

 

*****

 

Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh (+3.5) Sunday 4:25 pm

 

Cincy looks like they are back on track, they are averaging 3.1 TDs/game and just allowing 1.9 TDs/game. The Bengals have one of the best 3rd down % at 49.56% while limiting opponents to just 38/39%. The Steelers have struggled to get to the QB prior to TJ Watt’s return, ranked 27th in sack percentage, which could be a nice relief for Burrow as his offensive line is allowing defenses a 8.67% sack percentage ranking them 26th. Cincy is ranked 5th their last 3 games averaging 30 points/game while Pittsburgh is putting up an anemic 14.3 points over the same time period. 

   

Value Index Prediction: Cincinnati 27.02 – 18.71 Pittsburgh

 

Pick: Cincinnati

 

Value: 4.81

 

*****

 

Kansas City  @ Los Angeles Chargers(+5.5) SNF

 

The Chiefs are ranked 1st in the league in scoring offense, points/play and TDs/game at 3.8. Justin Herbert leads the league in passes per game but the Chargers are averaging just 19.3 points/game over their last 3. LA’s defense has not been good either, allowing opponents 25.3 points/game, ranking them 29th. The Chargers defense is ranked 7th in RZ (TD) scoring % and they will need to limit a KC team that is ranked 2nd at a wild 74.36%.

 

Value Index Prediction: Kansas City 28.13 – 19.14 Los Angeles

 

Pick: Kansas City

 

Value: 3.49

2 Comments

  1. Need a Kicker because I need a win and points 5-5 still play-off eligible No IR Spots (holding MarqBrown as of this week so I have 1 good WR for ROS)
    My Team PPR play 1 QB 2RB 3 WR 1 Flex
    QB: JFields, DPrescott
    RB: JamaalWilliams, DSwift, LFournette, DForeman, DMontgomery, RWhite
    WR: GPickens KToney DSlayton MarqBrown(IR)
    Hurting on Wide receiver (Kupp and Bateman owner)

    Who do I drop for Kicker?

    Also thinking: Trade Prescott and a RB like Fournette or Forman or Montgomery for a WR 2, if I can find a trading partner. Hate to drop Dak
    thoughts?

    1. drop fournette on the bye. tough to do it, but gotto be someone

Leave a Reply