Deangelo Williams or Jonathan Stewart Week 13 vs. Bucs?

Deangelo Williams or Jonathan Stewart Week 13 vs. Bucs?
Alex Dunlap, Rosterwatch.com 

The Panthers Run game should be set for a big week as they travel to Tampa Bay to face the league’s most friendly run matchup.

As is generally the case with these two runners, many owners are having to make roster decisions based on how these two players’ performances will effect each other. Everyone wants to know which one is going to exploit the awesome matchup and sail them into the playoffs from their flex spot. It was Deangelo’s week last week, and he looked great, but sometimes these guys take turns going off.

In these cases, you need to look at who has the chance to burst the big play or get the easy Red Zone carry. One big play can create a nice high floor and win a week for you. We’re going to look at some variables that are geared towards judging the probability of one of these events.

Lets look at the 2011 numbers

Stewart – 93 carries for 442 yards and 2 TDs
Targeted 43 times for 36 receptions gaining 341 yards and 0 TDs

Williams– 108 carries for 540 yards 3 TDs
Targeted 17 times for 11 receptions gaining 93 yards and 0 TDs

100 yard rushing games:
Stewart – 0
Williams – 1

Rushes over 1o Yards
Stewart – 15 for 0 TDs averaging 14.7 yds
Williams – 12 for 2 TDs averaging 24.1 yds

Rushes over 20 Yards
Stewart – 2 rushes averaging 24.5 yds
Williams – 7 rushes averaging 30.9 yds

Rushes over 50 Yards
Williams – 1 69-yard TD run

Red Zone Carries
Stewart – 13 for 2 TDs
Williams – 5 for 1 TD
(Cam Newton has 30 for 10 TDs)

Big Plays (10+ yards) Rushing percentage
(Away Games)
Stewart – 22.5%
Williams -11.9%
(On Grass)
Stewart – 14.7%
Williams – 9.9%
(Outdoors)
Stewart – 13.1%
Williams 11.9%

Historically, these are both players career stats vs. the Bucs:

Stewart
5 games, 300 yards rushing (60 yards/gm average) w/ 4 TDs and 2 receptions for 13 yards 0 TDs

Williams
7 games, 563 yards rushing (80.4 yds/gm average) w/ 4 TDs and 9 receptions for 82 yards and 1 TD

 

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