PRO RosterWatch Championship-Round DFS Cheat Sheet (DraftKings, Fanduel) Now Available

Championship-Round DFS Cheat Sheets and Trends Tools: DraftKings and Fanduel
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for DraftKings and Fanduel are now available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

Remember to use the cheat sheets in conjunction with the Vegas Tool.

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NEW! Check out the BETA version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise.

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

12 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By treefrog13

    I cannot find link to DFS cheatsheet, despite wandering around

  2. ↓ Post By treefrog13

    can some-one please post the live link? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      sorry guys, I posted that it went live a little before it actually did. Everything should have been up by about 630 or so last night, let me know if you still are having issues.

  3. ↓ Post By rw-VMuTjRFKC

    Yep its going in circles

  4. ↓ Post By treefrog13

    OK, partway there…cheat-sheets active with 2-3 top trends, but links to ROSTERWATCH.COM/TOOLS still don’t get to full player trends…

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      we didn’t put out the trend tool on such a small slate this week – the guys on the sheet are the clear trends leaders.

  5. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    Right now my rbs are Freeman and Montgomery, but its difficult to look away from Bell. Should i stay the course or should i roll with Bell and coleman and tweak the rest of my line up?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      I would personally cover all my bases and maybe put in a lineup with each. If you only want to do one LU, I’m fine staying the course. Make sure you aren’t using Julio in a Freeman lineup — those two rarely go off in the same week. (now that I’ve said that they both will go bananas..;) ) == good luck and enjoy the games sir!

      1. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

        Thanks Alex!!! I stayed the course and wound up 50-45 in all my cash games!! As long as i cash i dont care where i place!! Thanks for all you guys do and all your amazing content!! Looking forward to a productive off season!! Cheers.

  6. ↓ Post By thegusto@hotmail.com

    i’m not understanding these cheat sheets , and i have a draft tomorrow, i’m looking for which players are in line to be chosen , if i have the 4th pick.

  7. ↓ Post By nctarheelfan

    Hi Guys! Just wondering if I am overlooking the DFS lineup generator. Thanks!

  8. ↓ Post By douglas.delongjr@gmail.com

    Any update on the DFS lineup generator for 2017-2018 Draft king pick. It only runs a championship playoff for last year?

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