PRO RosterWatch Week 7 Fanduel DFS Cheat Sheet and Trend Tool Now Available

Week 7 DFS Cheat Sheet and Trends Tool: Fanduel
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheet for Fanduel is now available for download to RosterWatch PRO members. In addition to the cheat sheet, pro members also have access to our private “Trends” database (The DuelTool) to dig deeper into the slate and to find players who were left off the sheet. (See link to the private spreadsheet at the bottom of the page to access this week’s trend ratings).

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The DraftKings Vegas Props Tool will be out late Saturday evening as always.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Fanduel Cheat Sheet.

Click here to view the associated Fandduel Trends Tool.

31 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By thomefan251

    trade question would u move L Bell d will and meredith for Newton Gurley and Torray Smith? I have kaep at qb right now 12 tm ppr thanks.

    1. ↓ Post By thomefan251

      forgot to mention 6 point passing td as well

      1. ↓ Post By The Great

        I would. Remove Smith from the equation. That guy has a bedroom reserved on the waiver wire. You need QB help. Fig Newton more than covers the difference between Todd and Bell.

        1. ↓ Post By thomefan251

          Need a wr and with kaep back smith will be his go to guy for a nice depth wr. But thank u for the input

          1. Post By The Great

            Np. And best of luck fellow RW NATION member!

          2. Post By thomefan251

            thanks man!

        2. ↓ Post By stockett119

          it is 12 team league you don’t trade for a QB, there has to be Bradford, or something similar.

          1. Post By thomefan251

            there is kaep and flacco lol thats it. guy started changing the deal anyway so doubt im doing it but its a 6 td pass league so good qbs matter a little more

  2. ↓ Post By dsingh

    Trade question PPR: I would be getting Bell in exchange for Cooper and Anderson.
    WRs; Cooks, Cooper, Ty. Williams, Fuller and Meredith
    RBs: Anderson, Both Washingtons, Perkins and Henry

    1. ↓ Post By thomefan251

      how many wrs u start 2 or 3?

      1. ↓ Post By dsingh

        2 wrs 2 rbs and 2 flex

        1. ↓ Post By The Great

          Make the deal. Adding Bell is never a bad thing. You will still have good pass catchers remaining…

        2. ↓ Post By thomefan251

          Ur gonna struggle to find a rb 2 but I’d do it since ur only starting 2 wrs.

  3. ↓ Post By Mickey

    2 questions – both standard scoring.
    1. If McCoy is out this Sun, whom would you start – Tate, D. Parker or T. Benjamin?
    2. Which RB do you like better over the next few weeks – M. Davis, or Booker? I assume Booker.

    1. ↓ Post By The Great

      1. I like Tate.
      2. Davis because the door has opened for him to walk thru.

      1. ↓ Post By Mickey

        Thanks.

  4. ↓ Post By johnnyG

    I have a feeling that this is more of a coleman week than a freeman one. Need to start 3 out of these guys. Ware, Coleman, quizz, gillislie, freeman. Also moving forward do you think ware is a good sell high if Charles doesn’t play this week and ware has a monster game? I will try to pair him up with a wr and trade him to the mc coy and charles owner for mc coy

    1. ↓ Post By johnnyG

      .5 ppr btw

      1. ↓ Post By The Great

        Hard to say without McCoy confirmation. I believe he will be out. Charles is going to play but I like Ware more and Freeman over Coleman. Assuming McCoy is out.. Freeman, Ware, Gillisle.

  5. ↓ Post By flemdog

    12 man ppr, need 3 from these 4…..L.Bell, L.Miller, S. Ware & J. Rodgers……

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By The Great

      Bench Rodgers

  6. ↓ Post By fitzmen5830

    12-team .5ppr / .5 1st down rush. Need help figuring out the flex. I see you like Crow this week in your rankings, but the DFS sheet seems to have Crow and Duke a lot closer. Maybe I’m not reading it right. Anyway, here are my best options for one spot.
    Crow
    Duke
    TBenjamin (I have Tyrell in my wr2 spot)

    Trash on the wire is smelly – rosters are deeep. I could drop Woods for Garcon, Chester Rogers, Quick or any of the remaining Bills to include in the options above. Thx guys

    1. ↓ Post By The Great

      Fly the Crow.

  7. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    I see Jack Doyle is not on the fanduel cheat sheet. The narrative is there with him being cut by Tennessee. Is he a possibility or should i stick to the te on the sheet?

    1. ↓ Post By The Great

      Thats ballsy and the first I have heard of this narrative. I kind of like it. Roll him out there if you are looking to punt at TE.

  8. ↓ Post By team gooch

    Standard-need a TE. Pitta @ Jets, Clay @ Mia, Brate @ 49ers, V. Davis @ Det, Gates @ Atl

  9. ↓ Post By The Great

    Brate.

  10. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

    The worst part about owning the Lamborghini is watching David Johnson do what you had hoped Gurley would be doing all fucking year. Smh. Dammit!

  11. ↓ Post By xraytakr

    Half point ppr need an RB and a flex out of Coleman, Crowell, Michael, Michael Thomas, and Golden Tate.

      1. ↓ Post By xraytakr

        Thanks for the confirmation. Great show tonight by the way!

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