PRO RW VEGAS TOOL: Week 1 DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 1 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

28 Comments

  1. I’m being offered Mike evans for AB

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      Even in new england in dynasty i pounce

      Redraft, tough call
      I may still take it

  2. Kirk, Ridley, M.Sanders, Pettis pick 2 in ppr? Had Monty in lineup Thursday.

    Singletary, J.Jackson or Ridley pick 1 in standard? Had Monty in lineup Thursday.

    Beasley or Djax pick 1 in ppr? Had ARob in lineup on Thursday.

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      Kirk and ridley
      Though if u wana go balls to the wall and pray let kirk go for miles in the clowncar backfield that is philly

  3. Post By caswell3030@yahoo.com

    Season long 10 team full ppr Mcdonald or Waller?

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      Vance!!!!

  4. 10 team standard. 2wr 2rb 1 flex 1 te 1 qb
    WR:
    – JuJu
    -Mike Evans
    -Curtis Samuel
    -Larry Fitzgerald
    – Tyrell Williams

    I gotta drop one of the last three to make room for a kickers and can’t decide!

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      Which ever one u choose will be the wrong one.
      Tyrell i guess

    2. I’m dropping tyrell dude is trash. Carr is trash too.

  5. Post By ejschempp@hotmail.com

    Would you accept this trade in PPR. I would receive Calvin Ridley and I would trade Robbie Anderson.

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      Yasss queeen

    2. Robby has one of the toughest matchups for the beginning of the season. You win with Ridley.

  6. Was offered Julio and Will Fuller for my Tyreek and AB. PPR. my other WR are Corey Davis, Dj Moore, and golden son Anthony Miller.

    1. No thanks.

  7. Post By ak47uprising@icloud.com

    I have Fournette, Bell, Carson, and David Johnson to fill 3 spots in my lineup. PPR. As odd as it feels, is Bell the one that belongs on my bench?

    1. Tough call. Odd man out for me would be Carson.

      1. Stick to your guts though when in doubt.

    2. Using the matchup tool. I’m sitting DJ. I’d also possibly be trying to Trade. How many teams?

  8. So I have AB in both my leagues need to fill the spot in both The first one between marvin jones and Corey Davis second one Corey Davis Marvin Jones AND Emanuel Sanders thanks both standard.

    1. Jones and then sanders for me. Have you seen the matchup tool?

  9. Just joined a weird standard league, normal point for every 10 yards receiving and rushing and 20 passing. Has bonus for everything over 100yards and 300 passing, plus different bonuses for long TDs. But what’s weird is the lineups.
    1qb starting Winston
    2rbs starting Elliot/ Kerryon Johnson
    2wr/te flex starting D Adams / Ertz
    1 rb/wr/te flex starting Ekeler
    Bench has qb L Jackson rb Ingram WRs Mike Williams, Kirk and TE OJ Howard also AB not available. Would you change any of the starters ?

    1. Ingram over ekeler…

    2. I would start Jackson, yes Winston will be in a shoot out with SF this week, but cant help you with his interception rate floor is good. Lamar Jackson against a weak dolphin defense and also his upside is better than the floor as he can also be a runner which he should be at about 18 attempts for this game.

  10. QB Newton
    RBs ZEKE/ FOURNETTE
    WRs JULIO JONES/ OBJ
    FLX DAMIEN WILLIAMS
    TE HUNTER HENRY
    BENCH: LAMAR JACKSON, R. PENNY, AUSTIN EKELER, MIKE WILLIAMS
    PLEASE HELP IF I HAVE THE FLEX POSITION CORRECT, the reason I do is because we are a standard league
    1 point for every 10 yards (.10 per yard rushing) and receiving is the same.

    1. slight lean to Damien in standard, would go ekeler in PPR.

  11. PPR – Kirk, Jeffries or Marin Jones?

    1. I like Marvin and Alshon this week – actually rank them back to back, but prefer Marvin slightly.

  12. Guys, AB owner and tough bind at WR3..trey Quinn, Marquise Brown or DK Metcalf

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