PRO RW Vegas Tool: Week 14 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 14 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

12 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By sdboor

    QB for playoffs
    I own MRyan and KMurray. 4 points per pass TD
    Available are Brady Cousins and Tannehill

    I have RB
    McCaffrey, DCook, KDrake, DGuice TColeman. CHyde. DamianWilluams. And AMattison(HC)
    I usually play 4 RB. But could play 5

    Drop Murray or Ryan for one of the available QB. Or drop DamWilliams or Hyde?

    1. ↓ Post By sdboor

      What QBs should I have and hoard for the play offs

      1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

        I don’t mind Kyler as much as most people, but Ryan has his full cupboard back w/ Hooper, Devonta, Julio, etc. I wouldn’t drop DWill for Hyde.

  2. ↓ Post By sdboor

    2nd league. 11-2. 1st place 1 QB league. 4 points pass TD
    My QBs. KMurray. And BMayfield
    Available are Tanahill. Cousins. Garappolo and Goff
    Any of these I would wish to switch or hoard
    Would need to drop one of my QB

  3. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Sorry
    1 QB league

  4. ↓ Post By Cancop1

    if Jacobs and or Bell don’t go should I roll with their back up or go with Snell and Lindsay in a PPR. If back ups do I go Richard or Washington … Powell or Monty.. Golden Tate upgrade or down with Eli ?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Think I like Snell in a vacuum better than any of those backups, but it is close. I just don’t know how the NYJ carries will be split up. Would probably prefer Powell the most. I think it is a slight downgrade to Tate to get Eli instead of Jones as bad as Jones has looked at times. Eli looked miserable at points last season.

  5. ↓ Post By Bselle

    I need two WR’s out of Lockett, Chark, Deebo Samuel and Curtis Samuel. Usually go with Lockett and Chark but can I trust Lockett? Chark in a tough matchup? Thanks for your advice!

  6. ↓ Post By Icemonkey77

    Made the playoffs in all 3 leagues!!! You guys rock.

    Need some help with this one.

    West Coast Bias 7-6

    News just came out and Bell is out. I have Mattison, Adrian Peterson, and I just grabbed Laird.

    Which one should I start. I have the strongest team thanks to you guys but got the last spot in the playoffs. Need this win.

    Rolling with

    Rogers
    Godwin
    Hill
    Fournette
    RB2?? Laird or Mattison
    Jack Doyle
    Courtland Sutton

    Leaving Ronald Jones, Tyler Lockett, Kyler Murray and Goedert on the bench for this one.

    Need this win.

    Thx RW

  7. ↓ Post By DJ

    Need RB2 help in PPR 1st round playoff game – Sony, Drake, Mattison, Snell, or Powell?? Vegas likes Drake, others are close in your rankings…you have Sony best ranked…need max upside, as I am already playing from behind. Also, would it be crazy to pivot from Tannehill to M Ryan? Thanks as always.

  8. ↓ Post By Dazz

    Standard, need a flex. Lindsay, Guice, Powell?

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