Thanksgiving Day DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

PRO members, click here to head over to the downloads section to use the sheets or give HyperDFS a spin.

 


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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

5 Comments

  1. Thanks for doing this for the Turkeybowl. Let’s get that gravy.

  2. I think Gallup may be much higher owned given the sad narrative. Everybody is on that and it seems like a trap if you’re trying to deviate.

  3. on Fanduel in Monday – Thur I’m currently 11th.. I played 7 players.. first place played 8 major difference they had conley with 22.. I’m behind by 21 188.22 vs 167.. First place has RB left.. I ‘m only 8 out of 2nd who also used 8 players and has rb position left.. I’m guessing the RB they are using is Cohen. I can play either Cohen or Howard and either Gabriel or Miller and (actually I could play Theo and ARob) I also could use Bruce Ellington if he plays.. I’m thinking if Daniel plays maybe Bears go more traditional smash mouth with Howard. I’m not really thinking Arob Theo as I don’t think Slay played first game and will shadow Arob.. what do you think?

  4. What do you guys think if Chase Daniel against the lions today? The matchup tool has them at 8. I’m thinking of playing him in one of my wishbone on dk

  5. Post By golfnooch@comcast.net

    this sheet CRUSHED it. Like, holy F#$K crushed it.

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