The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for Fanduel and DraftKings are now available for download and use to RosterWatch PRO members. In addition to the cheat sheets, PRO members will notice we’ve launched a BETA version of our new RosterWatch HyperDFS PRO to help you get creative with ideas for lineup construction. It’s fun to use on a 3-game slate, but will be even more helpful for larger slates moving forward.

Speaking of slate-size and type — we make the Thanksgiving Sheet out of demand from RWNation but do not usually view 3-game slates as particularly profitable in the long run for any DFS sport. It’s a tournament slate where you should take some chances and have fun, but not spend up a large amount of your bankroll. There are likely to be many duplicate rosters and 1v1 and 2v2 situations. So, with this said, feel free to go with a player or two who are not on the sheet if you have a good feeling about them.

The normal weekend cheat sheets and tools will be up on Friday with the Vegas Tool up Saturday as usual.

This year, as always, we are thankful for RosterWatch Nation. Thanks for allowing us to serve you by seeking out the most important and critical information to your fantasy success 365 days a year.

– Alex and the RW Crew

Now …

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The DraftKings Vegas Props Tool will be out late Saturday evening as always.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Fanduel Cheat Sheet.