The Production / Name Value Ratio

The Production / Name Value Ratio
Byron Lambert, Rosterwatch.com

This is little trade tool, index, guide or what have you. Its the time of the fantasy football season where owners are making moves and trades are becoming more frequent. When trolling your league trying to determine what players to go after this tool will help you assess the likelihood of obtaining said player. Working up trades is time consuming so this can help you filter out unlikely trade targets and save yourself some time.

“Production” can be interpreted as fantasy points or even expected fantasy points. It is also a fairly objective and concrete input. “Name Value” is a little less tangible and may be fluid but can still be pretty firmly estimated. This would be the general or sometimes specific “perception” of value regarding a certain player. Perception is specific when you know a certain owners opinion on a player. When you don’t have that information you can plug in general perception.

There are four basic outcomes:

-High Production/Low Name Value = a number larger than 1 all the way to infinity.
-Low Production/Low Name Value = a number close to 1
-High Production/High Name Value = a number close to 1
-Low Production/High Name Value = a number less than 1 all the way to zero.

Ratios that calculate closer to 1 will be more likely trade possibilities given a typical buyer/seller dynamic. That does not mean the other outcomes cannot produce a viable trade it just tends to represent a more awkward trade scenario that will be tough to hammer out.

** Important note: The big swindle can occur in your favor when you calculate a large ratio >1  based on expected production. The owner you are targeting may have a different perception and may calculate a ratio close to 1 which would create a likely and valuable trade scenario for a player that you are high on.

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