More unexpected heroes and bye-week streamers to scour the waiver-wire for this week. This is the fallout going into Week 11 of the NFL season….
Colts – 34 @ Titans – 17
A new week, a new lead back in Indy. Nyheim Hines led the rushing attack against the Titans on Sunday, and he was actually the only effective back, putting up 115 yards and a TD. The Colts backfield seems to constantly be in a state of flux, but Hines should stay involved due to his passing game usage. He’s the only Indy back I’d flex in a 12-team or smaller format this week.
Michael Pittman led the Colts in receiving, bringing in 7 receptions for 101 yards against the Titans. He will probably have a more difficult time against the Packers this week, but Pittman needs to be owned in most formats going forward, as he looks like an every week contributor for the Colts even with Hilton on the field.
The Titans were pretty ineffective against the Colts through the air, as could’ve been expected considering the Colts have arguably the best defense in the league. One item of note is that D’Onta Foreman had 7 carries and a scoring reception on the day. I wouldn’t add him yet, but if he starts pushing double-digit touches he might be worth looking into in deep leagues.
Eagles – 17 @ Giants – 27
Boston Scott had a big day, with 74 yards and a TD, but the bulk of that yardage and the TD all came on one play. No need to add him anywhere.
With 6 different Eagles getting 5 or more targets on Sunday, no one really had a great fantasy day through the air, but Jalen Reagor did get the most targets(7). Owned in only 26% of leagues, he needs to be added in most formats.
Wayne Gallman out carried Alfred Morris 18 to 8 and scored 2 TDs on Sunday, as the Giants’ lead back. Unfortunately for those who’ve added Gallman, the Giants have a bye this week, so he’s only guaranteed one more start in Week 12. It seems like he’s running better than DeVonta Freeman was anyway though, so maybe he sticks.
Jacksonville – 20 @ Packers – 24
Jake Luton didn’t pull off the win against the Packers, but he did target Chris Conley more than any other player, in what we call the “second team” doctrine. Backup QBs tend to target guys who they practice with on the second team, a la Luton and Conley. If Lavishka Shenault misses again this week, Conley could be in line for a good target share this week, albeit against the Steelers.
Marquez Valdes-Scantling had the biggest game of his career on Sunday, with 149 yards and a score against the Jags – 78 of those yards came on one play. MVS will be boom or bust all season, especially when Allen Lazard returns to the field, but I’d probably rather take a chance on him in my flex than a low ceiling possession receiver on a worse team.
Washington – 27 @ Lions – 30
As I presumed, J.D. McKissic is a target hound(15 on Sunday) with Alex Smith under center. He only managed to turn it into 7 receptions for 43 yards, but he added a TD on the ground. With immense volume baked in on a weekly basis, McKissic is a weekly PPR flex.
5 players had 5 or more targets behind McKissic in a valian comeback effort by Washington. Terry McLaurin and Logan Thomas were the usual suspects, but the team seems intrigued by 6’5’’, 220 lbs Cam Sims. He’s had 54 and 110 yards over the last couple of weeks. He’s worth a look in deep leagues.
Marvin Jones has scored 4 times in the last 3 weeks, and he’s worth starting as long as Kenny Golladay is out. Marvin Hall has been startable 2 of the 3 weeks Golladay has been out, but he’s big play dependent. He’s a dicey play against a usually competent Panthers secondary this week.
Texans – 7 @ Browns – 10
Duke Johnson(14 car, 54 yards) was underwhelming as a replacement for David Johnson against the Browns, but with David on IR, he’ll have to miss at least 2 more games. He should be able to get more involved in the passing game this week, away from Lake Erie’s winds.
It was almost all ground attack for the Browns, with heavy winds sweeping through all day. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt each got 19 carries, with Hunt getting 4 targets to Chubb’s 1. It’s bad news for Browns pass-catchers moving forward, but it’s great news for Chubb and Hunt owners, as they’ll both stay heavily involved with no Odell Beckham around.
Buccaneers – 46 @ Panthers – 23
Ronald Jones had 192 yards on 23 carries against the Panthers, with 98 of them coming on one play. This is after getting 3 and 7 carries over the last 2 weeks. It looks like he’s back in vogue for the Buccaneers in a convincing win. Leonard Fournette owners will just have to wait and see what next week brings, but you can’t drop him yet.
You could’ve played every starting pass-catcher for the Bucs in PPR and been happy on Sunday, but Tamps won’t score 46 points every week. It was an encouraging sign for Antonio Brown owners that he was second in targets(8) behind Mike Evans(11). The Bucs are probably going to have to throw quite a bit to challenge the Rams this week, so all of Tampa’s pass-catchers have another shot this week.
News is that Christian McCaffrey is doubtful for Week 11, so it appears that Mike Davis is in for another start against the Lions. It’s not out of the realm of possibilities that Carolina could keep CMC out until after their Week 13 bye. If you’re already pretty sure you’re going to make your playoffs, it’s not a bad idea to trade for CMC, if you can still make trades.
Chargers – 21 @ Dolphins – 29
Welp, it’s settled. The Chargers hate Josh Kelley. Even Kalen Ballage is out-snapping him 18 to 7. Ballage only averaged 3.8 YPC though, so maybe Kelley will get more run this week. It doesn’t matter, you can’t play him anyway. As far as I’m concerned, Kelley is droppable outside of dynasty or keeper formats.
Salvon Ahmed rushed 21 times for 85 yards against the Chargers, and Jordan Howard was waived. Ahmed looks like the man in the Miami backfield for the time being, so he deserves to be added to RB needy squads.
Jakeem Grant was the only Dolphin pass-catcher to score on Sunday, as he tied Mike Gesicki for 2nd in targets(5) behind DeVante Parker(7). With Preston Williams on IR, Grant should be serviceable in PPR formats until he returns.
Broncos – 12 @ Raiders – 37
There’s a possibility Drew Lock won’t be available for Week 11, after injuring his ribs in Sunday’s loss. Whether he guts it out or Brett Rypien makes the start, Miami is a strong streaming defense this week.
DaeSean Hamilton has scored in 2 of the last 3 weeks, but he’s at best 4th in targets in Denver right now. With K.J. Hamler, Jerry Jeudy, Tim Patrick and Noah Fant in the mix, it’s going to be a crapshoot every week to see who gets the end-zone action.
Devontae Booker had 16 carries, 81 yards and 2 TDs on Sunday, playing behind Josh Jacobs. Over half his carries and his 2 TDs came in the 4th quarter when the game was well in hand. The Raiders play KC this week, so Booker isn’t likely to get that kind of work.
Bills – 30 @ Cardinals – 32
No Bill RB saw more than 7 carries on Sunday, but Zack Moss out-touched Devin Singletary 8 to 5. With only one double-digit carry game and one 50+ yard rushing game this season, Singletary can be dropped for a hot waiver pick this week.
John Brown left the game in the 3rd quarter with an ankle injury. The Bills have a bye this week, but if Brown can’t go in Week 12, Cole Beasley coils have some value outside of PPR leagues, as he ended up leading the Bills in receiving on Sunday after Brown left.
Kenyan Drake out-touched Chase Edmonds 17 to 11 on Sunday, but Edmonds still ended up with 77 yards on the day. Drake has resumed his role as lead back, but Edmonds should still see enough action in the passing game to be flexed against the Seahawks this week.
49ers – 13 @ Saints – 27
Raheem Mostert is slated to return this week, so we may have seen the last of Jerrick McKinnon as lead back in SF. This is probably well and good, as McKinnon seems to be more effective as a change of pace/passing down back anyway. McKinnon can still be flexed in PPR formats, while JaMycal Hasty can be dropped in most formats.
Jordan Reed was 2nd in targets(6) behind Brandon Aiyuk(14), and he ran 22 routes to Ross Dwelley’s 18. It took a game, but Reed is the go-to TE in SF and should be added in most formats.
Drew Brees has multiple rib fractures and a collapsed lung, yet the Saints say he may only miss 2 or 3 games. In any case, Jameis Winston should make at least a couple starts under center for NO. Winston, if you’ll remember, has a cannon but can be mistake prone. I actually think he might be better for Saints pass-catchers than Brees has been, as Brees has been dink-and-dunk all season. If Taysom Hill can be used as a TE in your league, he’s worth rolling with too.
Seahawks – 16 @ Rams – 23
Alex Collins led the Seattle backfield, carrying the ball 11 times for 43 yards and a TD against LA. It looks like both Chris Carson and Carlos Hyde have a chance of playing on Thursday though, so even if Collins stays in the mix, he may not be stream-worthy.
Tyler Lockett came away with a bit of a knee sprain on Sunday, but apparently it isn’t serious. David Moore is worth adding this week, just in case, as the matchup with the Cardinals this week is likely to be a shootout.
Cam Akers led the Rams backfield in touches(10), but Malcolm Brown and Darrell Henderson came away with the TDs. As long as all 3 are involved, it’ll be a coin flip each week to determine the best play. Akers should be added, but I am wary of starting any of these guys unless I have to.
Josh Reynolds led the way with 10 targets on Sunday for 94 yards. Averaging 9 targets over his last 3 games, Reynolds is worth adding in deeper formats, but keep in mind that the Rams just lost their left-tackle and they face the Bucs this week, so he may not be the best play.
Bengals – 10 @ Steelers – 36
It was a split backfield for Cincy on Sunday, as Samaje Perine, Gio Bernard and Trayveon Williams all saw at least a handful of carries. Most of Perine and Williams’ touches came in garbage time though, so Bernard is still the advised play, should Mixon miss again this week.
A.J. Green has disappeared once again, and now he’s losing targets to Auden Tate. From all appearances, Tee Higgins is the go-to WR in the Bengals’ offense, with Tyler Boyd picking up the slack. Green can be dropped.
The Steelers are a pass-first team these days, so they’re able to support 3 WRs on the weekly it seems. Diontae Johnson offers the highest floor and ceiling combo, while Chase Claypool is reliant on TDs but gets targeted reliably and JuJu Smith-Schuster is used as a chain mover underneath.
Ravens- 17 @ Patriots – 23
Just as I thought, it’s everyone’s worst nightmare now that Mark Ingram is back on the field, as no Ravens RB saw more than 7 carries or 43 yards on the ground. Gus Edwards did manage to amass 73 yards on the day with his receiving yardage as help, but it’s going to be a hot-hand backfield from what I can see.
Willie Snead has had 7 targets and either 100+ yards or a TD in 2 of his last 3 games. The Ravens are playing small ball, and Snead is capitalizing. He’s worth a PPR flex in deep leagues this week.
Rex Burkhead has scored 3 times in 2 weeks as a goal line receiving option for Cam Newton. He’s TD dependent, but he’s got a good chance to find the end-zone again against Houston this week.
Even if Sony Michel returns this week, Damien Harris is running well enough to keep his job.
Jakobi Meyers is the only Patriots WR you can consider in fantasy at this point, and his ceiling is fairly low in this run first offense.