PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 1 DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props
Here is a tool you can use in your Week 1 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.
By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.
We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.
PLEASE NOTE:
– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.
– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.
– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.
Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)
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Hey guys. 0.5 ppr.
Need 2 of the 3
OBJ, Hollywood Brown, Keenan Allen.
Also need a QB, Rivers or Baker?
Thanks
Believe it or not I might sit OBJ.
Alex, Byran & the Smelly Trashman, I need your advice, one for my FLEX (1PPR): (fyi: Robot Genius, they all wear tight pants on Sunday)
*Hollywood Brown
*DeSean Jackson
*Jonathan Taylor
*Zach Moss
*James Robinson
Think I roll Hollywood here man, doesn’t feel safe but the CLE secondary is so banged up and he’s primed to go
If mike Evans plays do I trust him over Gibson in a .5 ppr??
I’m not playing any Evans this week. Too much decoy potential, we’ve seen this movie before.
Full PPR flex spot
T. Boyd
Z. Moss
C. Thompson
Thank you
Very hard but slight lean to Boyd
Trashy flex, strong lean out of any of theses:
Parker
Fournette
Bredia
Jonnu
this week makes all those options bad. I think I have to lean Parker tho. Tough scene with the matchups.
.5ppr should I just go with Mclaurin and not even worry about Evans or wait to hear about his status and if he doesn’t play go Shepard?
I’m worried about playing Evans and have actively gotten him out of my lineups this AM. Could be a bad idea but I’m not comfortable with that dude at all and basically acting like he’ll be unavailable for me and making my best rosters without him.
Half Point PPR
Jonathon Taylor or Marvin Jones in the flex?
Would go with Marvin but would pucker up doing it. Think we have a few weeks before Taylor overtakes Mack.
Lockett or Allen Robinson in a non ppr
ARob.
PPR PICK 3 WR’s: Hollywood, R Woods, Diggs, AJ Brown, DeSean?
Thanks!
Pure Gold!
Man, good options. Think it has to be AJB, Woods, Hollywood.
Stafford or Daniel Jones PPR
would go Stafford or, truly, would drop Daniel Jones for JimmyG, Bridgewater or Goff if available and start any of them.
Gibson or rojo