PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 10 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 10 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

20 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Fred Kelley

    In a PPR league would you trade fournette and juju for Dalvin cook and Boyd?

    1. ↓ Post By bucsfan1@gmail.com

      It’s a lateral trade…why bother?

        1. ↓ Post By Fred Kelley

          I guess I’m just more worried about fournette going forward than cook. Thanks for the great advice!

  2. ↓ Post By sherinewkirk7@gmail.com

    Woohoo!! I’ve been looking forward to this! Thanks for all you guys do!!

  3. ↓ Post By sherinewkirk7@gmail.com

    I have 2 leagues- 2 Questions 😉 New member and really love that you guys do this!
    1- Full pt PPR- Need 1 WR, 1RB and 1 Flex from DJax, Boyd, Fournette, Chubb, and Cohen
    2- 1/2 pt PPR- Need a flex from Marvin Jones, Drake, or MVS

    Thanks again!

    1. ↓ Post By bucsfan1@gmail.com

      Boyd, Fournette and Chubb….

      1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

        Agreed on Boyd and Chubb, I think it’s more of a toss up between Cohen and LF in PPR, but could get behind either, GL!

  4. ↓ Post By michaelshawver@gmail.com

    12 team standard league, officially out of the playoffs. Keeper league.

    Got a trade offer: I’d be giving up K. Hunt for J. Conner straight up. I could keep Hunt next year as my 1st round pick, or take Conner and keep him as a 10th rd pick. My hesitation is the great unknown with Pitt/Bell.

    Thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Bell will not be back with PIT next year. If you are 100% out, it is worth making the trade.

  5. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    Alex, Fournette at IND, Cooper at PHI, Shepard at SF, or Michel at TEN (ppr)? Thanks!

  6. ↓ Post By Longlooper

    12 team PPR
    Trade Zach Ertz for Mahomes?

    I have Njoku on the bench and am currently starting Stafford. Several teams have 2-3 QBs on their roster so waiver is thin.

  7. ↓ Post By rw-WEs7ARvi5

    Standard bros. Howard or Fournette in my flex? Chubb and D Johnson already in my RB slot.

  8. ↓ Post By Coltsfan87

    Team name: Monstars
    Record: 4-5

    Need 2 RBS, full point ppr
    Mack
    Fournette
    D. Lewis
    T. Cohen
    Breida

    Thanks!

  9. ↓ Post By kuroTexan

    with the O-Line issue w/ Redskins do I play Peterson over Mcguire or Josh Adams in a standard league

  10. ↓ Post By DanMach

    Draft Kings DFS question, Edelman and GB defense or Josh Gordan and Bears? I know Eddelman isn’t on the cheat sheet but I think he could do well

    Season Long -i need 2 out of Chubb, Dion Leeis, David Johnson or M Ingran in a ppr?

  11. ↓ Post By havok2014

    PPR choose 2
    A. Peterson
    A. Robinson
    A. Humphries
    J. Doyle

  12. ↓ Post By DanMach

    Draft Kings DFS question, Edelman and GB defense or Josh Gordan and Bears? I know Eddelman isn’t on the cheat sheet but I think he could do well

    Season Long -i need 3 out of Chubb, Dion Leeis, David Johnson or M Ingran in a ppr?

    1. ↓ Post By DanMach

      I can also fit in Kupp with jets D

  13. ↓ Post By ryuux21

    PPR League:
    Need 3 out of these 6 WRs — Already have OBJ & Allen pegged in

    C. Kirk
    Tre’Quan Smith
    MVS
    T.Y. Hilton
    Maurice Harris
    A. Cooper

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