PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 11 DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props
Here is a tool you can use in your Week 11 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.
By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.
We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.
PLEASE NOTE:
– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.
– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.
– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.
Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)
20 Comments
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Hey guys. In a must win and need guaranteed production. I need an RB and Flex.
0.5 ppr
Ballage
Duke
Mike will
Reagor
AB
Chark
Also need to drop one as well.
McKinnon on the bench too.
Thanks guys
I’d drop either Mike Williams or Duke. Then I’d prob play Ballage and Duke, or Ballage and one of the remaining WR. All are pretty good options this week. Check the WR rankings to help there
If Alexander doesn’t play would you pivot to Pittman over Thomas .5 ppr
Don’t think so
Who do we like for the two flex spots? Full ppr
Jk dobbins
S. Ahmed
Devante parker
Damien harris
Probably Ahmed and Harris, maybe Parker and one of those two
Start one in ppr: Gio, Duke Johnson, or JCrowder?
Thanks in advance!
Probably Duke
1 ppr. 0.25 per carry
I need to sit 1 out of Chris Godwin, Justin Jefferson, or Kalen Ballage. Thanks
I’d prob sit Jefferson, tough call- 3 really good options
I don’t think it’s a bad move at all to play both WR and bench Ballage, if you want to play it safe
Hey guys. I need a receiver in a ppr. I need to decide between:
Ridley
Robby Anderson
Godwin
Justin Jefferson
I’d prob go Godwin or Jefferson
PPR Flex: Burkhead, RWoods, Hollywood, MGordon
Thanks!
Prob woods
League #2
PPR: WR 3: KCole, Perriman, Rendro
Last Call “Road to Ship!”
Thanks
Cole or Perriman
Renfro, Sorry
PPR
Flex. Fulgham, Reagor, Curtis Samuel, Fornette.
TE. Goedert or Tonyan.
Harris v Houston or Hunt v Philly?