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PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 11 NFL Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 11 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

16 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Bmoneylove

    Kerryon Peasants! 5-5 in a 12 team standard league.

    Wondering if I should start Miller Time or grab Donte Moncrief off waivers? The rankings and matchup tool lean Moncrief, but I know how much we like Miller (maybe that’s me thinking with emotions). If Moncrief, who should I drop? On my bench I have: Royce Freeman, Lat Murray, Duke Johnson, Philip Rivers, and Tennessee D. Starting I have Goff, Chargers D, Alex Collins, and Kerryon. I just picked up Tennessee looking at their schedule for the playoffs.

    Appreciate the help!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      I think they have similar upside this week. I’m fine seeing what you have in miller. you can drop one of your defenses if you do want moncrief.

  2. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    Turned Down for Watt, 6-4, start Goff vs KC or Ryan vs DAL? Also, Shepard vs TB or Brown vs CIN (PPR)? Thanks!!

  3. ↓ Post By Undertakers

    1pt ppr need wr & flex mixon, a cooper, sutton, a miller

    Undertakers 7-3

  4. ↓ Post By sally_espejo@sbcglobal.net

    Hey guys, PPR league. Starting Kamara and CMC at RB. Need 2 flex and 2 WR’s from Conner Fournette, Evans, Diggs, Sanders Hilton and Tate. Figure you’ll say Conner and Fournette at the flex based on volume, so who goes at WR? Thanks for the help.

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      conner, fournette, evans, diggs

  5. ↓ Post By dsingh

    Start/sit PPR- 1 rb, 1 flex and 1 TE:

    Kerryon, Lindsay, Sutton, a.miller or Tre Smith

    TEs: Everett, Jonnu Smith or Jordan Thomas

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      johnson, lindsay, smith

  6. ↓ Post By RJuls777

    Shout out to Rosterwatch Nation the best fantasy family in the world!
    Looking for advice at the QB position and the flex spot for this week in a 12 team half point PPR.
    The QB decision is between Fitzpatrick & Mariota and for the flex spot I am currently debating Corey Davis or Alex Collins but my entire team is listed below the current starting lineup for consideration as well. Thanks guys and best of luck this weekend!

    Current Starting Lineup:
    QB – ?
    RB – McCaffrey & Aaron Jones (locked in from Thursday night)
    WR – Deandre Hopkins, JuJu Smith-Schuster
    TE – Graham (locked in from Thursday night)
    Flex – ?
    K- Fairbairn
    D – Chargers

    Current Team:
    QB – Fitzpatrick, Mariota
    RB – McCaffrey, Aaron Jones, Adrian Peterson, Alex Collins
    WR – Deandre Hopkins, JuJu Smith-Schuster, Allen Robinson, Sammy Watkins, Corey Davis, Keke Coutee
    TE – Jimmy Graham, Eric Ebron
    K- Fairbairn
    D – Chargers

  7. ↓ Post By mark.kerszka@yahoo.com

    TE and Flex in Draftkings scoring; OJ Howard & Riddick or O’Shaugnessey & Kelce?

  8. ↓ Post By BLU CRU

    The Vegas Props sheet for DK is ranked by position and not the Value in the last column. Sorry…a little OCD…I know.

  9. ↓ Post By ginaadelman@gmail.com

    Chicago or chargers?
    Roethlisberger or Luck?
    Standard league.
    Thanks!

  10. ↓ Post By rw-dxaZF7PC9

    TBags (4-6) Heuerman or MacDonald? PPR

  11. ↓ Post By DJ

    PPR Sunday dilemma: Mixon or K. Johnson??
    Need (2): D. Thomas, Riddick, or A. Miller??
    Thanks.

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