PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 12 DraftKings Values Based on Vegas NFL Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 12 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open Week 12 NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the organic fantasy production occurring in Week 12.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.

PLEASE NOTE:

– These are not RW’s Week 12 Rankings. Those can be found on the rankings page.

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers put them up through Saturday evenings.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them early. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. The Week 12 Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic roduction projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

33 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Kenneth Bone's Mustache

    K Benjamin, D Thomas & R Matthews pick 2 non ppr.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      would say KB and DT good luck.

  2. ↓ Post By cappjustin@gmail.com

    I wonder if the robot genius is feeling a naked Brees in cash games tomorrow

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      No, he wants to see Brees stack a certain squirmy and very fast pass catching teammate on top of himself.

  3. ↓ Post By renourka

    Yikes win or go home this week as I’m 4-7 and facing the #1 team and need a WIN to keep my playoff hopes alive…

    [1] QB: Rivers (Taylor)
    [2] WR: Cooper, M. Thomas (Hopkins, Watkins)
    [2] RB: Bell, Rawls (Howard, Crowell)
    [1] TE: Rudolph
    [1] W/R/T: L. Miller
    DEF: Denver
    Bench total: (5)

    My first question is do I start Rivers @HOU or Taylor vs. JAX!? My opponent started Dak against me and he dropped 21 on me after I was advised to drop Prescott for Taylor last week!

    Also should I drop either of Rivers or Taylor to pick up the Bills Defense & start them over the Broncos Defense? Or just drop Denver for Buffalo? I originally picked up the Bills but someone dropped the Broncos so I swapped them instead. I think it’s important to note my opponent only got 3 points from his Vikings DEF ..

    Help save my season RW!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Just answered on Twitter- love you good luck Renourka!

  4. ↓ Post By theperfectpour

    Ivory or James White this week in a 1/2 pt PPR?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Ivory

  5. ↓ Post By born2beast

    Hopkins or RiMatthews? (Had Dak+Kelley, opponent had Rudolph + Hilton) Adams or Smallwood? Drop Pitta for Barnidge, Tye or McDonald? .5ppr

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      matthews, smallwood, drop pitta for any of them, preferably barnidge.

  6. ↓ Post By rw-nfsuW9z9l

    Would you boys play your crush Smallwood or the muscle hamster Martin this week in standard?

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      Martin. TB is going to have to lean on him heavily, while the Eagles should be able to move the ball through the air if the run falters.

      1. ↓ Post By rw-nfsuW9z9l

        Shocked me you didn’t have Ertz in your garbage bag this week. Around ten targets three weeks in a row and a crummy packer defense. I thought that’s what got the trash man going at night.

        1. ↓ Post By Trashman

          might just be a little gun shy from owning him early on.

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      prob have to roll the Doug E Fresh

  7. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    What do you guys think of L. Mccoy, D. Johnson, M. Thomas, Amari Cooper, and F. Baldwin for a Fanduel cash game lineup? Im nervous i dont have enough TD upside with the receiver core. Wondering what you guys think? Thanks guys!!

  8. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

    Solid lineup – we like it- have been waffling on McCoy vs Gordon / Murray where possible – Coop is the only WR we see who lacks TD upside thus far in the season- Baldwin and Thomas have been threats to score. With Cooper- the levy could break at any point- however we have a lot of data saying it is what it is. You could pivot to Crabtree for the TDs and maybe free up some cash elsewhere.

  9. ↓ Post By Dentalheel

    Rivers or Kaepernick? Need 1 receiver and 1 flex out of Brandon Marshall,Willie Snead,Kenneth Dixon, Tevin Coleman. 12 team standard.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Kaepernick is the high floor play- if my season is on the line I’m rolling Rivers.

      Coleman + either BM or KD (prob BM- but check all the tools)

  10. ↓ Post By rw-d3RINpDvv

    Jeremy hill or Crabtree??? My flex ppr

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      eh- like Crab this week- hard to sit Hill. We’d roll Hill if it was our life on the line

  11. ↓ Post By rw-xMkv8Igqu

    Is it because shady mccoy is questionable that he is not on the player props sheet?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      yes- we like Shady- and are finding a way to get him in at least one tournament lineup

  12. ↓ Post By rw-kYrn8YfCO

    First off I need more RW in my life! You guys are the best.

    Standard League – Kelvin Benjamin or Allen Robinson. Also have Julio but I assume he is a must play even against PP. Need upside as opponite had Reed on Thanksgiving.

    I just posted this to Twitter too but I think I screwed it up. Thank You!

  13. ↓ Post By freebird

    Standard scoring league and trying to lock up a post-season spot this week in a close match-up.

    Need one for my flex position and hoping you will weigh in:
    Hightower (watching to see if Ingram will play, and if so, how much…prob won’t know the latter)
    T Coleman (my gut call to play him if Ingram plays)
    TyWill
    Watkins (might offer most upside but think I can win playing it a little safer)

    Thanks in advance. RW helped save my 0-3 rocky start while waiting for Bell!

  14. ↓ Post By rw-CTvrtgaqZ

    T.Coleman or T.Pryor?

  15. ↓ Post By rw-CTvrtgaqZ

    I am a new subscriber and this is awesome! Need 3 of these 5 flex options..
    T.Pryor
    Marshall
    T.Coleman
    Gates
    Ertz
    Thanks !!!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      pryor, gates, coleman

  16. ↓ Post By rw-07KyvFzsc

    barnage or vance mc.D // STANDARD

  17. ↓ Post By born2beast

    Happy, happy time of year for fantasy owners. Happy if you win and advance, but also happy if the week in and week out frustration comes to an end!

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