PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 13 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props
Here is a tool you can use in your Week 13 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.
By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.
We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.
PLEASE NOTE:
– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.
– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.
– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.
Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)
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Where is the DFS sheet?
I can not find DFS sheet either?
They posted earlier it would be up this afternoon and apologized for the delay. I’m assuming it will be up within the next hour or two
No idea, but this is ridiculous. It’s Saturday night
It was up at the time you posted this. relax, you should have plenty of time to get your lineups in. our stats rolled into models a day late because of the F’ed up WED afternoon game, it might happen again if the NFL does this with scheduling again and we’ll all survive once again, but we understand it’s a pain.
Rest of Season question: my starting 3 receivers are Juju
DK Metcalf
Devante Parker
Who should I keep as an insurance policy for my WR position – Sammy Watkins / Hollywood Brown / Brandon Aiyuk?
I need to drop 2!
I’d keep Aiyuk personally
Got Bye issues and need. WR help needed to make playoffs and possibly a 1st round bye. Mims, Slayton, Agholor. Need 2.
Gore, Bernard or L. Murray Flex.
I’d sit slayton and start gio
What the hell? Need the DFS sheet?
With jonu Smith being out this week, who should I pick up? PPR
Trey Burton, Reed, Akins or jonus backup firkster
Atkins… they all a crapshoot
I agree, Akins could actually be useful moving forward, but nothing is guaranteed with any of those guys.
where are week 13? this is BS its 7:38 East coast time
I feel like they’re starting to get a little lazy with the season winding down.
Cockamamie! these boys do a lot of work for all you lazy bums.
yeah…the irony of being called a little lazy for not being more timely in providing free tools to people too lazy to do it themselves….wow.
No doubt. People have lives and other factors might cause a delay or two. Some of the hardest (And Trashman too) working guys in fantasy. If something is behind a few hours, it’ll be alright. Do a little studying of your own in the meanwhile. Keep up the awesome work boys, don’t let the noise get in the way.
All tools got pushed back a day by the BAL game. One dude emailed yesterday saying he was going to sue us over the DFS sheet being a day later than usual. lol.
Nothing surprises me anymore with people like that….
QB need 1: Point per completion. Lamar Jackson or Mayfield? Drop Fitzpatrick, Pick Up McSorley to hedge Jackson being out?
Thanks
Would go Lamar except the PPC stuff. just checked an Vegas only has Mayfield at 18.5 o/u this week so that’s on par with a Lamar game, I’d stick with Lamar.
0.5 ppr.
Need to start two from:
A.Gibson, T.McLaurin, A.Robinson, J.Jefferson.
I don’t love the WTF vs Pitt, ARob is dinged up.
Thanks!
JB
I can’t believe this decision, I wouldn’t want to sit any of them. Is there no one else you can bench? I’ll just tell you how our model projects each player in .5 PPR and you can go based on that, but I don’t want to recommend AGAINST any of those guys, they are all great plays.
Jefferson: 13.9, Gibson 12.6, TMC 14.6, A Rob 17.7
If you put a. gun to my head, I guess I avoid the PIT game altogether and and just go Jefferson A Rob, but damn is that a killer decision.
I know! It’s a legit 12-team league (keep 3). I’d have to sit one of A.Jones, D.Cook or D.Henry (my keepers)- so it’d be sitting AJ. Rest of the team from draft (with massive help from RW, of course!) The good news is that I’m locked into the playoffs so this decision won’t be as stressful as it could be.
Thanks, Alex, for the detailed response. You rock.
I’m going to go with AR and JJ.
JB