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PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 14 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 14 DFS research or for an extra tool in season-long sit/start decisions. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring this weekend.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

17 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    (1ppr):
    Need 2 RBs:
    CEH, BERNARD, J. TAYLOR, DOBBINS

    DEF: Tampa Bay or CAROLINA?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I would go Taylor, and then Clyde or Dobbins. Life or death I probably go w/ Clyde, but that’s a super close call. JK returning to the state of Ohio is an exciting narrative. Go with your gut on that from owning both of those guys…..

      Think I’d go Carolina

      1. ↓ Post By Sanchez

        Thanks Byron!

  2. ↓ Post By Jasonwdick88@gmail.com

    You guys need more air time. Pro member for several years and several more to come. Need lineup advice. Aggressive PPR league 1pt per 20 pass, 10 rush/rec, 6 pts Tds, 8 for tds over 40yds, bonuses @ 100/100/300 = +2

    QB – Big Ben @ Buffalo or Kirk Cousins @ TB

    WR 2 (I sat Robert Woods) Tyler Boyd v Dal or Marvin Jones @ BD (trashman has to love him!!!)
    Based on those decisions need a flex
    James Connor @ Buff, Kareem Hunt v Balt and the other WR Boyd/Jones

    That 7-9am slot on Sunday morning messin’ w/my “easy like Sunday morning”!!!!!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Thanks for your loyal support Jason!

      Like them both, but we have Big Ben by a hair over Cousins

      I’d go w/ Marvin

      I’d prob flex Conner

  3. ↓ Post By renourka

    Alex, Byron or Trashman – need your expert advice here to get this playoff lineup set right!

    Already starting:
    Big Ben @BUF
    Adams @DET
    Ridley @LAC
    Montgomery vs. HOU
    H. Henry vs ATL

    We won’t talk about Akers’ 20 points on my bench… but now I need help picking 1 RB for my RB2 and 1 player for FLEX:

    HALF PPR

    R. Jones vs MIN
    Diontae Johnson @BUF
    Hunt v. BAL
    Evans vs MIN
    Jacobs vs IND
    Booker vs IND
    D. Samuel vs. WAS

    Thanks in advance!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I answered in the other post

  4. ↓ Post By mrbazzball@aol.com

    PPR- Need just 1 for my Flex…. Drake-Crowder- Coutee…. Thnx for a great season guys….

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’d go Crowder if he plays and sounds like he’s all good to go. If not I’d go Drake. Thanks Mr Bazz, Happy Holidays!

  5. ↓ Post By nojoe

    Thanks to the Rosterwatch team for helping me make the playoffs.

    I Need 1 RB and 1 WR .5 ppr

    Jacobs , Ceh or Dobbins

    Claypool or Keke Coutee ( I’m starting Diontae Johnson)

    Thanks in advance

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I would play Jacobs if he starts and sounds healthy. If not I like both CEH and JK, it’s an impossible decision but I think I’d go Clyde over JK if it were me. Another subscriber had a similar question. You guys have some good options!

      Thanks for your support Joe! Happy Holidays!

  6. ↓ Post By mccoley

    Need some help at QB and Flex(1pt ppr)–I’m leaning Herbert and Gio

    QB: Herbert, Brady, Lamar Jackson or Taysom Hill

    Flex: Gio Bernard, Tim Patrick, Keke Coutee, TY Hilton

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Lamar + Hilton or Gio. I think I like Hilton more based on upside, but I understand playing Gio. They have similar props coming of the sports books

  7. ↓ Post By Buck_Nasty

    Flex Higgins, Hollywood, or Curtis Samuel? 1 pt ppr. Could also acquire Perriman off the scrap heap. Help me out RWR!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’d go Samuel or Perriman- I like them both this week.

  8. ↓ Post By rw-6cVImphCc

    Hi Fellas,
    In Standard league, need one WR:
    Parker, Keke, Perriman, or T.Patrick
    There is 3pts bonus for 100yrds.

    In ppr, need TE: Goedert, L.Thomas, Reed, Aikins
    Thanks,
    Serge

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Need a 100 yards, Tim Patrick is the guy. Drew Lock only has eyes for TP. Lock seems to favor the “go up and get it” style of pass catchers.

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