PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 14 NFL Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props: RB, WR, TE

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 14 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

91 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Bhoeh

    Need help. Have to win!!
    Rivers or Wilson (side note possibly playing Ekeler and defiantly playing K. Allen)
    Need 3 – A. Ekeler, J. Samuels, G. Edwards, J. White, J. Adams
    Dj Moore or J. Reynolds or Chris Godwin is on waivers?
    Grahm or Brate

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      We ALL have to win this week. Let’s gets this cash.
      Rivers but having a hammer on Monday is tempting.

      Ekeler Samuels Godwin.

  2. ↓ Post By Sid

    ppr. need 1 rb, 1 wr, 1 flex outta: DJ, Fitz, lockett, edwards, DJ Moore, Ware, Wilson jr, pettis, and Sheppard is on the wire.

  3. ↓ Post By davdick21@gmail.com

    Quick help please, FULL PPR

    FLEX: Ekeler, mixon, Boyd, Godwin or Justin Jackson.

    Winner takes last playoff spot, thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Ekeler. Let’s gets these playoff wins!

  4. ↓ Post By Pablackbird

    Would you start Gus Edwards over any of: Michel, Dalvin Cook, or Mixon? If so, who sits?

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Possibly over Mixon if you’re feeling it.

  5. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    My guess is that it is all a matter of luck, but if I play the matchups I should start humphries over Golladay. Is RW with me on this ? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      It ain’t luck when you part of the Nation!
      I hate Stafford so much he sucks and will almost always let you down especially on the road.
      Humphries should be involved in a shoot out. Prolly a coin flip as you’re feeling it.
      Matchup tool agrees with me. Did I mention Stafford is dog shit?

  6. ↓ Post By Jack Tang

    Kirk Cousins or Lamar Jackson?

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Might regret it but I’m leaning Kirk.

  7. ↓ Post By @VeganPhoPlez

    Need to start 1 in a fPPR league

    Golladay, or Sutton

    My WR’s are Allen/Cooper I need a flex. My QB is Cam and RB’s are Kamra and Mixon. TE Njoku I have Reed but I’m gonna probably go with Njoku.

    High steaks league so I would lean towards probably needing a higher ceiling rather than a floor.

    Thoughts????

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      A vegan playing for Steaks? ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

      Sutton for me vs 9ers shit secondary.

  8. ↓ Post By renourka

    Win or go home time in 2 different leagues!

    PPR League
    Need 2 RB and 1 FLEX:

    Michel @MIA
    Ware vs. BAL
    Edwards @KC
    J. Gordon @MIA
    Martin vs. PIT

    half-PPR league
    Need 1 WR and 1 FLEX:

    J. Gordon @MIA
    Sutton @SF
    Drake vs. NE
    Justin Jackson vs. CIN
    Zay Jones vs NYJ

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Them some tough choices brother. I’m in similar situations with Zay and Sutton.
      In another league I have to flex one: Michel Ingram or Carson.

      Cross Martin off. Then I’d sit Ware. That second one I’m. It thrilled with those RBs.

      1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

        *not thrilled ‍♂️

  9. ↓ Post By xraytakr

    Would I be crazy to start Mark Andrews over Brate this week? Or I could grab Ian Thomas, but, meh. Half point ppr

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Brate.

  10. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    Need some help: WINSTON or CAM

    Different League: LUCK or Lamar Jackson

    .5ppr: Carson or Galloday?

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Winston.
      Luck.
      Carson.
      Good luck. Playoffs bitches!!!

  11. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    From post above: 1ppr Carson or Galloday

  12. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    1ppr: Dante Pettis or Anthony Miller

    1ppr: Justin Jackson, Chris Thompson or J. Howard?

  13. ↓ Post By Bhoeh

    I didnt clarify on my previous post.
    Need 3 RBS A. Ekeler, J. Samuels, G. Edwards, J. White, J. Adams
    And which WR DJ Moore or J. Reynolds or snag Godwin off waivers?
    Sorry was in a hurry earlier plus in panic mode

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      Edwards, white, ekeler, godwin

  14. ↓ Post By rw-3xsDkDnKB

    Need 1. Full Ppr James White, Sony michal, sterling shepard, Justin jackson, or Chris Godwin. Thanks

  15. ↓ Post By jbturner89@gmail.com

    12 team PPR. Have questions at QB and TE:
    QB: L Jackson, J allen, Eli or Tannehill
    TE: kittle or Ebron

  16. ↓ Post By AllabouttheTD

    Do I start Humphries over Hilton because of the status or no way if Hilton is a go? PPR thx

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      Humphries’ floor has been pretty safe. If you think you can win without Hilton going big it might be a safer option

  17. ↓ Post By dixie1436@gmail.com

    Please help need 2 ppr, 2 flex league blount, gabriel, riddick, conley, golladay, d thomas. Thanks gang i just joined love the show!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      Blount, Conley, golladay, Thomas. Thanks for your support!

  18. ↓ Post By AllabouttheTD

    I had fournette going Thursday :{ Need to make up some ground. PPR Diggs, samuel or cohen as my flex play. ROSTERNATION PLAYOFF TIME

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      I’d go with Cohen

  19. ↓ Post By JDAVIDSON083@GMAIL.COM

    Need help with 2 decisions for season long league non ppr

    Matt Ryan or Jameis Winston

    Need 2 of the 3:
    Joe Mixon
    Mark Ingram
    Tarik Cohen

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      Winston, Mixon and Cohen

  20. ↓ Post By bdenn2

    Would I be better off picking up an available Chris Carson and playing him instead of Crowell week 15?

    1. ↓ Post By bdenn2

      Also, trubisky or mayfield?

  21. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    Def: Dallas, Giants or Arizona

  22. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    1pt ppr
    Mixon or Dalvin Cook

  23. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

    Need help

    Standard flex spot : Mack , Reynolds , Curtis Samuel

    Te : Reed ,Thomas , Burton

  24. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    Maybe you have some time for a week 15 Q — I have a bye for week 14 so looking at Def for 15. I have Bears (vs GB) & vikings (vs MIa) — Q is should I pick up the Ravens for week 15 who host Tampa Bay. I can drop the Vikings today and grab the Ravens. thanks for you help.

  25. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    Thanks Frank for advice on Humphries. Last Q of the day — Which two RBs should I start — J Jackson, J Wilson or M Mack? I’m leaning towards Jackson and Wilson.
    Nyheim seems to be getting all the passing downs and the Texans are tough against the run.

  26. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    Trashman, please help. I have lost sleep over this one,

    NEWTON or WINSTON???

  27. ↓ Post By J_Walking33

    Need 2 of the following: Michel, Mixon, Edelman in a full point ppr

  28. ↓ Post By rw-3xsDkDnKB

    Need 2. Full Ppr James White, Sony michal, sterling shepard, Adam humphries, Justin jackson, or Chris Godwin.

    Appreciate the help!

  29. ↓ Post By respcd3

    Tarik Cohen or Austin Ekeler-PPR

  30. ↓ Post By rw-Z7rx4m6ck

    Jameis Winston or Mitchell Trubisky?

  31. ↓ Post By bdenn2

    PPR. Kittle or Cook?
    Trubisky or Mayfield?

    Thanks

  32. ↓ Post By Rbenne@gmail.com

    Standard format need a flex since Melvin Gordon and kerryon Johnson are out. I have Blount, Humphries, S. Ware, DJ Moor, or josh Gordon.

  33. ↓ Post By yeagermeister

    Ppr: zay Jones or Josh Gordon

    Luck or Lamar jackson?

  34. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    With OBJ out today would you start Evan Engram over Njoku or McDonald? thanks

      1. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

        Over burton ?

  35. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

    Team defense

    Texans , lions , or giants

  36. ↓ Post By jhall@dorsettautomotive.com

    Week one of the playoffs is here and I’m out OBJ, hunt, and Mel Gordon….I’m hurtin
    WR2 I have Doug Baldwin. Could be Golden Tate?
    I have mixon and Ingram in the rb skits, and gronk at TE flex could be Jared Cook or Justin jackson. I have cook in now

    1. ↓ Post By jhall@dorsettautomotive.com

      PPR Week one of the playoffs is here and I’m out OBJ, hunt, and Mel Gordon….I’m hurtin
      WR2 I have Doug Baldwin. Could be Golden Tate?
      I have mixon and Ingram in the rb skits, and gronk at TE flex could be Jared Cook,

    2. ↓ Post By Trashman

      I’d probably go Tate and Jackson

  37. ↓ Post By Wishfulthinking

    So Hilton is a go. and they need a win. Hilton or Mixon PPR thanks

  38. ↓ Post By Lferg42@yahoo.com

    Need two RB in standard.

    Mixon
    Cook
    J. Samuels

  39. ↓ Post By Uncle_Maynard

    Jameis, Cousins or Mayfield?

  40. ↓ Post By Travis Bradley

    Boys need an rb wr and flex

    Ridley, Landry, ware, Carson

    Thanks

  41. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    Cowboys D or Bills D?

  42. ↓ Post By CanadianMonkey

    i have samuels in a yahoo league so he is te eligible …. should i play him at te over jimmy g, at rb over t coleman, or at flex over pettis … and in that same league they have a stupid pt rule for qb that they get 1 pt per completion, with that being said would that bump luck over watson this week thinking being that ind playing catch up tossing it all over to catch up

  43. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    C. Carson or Steven Ridley?

  44. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    1ppr….. Pettis or Zay Jones?

  45. ↓ Post By grh1988

    1/2 pt ppr. At WR I typically start K. Allen, Boyd, and Lockett….

    Would you throw Reynolds or D. Pettis in over Boyd or Lockett this week given the matchups?

  46. ↓ Post By christian.whit2412@gmail.com

    Ppr, Mack, ty Montgomery, or doug martin

  47. ↓ Post By Tybee Island Pirates

    Ppr
    Zay, Josh Reynolds, ty mont, Doug Martin

  48. ↓ Post By golfnooch@comcast.net

    asked on twitter too… team name, one nut wonders, 8-5, exit 17 (NJ)…full point ppr, Zay Jones vs. crappy Jets D, or DJ Moore vs. Cle?

  49. ↓ Post By freebird

    Standard scoring, playing WR Allen & Juju, RB played Fournette and need an RB2 and Flex (RB or WR) from the following:
    Hilton
    Godwin
    Ekeler
    J Samuels
    Gus Edwards
    Ware

    Which DST out of Bears and Saints? I’m feeling the Saints on this one.

  50. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    Dang, can’t believe no one is answering this mornings questions… smh

  51. ↓ Post By corymccullough16@gmail.com

    SlapDicks 10-3 Golladay, Fitzgerald Or Shepard

  52. ↓ Post By Tybee Island Pirates

    Good luck everyone

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