PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 15 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props (RB, WR, TE)

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 15 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

37 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    I have a Samuels issue since I heard that connors may be active — game time decision. My alternatives are Aaron Jones and Mack whose games are at 1:00 pm. Any thoughts on this conundrum?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      If Conner plays, I’d prob roll w/ AJones

  2. ↓ Post By renourka

    Welp it all comes down to this…

    Projected to lose by 15 after Keenan Allen’s injury and Badgley’s 3 points (Damien Williams was fantastic tho!) while my opponent got 8 from Hill and 22 from Fairbairn!? So I need Luck, AB, Vance McDonald and Company to bail me out!

    Anyway need 1 RB and 1 Flex from the following (PPR):

    Michel @PIT
    Gordon @PIT
    Martin @CIN
    Edwards vs. TB

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Martin for sure.

      Prob Michel. Don’t hate getting Gordon in if you like him better in PPR.

  3. ↓ Post By bigmfo

    QB question
    A.Rod, Trubisky or L. Jackson. According to the rankings it’s Jackson, just confirming.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yep- that’s the play

  4. ↓ Post By frankw88

    Really struggling on who to put in my Flex for PPR: Sony Michel, Mark Ingram, or Randall Cobb? I feel like they all have pretty low floors. I’m a toss-up in the game right now.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Id prob go w/ Michel

  5. ↓ Post By smithg1095

    Need help I got Mixon, D.Johnson, A. Kamara and J. Samuels. For my flex my choices are D. Johnson who plays at 1pm who has been seeing volume but not putting up great numbers as of late. Then J. Samuels who plays in the afternoon game and there is a chance Conner plays. Who should I put in my flex Samuels or D. Johnson?

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      conner’s not going this week. i’d go with the back on the better team, samuels.

  6. ↓ Post By rw-O2vceDlMK

    Guys, Clown Car of Lies here…..I need your help. I am 13-0 with a bye last week. 12 TM PPR. Have been riding TY in flex all the way. Have C. Samuel, R. Foster, G. Tate……who do I start if TY a no go?

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      he looks good to go. samuel, if it’s a last minue dnp

  7. ↓ Post By Chief58

    PPR. Doug martin or Curtis Samuel in flex?

    Thanks

  8. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

    Te question for a standard lg

    Uzomah Engram or Davis ?

  9. ↓ Post By The Eradicator

    No prop for D. Adams? Is there something that Vegas knows that we don’t? Cobb, Jones and Graham do.

  10. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    From news reports it is looking doubtful that Connors will play today. Assuming he is out would you start Samuel over Aaron Jones? Worried about his production in light of the Bears Def stuffing Gurley last week. Thanks

  11. ↓ Post By JDAVIDSON083@GMAIL.COM

    NON PPR LEAGUE:

    Tarik Cohen or Mark Ingram?

    Thanks

    2. ↓ Post By woo.jonathanwoo

      I still think Cohen. Good luck.

  12. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    in 1/2 pt PPR with OBJ out would you start Shepard over Galladay? thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

      — Or would you roll with Curtis Samuel over both Shepard and Galladay?

      1. ↓ Post By woo.jonathanwoo

        Hard to roll with Golladay, methinks. Shepard has the highest ceiling of the three in a PPR, certainly.

  13. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

    If ty hilton doesn’t go is it still good to start him in a flex for standard over
    Reynolds , Curtis Samuel, or Cobb

    1. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

      To start Mack if Hilton doesn’t go (I have Mack or those 3 )

      1. ↓ Post By woo.jonathanwoo

        In standard, I like Mack a little more than Samuel. Good luck.

  14. ↓ Post By mcastrilli74@gmail.com

    I need two in a std league…
    TY Hilton
    Josh Gordon
    Mark Ingram

  15. ↓ Post By Buck_Nasty

    Full ppr: flex Ebron, James White, or Sony?

  16. ↓ Post By rw-MqUhdvYy0

    Coleman or Wilson today?

    1. ↓ Post By rw-MqUhdvYy0

      Sorry, you guys already answered in a different thread. Rolling with Coleman. Thanks!

  17. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Standard scoring, I need you guys to
    Pick 2..
    Sony michael
    James White
    Gus Edwards
    D Henry
    Mack

  18. ↓ Post By bdenn2

    PPR, if TY doesn’t go, Godwin or T Smith?
    Thanks

  19. ↓ Post By Crazy Horse

    well – one last question for the year since its likely I go down this week. — Marion Mack or Jaylen Samuels thanks for all of your sage advice.

  20. ↓ Post By Tybee Island Pirates

    1 ppr, flex pick one…I’m a long shot to win

    Marlon Mack
    Larry Fitz
    Curtis Samuels

  21. ↓ Post By ronm524@yahoo.com

    Alex, Byron, Trashman, and RW Nation!
    Team Name: Durmstrang Dragons
    Record: 8-5

    Dynasty league question: Should I trade George Kittle for Baker Mayfield? I have Aaron Rogers as my QB and Njoku as my other TE. Just thinking about the future of my team. Please advise. Thanks!

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