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VEGAS TOOL: Week 3 DFS Flex Values Based on Sportsbook Player Props

Here is a tool you can use in your Week 3 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring this weekend.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, as well as general TD-scoring odds averages, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, starting in 2021, we have begun putting the tool out to be available on Thursdays for use in the THU-MON slates, which means we are pulling props from some different providers than previously, and as always, lines will differ from book to book. We hope you enjoy the format of the new Vegas Tool.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go to the Vegas Tool in your PRO downloads section.

9 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By sdboor

    10 team PPR 0-2 Another coach dropped T Sermon
    My team Play 1QB 2 RB 3 WR 1 TE 1 Flex
    QB Tannehill
    RB AKamara, MSanders, JRobinson, ChaseEdmunds, MDavis EMitchell
    WR DHopkins, KAllen, JaChase, AntonioBrown, RondaleMoore
    IR Bench spotJLandry (IR)
    TE GEverett

    Should I pick up TSermon off of waivers? If so, who to drop?
    Thank you

  2. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

    I would like to pick up Sermon, but I just don’t see who I’m comfortable dropping for him given your roster makeup.

  3. ↓ Post By sdboor

    So I would rather have EMitchell than Sermon in a PPR?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      It seems like the 49ers would rather have him at this point, doesn’t it? I haven’t seen Sermon yet this year and we can only read the tea leaves as we see them.

      1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

        Don’t forget about Jacques Patrick!?

  4. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Thank you!

  5. ↓ Post By Tslate

    Happened to be by my phone when CMAC went down last night. I had a waiver move left in a standard league. I immediately grabbed Chuba and cut David Johnson. Any thoughts? Impulse buy I will regret or am I headed down legendary GM path! Any thoughts?

  6. ↓ Post By sdboor

    10 team PPR 0-2 Another coach dropped T Sermon
    My team Play 1QB 2 RB 3 WR 1 TE 1 Flex
    QB Tannehill
    RB AKamara, MSanders, JRobinson, ChaseEdmunds, MDavis EMitchell
    WR DHopkins, KAllen, JaChase, AntonioBrown, RondaleMoore
    IR Bench spotJLandry (IR)
    TE JCook

    Should I pick up Chuba Hubbard or Royce Freeman – Both are FA? Drop who?

  7. ↓ Post By sdboor

    10 team PPR
    RB AKamara, MSanders, JRobinson, ChaseEdmunds, MDavis EMitchell
    WR DHopkins, KAllen, JaChase, AntonioBrown, RondaleMoore
    IR Bench spotJLandry (IR)

    If TSermon clears Concussion protocol do i pick him up off of waivers and drop EMitchel?

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