PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 3 DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 3 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

28 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    The good news, looks like I should start Sanders over Cooks. Looks like Vegas is avoiding most of my key players (Mel Gordon, Barkley, Conners, Fournette, Ju Ju,).

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      It’s still early. More props will come out as the night goes on

  2. ↓ Post By Kenneth Bone's Mustache

    Kenny Golladay or Marvin Jones for the long-term solution? 1/2 pt ppr.

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Jones should out produce golladay for the full season

  3. ↓ Post By eyak29

    Are there any good options at wr that are $3500 or below on DK? I have Sutton in now but I was wondering what you guys think. I’m brewing up a sick lineup.

  4. ↓ Post By tcards19

    Rank 1 through 3 for rest of season. Wilson, Fitzpatrick, Stafford. Wilson and Fitz are available and I own Stafford.

    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Wilson, Stafford, Fitz

  5. ↓ Post By tcards19

    12 Team half point PPR. Latavius Murray is available and I’m a Cook Owner. I would need to drop one of the following to pick him up. TY Hilton, Agholor, Sanders, Kupp, Lindsay, Alex Collins. Should I drop one for Murray and if so who?

    Thanks again.

    1. ↓ Post By tcards19

      I also have J Howard, Gio Bernard, and Deandre Hopkins on my roster.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Best would be to trade Gio and one other player (a sell high like Agholor) to the Mixon owner, to clear a roster spot and scoop up Murray.

        If I had to drop somebody, it would prob be Lindsay. Half of me wants to say Bernard, if you drop him nobody else should be able to play him this wk – just get concerned on the off chance Mixon is out longer than expected that you would be dropping somebody potentially valuable.

        If I owned Cook- I’d drop Lindsay for Murray in a heartbeat.

  6. ↓ Post By Sid

    based on values I keep falling into a ryan, julio, Ridley stack. coming back with Kamara on the other side. how you feel about that ATL stack vs pivoting from Julio to say Evan’s… in draftkings

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      listen to the podcast. that is a solid stack

  7. ↓ Post By bump_58262002@yahoo.com

    What you think about calvin Ridley 4 vqlue?

  8. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    Team name: Insane Clowney Posse, PPR, who to start at flex: Lewis vs JAX, Michel vs DET, or Cooper vs MIA? Thanks for the POP and SIZZLE!

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      cooper but this will be Sony’s coming out week

  9. ↓ Post By N-Trigue

    Should I drop Stafford or Luck for Goff? PPR League 25yrds 1pt, Bonus: 1pt 300yrds, 2pts 400 yrds

    2. ↓ Post By eyak29

      you most likely dont even need to have two qbs on your roster

  10. ↓ Post By dsingh

    Thinking about pulling the trigger, needed last minute advice. Would be getting him for Week 4 so I would have Cooper for this week.

    0-2 PPR
    Getting: Josh Gordon
    Giving: Cooper

    Can start up to 5 Wrs
    WRs: Julio, Juju, Cooper, Woods, Sanders, Miller, Callaway, Sutton

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      I know the Alex and Byron like the Black Anaconda but I want nothing to do with the guy

  11. ↓ Post By vwyatt1983@yahoo.com

    Team name: F U and Your Stat Correction
    Full point PPR and .5 per rushing attempt. Should I flex Michel? I have J. Gordon, Kupp, Fitz, Anthony Miller, Corey Davis and Nyheim Hines on my bench. Also, if you would play one of those over Michel would you play Michel or AP at RB2 this week?

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Play Sony over AP and Kupp in the other spot

      1. ↓ Post By vwyatt1983@yahoo.com

        Hope Sony scores more than 33.5 cause that is what I left on the bench.

  12. ↓ Post By Dan

    Hey Guys love the site and show, thanks.

    Latavius Murry is available in my league and right now Alex Collins is in my RB2 slot. I have Crowell, however he already played this week.

    Should I drop someone for Murry?

    R Fitzpatrick
    M Stafford

    M. Thomas
    K. Allen
    T. Gurley

    A. Collins
    O. Howard
    G. Tate

    M. Jones
    K. Johnson
    S. Watkins

    I. Crowell
    A. Callaway

    Kicker and Def

  13. ↓ Post By vwyatt1983@yahoo.com

    Is Corey Davis even worth hanging on to? I know he is the #1 but that team lives in the bottom of Trashman’s bag along with Buffalo.

  14. ↓ Post By rw-unOFKmh96

    Hi nation

    I have Coleman, Zeke, ty hill, Shuster, k Allen and Murray. I can only start 5.

    10 team full point PPR.

  15. ↓ Post By domplzblv

    Do these have any effect on weekly rankings? For example Cook, Hooper, Watson, and to a lesser extent Eifert are loved by this tool. Jesse James is attached to Big Ben on the road and absent from this tool(yes I know he may not have a relevant prop). Does this change your opinion of any of the TE2s available?

  16. ↓ Post By JEN

    ppr, do I drop Eddleman to p/u Murray for today, I am worried about David Johnson. Thanks

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