PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 3 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

alex bylineHere is a tool you can use in your Week 3 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.

Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)

30 Comments

  1. Post By gurpindersdeol@gmail.com

    I’m having a hard time filling out my flex position with Adams likely out. 0.5 PPR: DJ, Corey Davis, or Sanders?

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      After sanders comin up limp dicked in a wide open game vs LV no effin way i trust that prick again this week.
      Its personal

      Steelers d is LEGIT
      DJ should be stifled

      Ajb out again so jonnu and davis should have a safe floor.

      1. Post By gurpindersdeol@gmail.com

        That’s what I’m thinking too, I just can’t get myself to play Corey freakin Davis lol. Is that really what it’s come down to

  2. I’m having a flex debate as well for must win – full PPR – Mixon, Lamb, or TY???

    Also, is there a Saturday evening RW show anymore? Or just Sunday am?

    Good luck this weekend!

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      RW is the BEST show in sxm fantasy and they keep getting the shaft with their shows.
      Thank god they crank out pods and youtube vids.
      Praise RW.

      The tea leaves say ceedee
      Another shootout with the seahawks is forthcoming.
      Id wager ceedees floor is 7 ppr pts with a 40% chance of a TD
      13.5 pts.

      Mixon should get some love though.. its close.
      Philly should run away with this game so mixon could be game script fodder.

      If its me though i go with the RB by a cunt hair.

  3. Post By Jhintz2010@gmail.com

    Looking for some starting QB help. Stafford or Burrow for week 3?

    1. Post By gurpindersdeol@gmail.com

      Check the rankings. Stafford ahead a bit and he has Golladay back

    2. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      If its any indication the boys have staff on their dfs sheet
      So go stafford

  4. Should I consider picking up darrynton Evans for Snell?

    1. Post By Baron VonIronCock

      I dont get paid enough to answer this.
      But
      I think snell value is greater than evans given conner is somewhat injury prone.

  5. Would you play Mike Davis over Julio this week if Julio plays?

    1. I don’t think Julio plays,but if he does,you can’t be confident in starting him as he could disappear like last game.

  6. Full PPR, need one please…

    Emmanuel Sanders
    Will Fuller
    Marvin Jones Jr
    Antonio Gibson

    1. I’m going to go Jones there.

  7. Full PPR pick two, starting Woods and JuJu

    Swift, Gage, Dionte Marvin Jones

    1. Oh geez. Even though you have two Steelers WRs,you can’t bench Diontae. I think I go Gage here. 21 targets in 2 games and with Julio’s health in question I think he’ll get a healthy amount of targets yet again.

  8. Brady or Tannehill? 6 pt passing us

    Gibson, Swift, D.Lewis, J.Wilson pick two in ppr?

    Kupp, Hollywood, D.Henderson pick a WR and a flex in ppr?

    Woods, Djax, Lamb, Slayton pick two in ppr?

    1. Tannehill
      Swift
      Kupp and Hollywood
      Woods and Lamb

  9. Post By scottfoil@yahoo.com

    1 Pt PPR Superflex league. Need 2 between Helaire, Jonathan Taylor and Sanders. Am I crazy to consider benching my No. 1 Pick helaire this week. My QBs are Murray & Ryan.

    Receiver wise I need 2 between Woods, Fuller, Gage, Hurst (We don’t have to start a TE), and MVS

    1. What a team – I can’t believe I’d have to bench CEH too I guess. Might go Gage now with Julio out. GL

  10. PPR flex pick 1
    John Brown, Marvin Jones, JK Dobbins,

  11. Post By rrichardson1235@gmail.com

    Non PPR need an RB and a flex.

    Montgomery, Hollywood Brown, Mike Davis, Hunt

  12. PPR PICK 2: Robert Woods, Hollywood Brown, Diggs

    1. Very tough but I would personally go Diggs and Hollywood GL

  13. Golladay, Kelley or m davis? Need 1.
    .5 ppr

  14. Post By CBrown@aplusconst.com

    In a 12 team ppr I have Stafford, Minshew, Cooper, McLaurin, Slayton, Ruggs, Miller, Chubb, McCaffrey, Fournette,
    Gibson, Snell, Mattison, Kittle and Hockenson. Would you trade A. Gibson and Hockenson for TY Hilton and Mike Davis?

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