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VEGAS TOOL: Week 4 DFS Flex Values Based on Sportsbook Player Props

Here is a tool you can use in your Week 4 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring this weekend.

By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, as well as general TD-scoring odds averages, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.

We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.

PLEASE NOTE:

– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, starting in 2021, we have begun putting the tool out to be available on Thursdays for use in the THU-MON slates, which means we are pulling props from some different providers than previously, and as always, lines will differ from book to book. We hope you enjoy the format of the new Vegas Tool.

– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.

– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.

– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.

– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.

– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.

Click here to go to the Vegas Tool in your PRO downloads section.

24 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By rw-qiGJ9ot1q

    Should I drop fields for Darnold as my backup. I also have Rodgers and Allen ? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Ani Sridhar

      With Rodgers and Allen don’t need to drop Fields. He has the higher upside. Is this SuperFlex? If it isn’t superflex then you should be trying to trade Rodgers or Allen for assets at other positions.

  2. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    .5 Ppr

    Would you rather roster Michael Carter or JJ Taylor ? Both are available.. or I could drop Tony Jones, not a Kamara owner, and get both. Would probably be dropping Elijah Moore to get one of them

    1. ↓ Post By Ani Sridhar

      Would rather have Michael Carter

  3. ↓ Post By PhillysPhinest

    I am starting Chase tonight, would you rather sutton or Boyd in the flex? 0.5ppr

    1. ↓ Post By Ani Sridhar

      Since you already have Chase I would lean Sutton here.

  4. ↓ Post By RWFan

    Worth using number 3 waiver on Antonio brown?

    1. ↓ Post By RWFan

      14 team league

  5. ↓ Post By Ani Sridhar

    Yes, who would you be dropping?

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Of course

  6. ↓ Post By sdboor

    10 team 1-2

    Defense question
    I have New England D
    Denver Baltimore and Carolina on Waiver right now

    Thinking of picking up Denver

    Question:
    Rest of season Is Denver the Def I would wish from the above list for ROS ?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yes! Pick them up!

  7. ↓ Post By sdboor

    PPR
    I have TSermon as my 5th RB on the bench
    EMitchell is available – would I rather own E Mitchell going forward?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yes, I think I’d rather have Mitchell.

  8. ↓ Post By sdboor

    I have Tannehill in 10 team 4 point pass TD 6 point run TD
    Cousins and Darnold available

    Drop Tannehill?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yep- Cousins should have been owned long ago

  9. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Is Michael Thomas NO worth a bench stash if I need WR with WR 2+ potential by the end of the season dropping other on my bench MDavis (Atl) or Sutton or Cooks?
    PPR

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      You could maybe drop Davis for him if you want to- might be a tiny bit premature – but if you are deep at RB and get away with it- why not- he’s basically dead weight rn— which of course is the same concern w/ Thomas but not a horrible speculative play

  10. ↓ Post By John Hunsberger

    . 5 ppr would you trade Mike evans and juedy for Ridley ?

    Other wrs are AB , mclaurin, arob?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      No, but I might trade Allen Robinson and Jeudy for him. Or, Antonio brown and a lesser piece (not Jeudy)

  11. ↓ Post By mendelbaum

    .5 point per…start 2 RB 2 WR 1 flex, IM 2-1

    My RB
    Carson
    Harris
    Montgomery
    Michel
    Pollard
    J Williams

    My WR
    Adams
    Robinson
    Antonio Brown
    J Jones
    Higgins
    Sanders

    I send Carson off for Metcalf. Would like some consistency at WR2. Si o no?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Hell yeah I would send Carson for Metcalf!!!

  12. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

    Hopefully you pull that off before the games. Then you prob start Harris and Monty + Adams and ARob (if Foles or Dalton start) – if not then roll w/ AB. The flex is likely Carson or Metcalf-

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