PRO VEGAS TOOL: Week 6 NFL DFS Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props – RB, WR, TE
Here is a tool you can use in your Week 6 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the fantasy production occurring in this opening weekend of action.
By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings/FanDuel pricing as a tool in gaining an edge.
We can, of course, also use it as a tool in making decisions for our season-long leagues as well.
PLEASE NOTE:
– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet as the bookmakers get them to us through Saturday evenings in-season and later in the week during the playoffs. Please check back leading into lineup lock if you don’t see a player you’re interested in listed on the sheet.
– Due to the fact that we pull props from numerous sources both online and private, sometimes props between books and line-makers can differ, especially when getting them as early as we do. If we notice a major difference between two reputable books, we’ll update the sheet to use the average of the two props given, while accounting for juice.
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. Cheat Sheets can be downloaded here once available.
– Players with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with implied associated stats based on season averages and/or recent trends.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 89.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 79.5-89.5 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point.
Click here to go the shared spreadsheet (PRO MEMBERSHIP REQUIRED TO ACCESS)
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Team name – Pit of Misery. I am in last place (0-4-1) for the first time in my league due to some atrocious luck. I have 2 trades on the table in a 12 team, full PPR league. We start 3 WRs, 2 RBs, and a flex. 1 point per 20 yards receiving/rushing. 2 bonus points at 100 yd mark. 2 bonus points for 40+ yd TDs. 5 pts for receiving TDs (+1 for the reception, making it 6 total), 6 points for rushing TDs.
My Team:
WRs – Sanders, Ridley, Watkins, Galladay, Callaway, Sutton, Coutee
RBs – D. Johnson, Fournette, Yeldon, McCaffrey, K. Johnson, Juszczyk, D. Foreman (IR slot)
TE – Reed
I have been offered the following 2 trades:
Thielen, Drake, and Kamara for DJ, McCaffrey, and Ridley
or
Landry and McCoy (would only accept this if you think there is a strong possibility of him getting traded in real life) for DJ and Watkins
Either trade WOULD go through this week, so the first trade is important as I would be without Kamara this week. I also think DJ is going to be better and better (great schedule coming up) as they start to utilize him in the passing game more.
Let me know your thoughts!
Also, there are no playoffs in this league.
If you can get Theilen and Kamara definitely do that.
Start Josh Gordon or Enunwa in my flex in 1PPR?
and
Drop Buck Allen for Ronald Jones or Marlon Mack in 1PPR?
Thanks.
Turn Down for Watt, 3-2, PPR: Gamble that Michel does play (Sunday Night game), or play either Hyde or John Brown?
Insane Clowney Posse, 2-3 Standard: Start Cooks vs DEN or Sanders vs LAR. Don’t know if concussion and snow leans towards Sanders?
Ununwa is mutch safer. If Hogan ends up being out (which I don’t think he will be), then you have a case for Gordon.
Do not drop Buck Allen for either. Jones will never catch a bunch of passes. Allen easily has the highest floor of the bunch and his been trending upwards in snap counts with Collins fumbling issues.
In a must win game this week. I’m 1-4 and my opponent started Jeffery and Barkely.
Need to upgrade my WR3 (Anthony Miller). Trade away Ingram for Brandin Cook or Baldwin?
Ppr need 1 wr and 1 flex crowell, Mike davis, k cole, enunwa, Fitzgerald, stills or demaryius Thomas?
thomas, crowell if he goes. if not, then enunwa
DK question; played Saquon Thursday night so have a head start this week. Do you like the WR/TE combo of Landry/Uzomah or Boyd/Njoku better?
the first group
WOW, thanks a lot for this. Lol
ppr Baldwin, Robinson, Miller, Lewis need 1 for the flex?
i’d go with baldwin in a ppr
Okay, need help. LeSean McCoy or Austin Eckeler? Gordon is my RB1. PPR scoring.
mccoy
Thanks TM!
Team name: God Hates Jags (3-2). Do I start Dalvin Cook, Aaron Jones, Mike Williams or Vance McDonald at the Flex?
Full point PPR….. Sorry.
tough, cook or jones. probably jones, as he won’t be on a snap count
Team Name Tusken Raiders. Record 3-2. Is it nuts to bench David Johnson for Carson. 1 Pt PPR. I’m down 21 pts. after the Giants-Eagles game.
you can’t get them both in? dj always has the upside
Takin out the trash, 3-2. Guys, I’m up 115 to 79. 1 point PPR league. He has Aaron Rogers and D. Adams tomorrow. I have the choinpce of Michel Or Tyreek Hill in flex and the Packer defense.
What do you think? Who would you start?
Thanks,
Trashman in training!