Week 10 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available
Week 10 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
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The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.
NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!
*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****
HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?
THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.
THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.
Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.
THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).
HOW TO USE THE SHEET
Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.
Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.
The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.
Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.
28 Comments
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J Howard or C Hyde in Cash – half point ppr …and why?
That is a really tough call as both have excellent matchups. But I am leaning towards Howard. Rosterwatch rankings this week have Howard 4 slots or so ahead as well. As for why…. because Stone Cold says so!!!! If that is not enough I simply liked the fact that the Bears stayed committed to Howard last week and Sometimes Hyde disappears for long spurts during the game for some dumb reason. If that is not enough then flip a coin!
Thank you! I was initially leaning Hyde…but the more I thought about it…the more Howard made sense. I just needed permission to trust my thought process!
This should be a good game script for Howard volume, I would roll Howard. He’s. beast with volume. Hyde is obviously solid too, I’d probably user Hyper and make a lineup with both.
If you check the Vegas tool, today- Howard is right at the top
Since I responded to you news has come out that even more LBs for the Giants might be out this week. This really is a coin flip. Hyde could see a shitload of check downs etc. if Hyde gets rolling against that D and if the Giants quit again… well you see where I am going. If your gut says Hyde go Hyde if your gut says Howard go Howard. Keep flipping the coin!
If you had to build your lineups around two players this week who would it be?
I like Stanford and Tate. Or any two of the big money backs.
If the week 10 DFS cheat sheet encompassed the Sunday &Monday Night game; Would any WRs make the sheet?
Team name: Boner Fournette, 5-4 need a RB2 and a flex in PPR league. Doug Martin, Keenan Allen, Duke Johnson, or Aaron Jones. Thanks in advance!
Maritn
PPR. need 2 cooks, devante parker, deandre hopkins sanu(“might be able to cut sanu for robert woods)
Parker and Hopkins
I’m 7-2 in a 10 team standard. I have McCoy, J. Howard, K. Drake, and Blount. Should I drop Blount or Drake to pick up Cohen? I’m just thinking about the amount of work going to the Rb in Chicago Incase of an injury to Howard.
Can drop Blount or drake for him if you really want to
Need (1) Flex. PPR.
Reed
Damien Williams
Derrick Henry
Pryor
Williams
Need some help in my flex this week , half PPR. Adam Thielen or Sterling Shepard?
Shepard
Would Parker be a better DFS play over woods, Jackson, kearse, or sanu? I’m leaning woods or sanu
He didn’t make the cheat sheet so I would guess no.
1/2 pt PPR. Jordy or Cupp?
Thanks
I like cupp a lot this week. I think he put preforms woods
need 2 PPR sanu, cooks, hopkins, devante parker .. also, need 1 rb. martin, duke johnson, kenyon drake
sorry i didnt see your answer to me above
sorry i dindt see your answer to me above
Which is the better WR combo for DraftKings DFS Week 10- G. Tate/R. Woods or M. Jones/R.Anderson?
Would you trade Yimmy for TY? Hurting for WRs.