Week 12 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 12 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

21 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Austin Benedict

    1) Ppr.
    Burkhead, Martin, Powell.

    2) standard
    Fitz, Sanu, Ginn. Looking for a high floor.

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      Martin and Fitz

  2. ↓ Post By Trace17

    A team has no name. record 5-6, standard league

    Need another win, you guys helped me get one last week to stay alive

    With Freeman now declared out, I have Coleman luckily but I need to replace him as my Flex (I had Freeman as my RB2 and Coleman as my flex). S. Watkins or J. White or drop Watkins/White for Drake/Williams (best options on WW)

    1. ↓ Post By eyak29

      I like Watkins this week.

  3. ↓ Post By mc77

    I would like to see some updated dynasty rankings. My league pickups will be closing next week and won’t reopen until after our draft next September. I am thinking about stashing Aaron Jones. Do you think he is a good add in a PPR dynasty? I have to drop a rb to add him and the drop will be Doug Martin. DeAngelo Henderson is another option.

  4. ↓ Post By eyak29

    I would drop Henderson for Jones at this point

    1. ↓ Post By mc77

      I didn’t word that very well. The pickup would be either Henderson or Jones and I would cut Doug Martin

  5. ↓ Post By zevo82@yahoo.com

    1 point PPR….Watkins, Demaryius Thomas or I can pick up Martavis Bryant…thanks happy holidays!

    1. ↓ Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com

      With JuJu being declared out Bryant should see and increased number of targets. A chance for redemption!

  6. ↓ Post By zevo82@yahoo.com

    Sry…only need one of the above! Thanks again

  7. ↓ Post By rudymazzocca@yahoo.com

    Ppr drop a.morris or riddick to pick up j stewart?

    1. ↓ Post By woo.jonathanwoo

      Can you drop Morris right now?

  8. ↓ Post By grh1988

    1/2 point ppr, having a hard time picking a flex between:
    Doug Martin, D. Booker, Corey Davis, Corey Coleman, and Zay Jones

    I’ve got J. Howard and Dion Lewis locked into my 2 starting rb spots.

  9. ↓ Post By zevo82@yahoo.com

    Thoughts on Corey Coleman this week? Ppr

    1. ↓ Post By woo.jonathanwoo

      He’s got obvious chemistry with Kizer, so his floor looks to be pretty solid in PPR.

  10. ↓ Post By dcrump1987

    Standard League I need 1 wr 1 flex

    Maclin, Parker, Kupp, Forte, Mixon Peterson, Henry thanks

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Maclin/Mixon.
      WRs been lightning up Houston’s secondary.
      Mixon is on the top of the Vegas tool.

  11. ↓ Post By stephen

    flacco, tyrod,fitzpatrick, brissett. need 2 also PPR who should i cut for dede westbrook. i am already in the playoffs and just preparing for the playoff run. devante parker, jamal williams, mckissic-

  12. ↓ Post By RTJB

    Ppr need 2 kupp, duke, Lewis or burkhead? And other league ppr need 1 rb 1 flex kupp, Duke or ajayi?

  13. ↓ Post By Chief58

    PPR. Fitz, Kupp, C. Coleman, Sanu? Need 2.

    Thanks

  14. ↓ Post By rw-o1WFDOpJs

    PPR need 1 D Murray, D Thomas or Kupp?

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