Week 14 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 14 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

38 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By ea4582

    Standard scoring pick 1 wr
    Diggs
    Hogan
    Seals Jones
    C Coleman
    Goodwin

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      hogan if he plays, diggs otherwise

  2. ↓ Post By UberDFSDude

    12 team standard which QB to start: Big Ben, Jimmy G, Jameis.

    Same league which 2 should I start: Mike Davis, E Sanders, D Henry, Zay Jones, Kupp

  3. ↓ Post By Cancop1

    How do you project the impact on Bengals secondary losing both Kirkpatrick and Pacman plus their #1 Safety? I’m between Emmanuel Sanders at home vs a Juicy Jets def or Dontrell Inman vs the Bengals at flex for PPR

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      i like inman for those reasons and the fact that he’s the no.1 option for the bears. i’m not certain that sanders is playing healthy either.

  4. ↓ Post By johnnyG

    Hey roster watch!!
    Need some help. Need 2 rbs and a flex.
    J. Howard
    K. Hunt
    A. Morris
    Crabtree
    K. Benjamin
    S. Shepard
    Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By johnnyG

      0.5 ppr

    2. ↓ Post By Trashman

      morris, hunt, crabtree

  5. ↓ Post By Jeff

    Very satisfied customer! Please help a brother out. In playoffs- 1/2 pt PPR, Hyde or Burkhead? Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      burkhead, good luck

  6. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    Need QB Help: C. NEWTON or D.CARR ???

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      i like carr’s upside this week, but if you feel like you just need a high floor this week, cam is the safe option.

      1. ↓ Post By Sanchez

        TRASHMAN, here is my Team: Which QB would ‘YOU’ start this week if this was your squad??? NEWTON or D. CARR?

        RBs: L. Bell & T. Gurley
        WRs: Alshon Jeffery & Josh Gordon
        TE: D. Walker
        FLEX: T. Coleman (played already & gave me only 3.2 points)
        DEF: JAGs
        K: Gostkowski

        Which QB would ‘YOU’ start this week if this was your squad??? NEWTON or D. CARR?

  7. ↓ Post By james

    So it’s come to this.

    Cousins or Winston?

    and in another

    Keenam or Winston?

    thanks so much!

  8. ↓ Post By james

    Please help with this one.

    K. Allen
    A. Thielen
    B. Cooks
    L. Fitz
    M. Evans

    I can play 3. This has been my season long dilemma.

  9. ↓ Post By Trashman

    tough, i’d go allen, cooks, fitz

  10. ↓ Post By gr8one_22@hotmail.com

    I need 2, 1 pt PPR
    K. Allen
    Thielen
    Tate
    Josh Gordon

    I am leaning towards Allen and Thielen, figured I go in the playoffs with what got me there.

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      yeah, gotta dance with who brung ya

  11. ↓ Post By Sanchez

    TRASHMAN, the following is my Team: Which QB would ‘YOU’ start this week (NEWTON or D. CARR) if this was your squad ??

    RBs: L. Bell & T. Gurley
    WRs: Alshon Jeffery & Josh Gordon
    TE: D. Walker
    FLEX: T. Coleman (played already & gave me only 3.2 points)
    DEF: JAGs
    K: Gostkowski

    Which QB would ‘YOU’ start this week if this was your squad??? NEWTON or D. CARR?

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      carr, 400+ yards and 3 tds his first meeting with kc this season.

      1. ↓ Post By Sanchez

        THANK YOU TRASHMAN!!!

  12. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    1 PPR: Kupp or Funchess?

  13. ↓ Post By freebird

    Standard scoring and projected to tie my opponent after I played Kamara. Need a FLEX (RB or WR) and not feeling good about MEvans this week. Do I go with the highest floor? My choices are:

    RB-DHenry/MDavis/KWilliams/PBarber
    WR-SShepard/MGoodwin/JDoctson

    And, I have QBs DCarr and JWinston. I can get CKeenum. Who has the highest floor?
    thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      i think i think davis is the play. i think carr has the highest floor and upside. went over 400 yards against kc earlier this season.

  14. ↓ Post By clublevel

    Standard scoring league I need to pick one rb out of McCaffrey, Burkhead or Gio?

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      i’d say gio is the safe play. he won’t come out on goal line plays like the other two might. burkhead is probably the upside play.

  15. ↓ Post By Marianna1157

    So I’ve been cruising all season, and the first week of playoffs I’m in the hole cause I started Kamara, Ingram, and Will Lutz.

    Which QB is in a favorable spot for a lot of upside? I know what Carr did against KC, but can it happen twice???

    Pick one: Carr or Roethlisberger?????

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      carr is the upside play

  16. ↓ Post By stephen

    ppr. kareem hunt or crabtree in the flex.. also, keenum or carr

  17. ↓ Post By stephen

    ppr. kareem hunt or crabtree in the flex..

  18. ↓ Post By NFreitas11@yahoo.com

    1 point ppr I can start 3
    Howard
    Perine
    Mccaffrey
    Morris
    L. Murray

  19. ↓ Post By Trashman

    perine, mccaffrey, morris

  20. ↓ Post By Pablackbird

    Half pt ppr. Perine or MCCaffrey?

  21. ↓ Post By frankymarcell12@gmail.com

    @ Trashman @ Alex I am going into a playoff game tonight down by 1.4 against Dion Lewis and I have Rex Burkhead or Kenyan Drake, Which rb should i play to give me the better odds to win and get to my conference championship game?

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