Week 15 DFS Cheat Sheets (DrafKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 15 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

17 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Proggie02

    Not exactly on this topic, but I have a roster question for my league. I think I’m over thinking this. Standard league. I have Alfred Morris and Kerwynn Williams. Marquis Lee is available. I need to choose one for my flex. I should start Morris, right? Despite the matchups tool saying he has the hardest of the three?

    Sorry about posting here as well, I wasn’t sure if you were looking anymore at the old post’s comments.

    Thank you!

    1. ↓ Post By Proggie02

      Aaaaaaand I see Trashman’s flex rankings to confirm. So nevermind, question answered. Thanks! 🙂

  2. ↓ Post By Robert

    Full point ppr playoff game. Should I play C Kupp or Lat Murray?

      1. ↓ Post By Robert

        Extra stinky trashman!!!
        Thx-

  3. ↓ Post By AllabouttheTD

    Plz help big dogs! Ppr league playoffs. Need 2 Wr and flex. B cook, Mike Evans, D funchess, t hill, josh Gordon. You can see why I need the help! Thx rosterwatch

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      hill, funchess, and cooks

  4. ↓ Post By John Olson

    Gentz, I need three of these in a semi against a stacked team. I have Lynch, Ingram, Collins, Henry and Gio. Standard league, team name Ravaged Beeeatches.

    1. ↓ Post By Trashman

      ingram, collins, gio. just don’t know how much upside lynch has this week

  5. ↓ Post By John Olson

    Also, Hunter Henry or Evan Engram?

    Thanks

  6. ↓ Post By Kenneth Bone's Mustache

    Collins or J Williams.
    S Shepard/J Doctson/D Westbrook.
    Non-PPR. Thx RW.

  7. ↓ Post By Trashman

    collins, westbrook

  8. ↓ Post By cadaract

    PPR Playoffs,
    QB A. Smith or Cam I’m leaning Cam
    RB Alex Collins and Kenyan Drake… Bench I have Morris, M. Davis, Mckinnon
    WR Agholor, J. Gordon, and D. Hopkins … Bench I have Mike Evans, Robby Anderson, Sanu (LP)
    TE I have Clay starting but Ebron on the bench.
    Also have Chargers D… should I swap a top 10 D going against a top 10 O. for Bills, skins or Lions?
    Remember this is playoffs and I’m going against
    Brady,
    Kamara, Jamaal Williams,
    Goodwin, Westbrook, D. Baldwin,
    Engram at TE, and OF COURSE the Saints Defense that I once had and swapped for Chargers when the Saints played LAR.

  9. ↓ Post By sallen@sccoast.net

    need help bad , Standard scoring need 2, M Sanu , Ju Shuster, C Kupp, J Crowder ???

  10. ↓ Post By sallen@sccoast.net

    sorry forgot Westbrook outta that group

  11. ↓ Post By Pablackbird

    0.5ppr
    Need 1 rb from McCaffrey, Collins or Perine
    Need 2 wr from MThomas, Cooks, Thielen or Goodwin
    One of these can also be used in my (rb/wr) flex
    Thanks guys

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