Week 2 DFS Main Slate Cheat Sheets and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now Available

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

PRO members, click here to head over to the downloads section to use the sheets or give HyperDFS a spin.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

46 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Gman

    12 Team, ½ PPR – Start QB, 2 RB, 2WR, 1TE, 1 Flex

    QB- K. Murray
    RB- L.Bell, L Fournett, M Ingram, M Mack, T Coleman (inj), A Mattison
    WR- M Evans, J Landry, C Samual, A Miller, MVS, T Mclauren
    TE- M Andrews

    I have a couple of questions which I could use your insight with.

    1. I need to drop one for a defense—Who would you drop?
    2. Should I drop any other player to pick up Big Ben or J. Allen at QB?
    3. Others available on WW- J Hill & N Fant? Any interest?
    4. Do I continue to hold Coleman or look for trade? Who is a good trade target?

    Thanks for all your help. You guys rock!!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      1. Prob Miller
      2. Maybe if you want another QB for this wk, but I’m very comfortable w/ Kyler on the season.
      3. Yes, as and Ingram owner having Hill or Edwards would be nice—–maybe drop Mattison. Yes, def interest in Fant- suppose you drop McLauren or maybe MVS for him
      4. I think Coleman is a hold, depends on what you can get. If you can get a flex you think you’re buying low on- I would do it

      1. ↓ Post By Gman

        Great advice. This is why Rosterwatch is the best!!!!

  2. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    .5 PPR

    Should I drop anyone for a Chris Thompson?

    QB:Kyler, Cousins
    WR: Godwin, Ridley, Jeffery, Kirk, Hardman
    RB: Chubb, Mixon, Fournette, Gio, Samuels,
    TE:Kittle, Waller

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob Hardman or Samuels

  3. ↓ Post By domplzblv

    Is there a bug for anyone else constantly getting update profile instead of the download page?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Please email us rosterwatch@gmail.com w/ any tech issues you are encountering. No other reported issues, at this time.

  4. ↓ Post By sal930

    Hey guys, having issues with Gravatar uploading avatar,. I have two questions, Lamar or Dak at QB and one of these four; ARob, Alshon, Tyrell, or Shady in the flex. Thanks and will try to fix the avatar issue.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Hi Sal- there is one other user who encountered an issue on that last post- and here is what he said the solution is:

      “OK had to logout of RW Pro and then log back in after the avatar was uploaded on WordPress”

      ———-

      Follow rankings for QB. I’d prob go ARob or Shady.

  5. ↓ Post By Mark

    What is the best cheat sheet to use for weekly best ball drafts?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Not a product we currently offer- would recommend rankings and guys on waiver sheet for that. Will consider for future development though, so thank you for passing on!

  6. ↓ Post By Fantasy Not So Bright

    If it wasn’t for the suspension, would Chris Herndon have been ranked a top 8 TE in non-ppr league?

    Is he good enough to sit on our roster until he returns?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      He would have been drafted on a lot of RW teams, prob around Mark Andrews and Hockenson. Only concern now- what about Darnold? If Herndon comes back but Darnold is not back or a shell of himself- that’s a problem.

  7. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

    Am I crazy to want to start Marlon Mack over David Johnson? 1 ppr. I can’t start both as this league is super shallow starting 2 rbs and no flex. My other rb is Barkley.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Though pretty hard about both of these guys this week, personally. Rankings consist of more than my opinion, but my stance is def baked in. I’d go with the rankings. If it’s close- go with your gut.

      1. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

        Thanks Byron!

  8. ↓ Post By R A

    I need to pick up a defense for the week. Who do you like long term between Courtland Sutton and AJ Brown? Other WRs are Evans, Allen, Diggs, Kupp, Gordon, and AJ Green (IR). This league is a full PPR format with QB, WR, RB, flex, flex, flex starting lineups. I’m currently shopping Gordon hard. Suffice it to say, my team is pretty underwhelming at the moment.

    1. ↓ Post By R A

      Also, for the same league, are either Penny or Justice Hill expendable for Mattison? My RBs are weak. Chubb, Duke, Sanders, Penny, Hill. Thanks!

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Sutton for sure.

  9. ↓ Post By axszdvfc

    I really don’t understand the DWill love. Isn’t McCoy going to take over that backfield?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I like LeSean this week for sure, but for whatev set of reasons the model didn’t spit him out. I think he’s a fine play.

  10. ↓ Post By clublevel

    10 team .5 ppr someone dropped mike Williams should I drop Sutton for Williams?

    1. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

      Possibly a couple spots but I can’t imagine much more than that. Be sure to check the rankings on game day as they will be updated.

    2. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

      I would not. Keep Sutton.

  11. ↓ Post By gutsman004

    How much of a bump does Kyler get with Jimmy Smith being out. -13 for Baltimore seems like a swindle waiting to happen.

    1. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

      See above.

  12. ↓ Post By grant.ricj@gmail.com

    Any buy low candidates at RB or trade targets at the RB position that havent had a great week 1 that you can recommend? Im very thin at that position as I only have James Conner, Guice is injured.

    1. ↓ Post By Pop Rocks

      If you want to live on the edge then Devontae Freeman, David Montgomery, Joe Mixon, or Sony Michel. Kinda tough to recommend trade targets and such so early in the year but these may be some. Happy hunting.

      1. ↓ Post By grant.ricj@gmail.com

        Okay, thanks for the response

  13. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    .5 POints per completion

    My QB is Kyler, I have cousins as a back up.

    With the run heaviness of Minnesota, do you think I should gamble on Minshew with the .5 per completion setting.

    Would you drop Cousins for Minshew? Or hold tight….

    Thank you!

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      LOLOLOL. Fantasy is the best! I’d hold Capt Kirk.

      1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

        Haha. Classic. You guys fucking rock!

  14. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Waiver wire question Great draft but weak in RB depth
    My team

    PPR
    OBJ, AntBrown, TBoyd, CGodwin, CSamuel, ARobinson, CKirk
    McCaffrey, DelvCook MBreida, RoyceFreeman, CHyde, RJones
    I play 3RB 4 WR and 2 Flex

    Should I Drop CKirk and pick up AP Drop CKirk and pick up TyWilliams or stand as is

    Can’t drop RJones until next week

    1. ↓ Post By sdboor

      I have A.Mattison as a HC for DelvCook

      To the above question:
      Drop CKirk for TyWilliams (I own KMurray)
      And Drop AMattison for APeterson?

  15. ↓ Post By sdboor

    I own KMurray and Goff 4 points per pass TD

    MAtt Ryan and JAllen are both Free Agents

    Should I scoop up Ryan and drop Murray or Goff?

    1. ↓ Post By sdboor

      I scooped up Matt Ryan and dropped Murray

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Man, in a 4 pt td league I would have probably kept the guy who gets you yards scrambling. Might want to grab Allen now. Ryan and Goff are almost the same guy

  16. ↓ Post By rbrusuelas@consolidated.net

    QB start sit questions: Brees at LAr or Mayfield at NYJ? Worried about Road Brees. And bigger question… should I wait on Cam to turn it around or move him for Rivers, Allen, Stafford or Dalton? Can’t believe I am asking that question…

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’m fine w/ starting Mayfield if you are worried about Drew. Could be a nice rebound spot .

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      I’d drop Cam for Rivers or Allen now.

  17. ↓ Post By nickrose89@gmail.com

    Will there be a Vegas player props list for week 2?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      It’s up

  18. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Ty Williams or CKirk in PPR
    And over next few weeks

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Ty for this week.

  19. ↓ Post By sdboor

    Should I own aMattison as HC for DelCook
    Or pick up AP for bench depth and drop Mattison?

    1. ↓ Post By FrankGrimes

      Depends. Do you need to start AP this week?

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