Week 3 DFS Cheat Sheets and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now LIVE

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 3 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise.*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

19 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By xraytakr

    My team:
    QB- Jameis
    RB- Hunt, CJ Anderson, Cook, Mixon, T Coleman, Buck Allen
    WR- Evans, K Allen, OBJ, Garcon, Kearse
    TE- Rudolph, H Henry

    A guy in my league wants Cook and OBJ. The only players he has that I would want would be M Gordon, J Nelson, Kelce, and Crabtree. I need help maximizing the trade, for my team, what player or combo of players would benefit me the most? I thought about maybe trying to throw in Rudolph and asking for Kelce and either Gordon or Nelson…..what would you do?

    1. ↓ Post By cwink2121

      Of course he wants Cook and OBJ – they’re better than his players. I’d say thanks but no thanks. and stick with what you have.

      1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

        Thanks for piping in CWink! You’re a great member of RWNation!

      2. ↓ Post By xraytakr

        Sounds like Byron is in agreement, thanks guys! I’ll hold what I have for now. I have the trade itch, for some odd reason, thanks for talking me down!

  2. ↓ Post By eyak29

    I know Gurley is a beast right now. Is it crazy to think I should sell high? All I can think about is the offseason popcasts when you guys talked about his first four games being easy then the schedule becoming a nut grinder.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Not a bad idea at all -sell super high, though. Otherwise, take your chances with the Lamborghini, and hope you don’t run out of high octane gas.

      1. ↓ Post By eyak29

        What would be the least you would take freeman? Or is that not enough?

  3. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

    You good with trading D Cook/Hilton or Jeffery for Zeke? .5 ppr

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Yeah. That’s a fair trade, and solid move.

  4. ↓ Post By nferreir@hotmail.com

    1 pt ppr. 5 bench spots. Tyrell Williams on waiver wire. Would u grab him for foreman? I got mixon, Coleman, crowell, hunt and buck Allen as other backs. Wr are Evans green Bryant and diggs.

    1. ↓ Post By AbnerLofton

      I’d probably hold foreman, your WRs are pretty set.

      Foreman’s potential upside/trade value outweigh Tyrell Williams for me.

  5. ↓ Post By jjorris13@gmail.com

    With Howard being removed from the injury report, should I start J. Howard, Hogan, Decker, Higgins, or Mixon? PPR

  6. ↓ Post By Teck_72

    You guys still high on thieland with Bradford out?

  7. ↓ Post By Vick's Doggy Daycare

    12-team PPR. In what order would you start these TEs – Graham, Ebron, Hooper?

    1. ↓ Post By Vick's Doggy Daycare

      add ASJ into there as well please.

  8. ↓ Post By mattmc.816@gmail.com

    Can’t decide who to play at rb already have freeman d cook d Henry or buck allen

  9. ↓ Post By scubasteve028@yahoo.com

    Would be helpful if changes to the DFS cheatsheets were emailed to the subscribers. Sucks always refreshing to see how many times to reconsider lineup construction.

  10. ↓ Post By jbandfield

    Fournette or Lynch as my RB2? Standard scoring but longer TDs get me more points? Does that change your ranking between these two at all?

  11. ↓ Post By jb1ckn3ll@gmail.com

    @ Byron Lambert

    Davante Adams or Jamison Crowder. PPR

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