Week 5 DFS Cheat Sheets (DraftKings, FanDuel) and HyperDFS Lineup Generator Now LIVE

Mike Band Heashot 750Week 5 DFS Cheat Sheets: FanDuel and DraftKings
By Mike Band and the RosterWatch staff
Follow Mike Band on Twitter

The epic DFS Cheat Sheets for FanDuel and DraftKings are now LIVE and available for download to RosterWatch PRO members.

 

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NEW! Check out the new and improved version of our professional lineup builder, RosterWatch HyperDFS, also in your downloads section!

*****As a reminder, we always recommend using the Cheat Sheet in conjunction with the Vegas Tool once it is published Saturday evenings as Vegas almost always identifies a few value plays who aren’t necessarily on the sheet, but may provide excellent flexibility cap-wise. Sometimes we will update the sheet through the weekend as information comes in from injury reports, Vegas or elsewhere*****

HOW DOES THE SHEET WORK?

THE GOAL of the sheet is to reduce the number of players for the weekly slate to players expected to generate Positive Surplus Value (fantasy points over salary expected points). The player pool is narrowed down to players who meet a minimum number of trends.

THE TRENDS are a series of pass/fail threshold tests of position-specific stats predictors. Through the use of predictive models, we have analyzed every predictive metric we could for each position related to Vegas Indicators, Unit Matchups, Individual Matchups, Historical Performance, Game Script, Weather, and so much more.

Using a non-linear model, we’ve found BASELINES for each metric. For each baseline TREND TEST, if the player passed, he receives a [+1]. For example, using the Matchup Tool Rankings vs. QBs, the model found that an Opponent Ranking ranked in the bottom (9) teams allow on average +3.7 surplus points to opposing QBs. If the QB’s matchup is ranked worse than the baseline, the QB receives [+1] trend. In addition to positive trends, negative trends are also included. The model found that the top ranked pass defenses vs. QBs allow on average -5.4 surplus points.

THE ORDER is determined first by position Salary Tiers, then by Total Trends. The salary tiers are colored by BLUE (High-Priced), RED (Mid-Range), PURPLE (Higher-Risk Bargains).

HOW TO USE THE SHEET

Choose the players from the sheet you like best. Mix-and-match them to create your personal, optimal lineup. It’s that simple.

Take note of projected ownership percentages when putting your team together. In 50/50, Double-Up and head-to-head contests, there is nothing wrong with rostering players who project as popular choices across the board. However, in larger field tournaments, it is always wise to differentiate from the public with a few lower-percentage plays and/or stacks.

The Vegas Tool will be out before the main slate occurs.

Click here to go to your profile page and download the Cheat Sheets and utilize the HyperDFS tool.

29 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    new trade offer:
    Get: Mike Evans. Give Doug Martin. Here is my team.

    Russell Wilson
    Hunt
    Abdullah
    Foreman
    Smallwood
    McGuire
    D Hopkins
    D Baldwin
    M Bryant
    T Pryor
    Fuller

    Thoughts on getting Mike Evans but giving up Doug Martin

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      solid deal , but we think you need Martin more than you need Evans. You should offer Abdullah or McGuire + Pryor or Baldwin for Evans- and go from there.

  2. ↓ Post By Incognito

    Would you drop Buck Allen for McKinnon or McGuire or perhaps Clement? Thinking for ROS. Thanks

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Prob for a higher upside speculative move

  3. ↓ Post By xraytakr

    Another trade offer, the other guy will not come off Fournette…..I trade Evans and get D Martin and K Benjamin. 10 team .5 PPR

    Other players are Jameis, Watson, OBJ, K Allen, Garcon, Hunt, CJ Anderson, Mixon, T Coleman, Gallman, McGuire, Rudolph, and Brate.

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Solid deal- you will still need to continue to make trade after that because of your RB depth.

      1. ↓ Post By xraytakr

        If I can get the guy to accept, would it be a better deal for me to ship Watson, CJ Anderson, and Brate/Rudolph for Fournette and Olsen?

        1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

          yes

          1. Post By xraytakr

            Thanks Byron!

      2. ↓ Post By xraytakr

        Or should I just keep who I have? I just feel weak at RB since I lost Cook.

  4. ↓ Post By jwguibert@gmail.com

    Do you guys offer ROS rankings?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Not currently, we will add the to the Trashman’s offseason development list for review as a new piece of content for him next season! Thanks a ton for the message!

  5. ↓ Post By Spinman

    after a few back & forth offers and counters:
    I acquire D Parker, Ajayi (both mindful of Byron’s inaugural trade podcast), A Hurns and D Walker;
    I trade away Alshon, McCoy (again both being mindful of trade podcast) and T Hill.
    Balance of my team: Cam/Eli; J Howard/DougM/D Henry/E MGuire; Keenan/Funchess; JReed/cook (too many cooks, err TE’s in the kitchen!).
    Do I do the deal?? Thanks RW!!!

    1. ↓ Post By Spinman

      if yes, is Reed droppable at this point? (leaving me with Walker/Cook)

    2. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      You’re close, but a couple of problems here- you don’t want 2 Dolphins, and you can’t afford to trade Tyreek Hill away. Don’t do the deal

      You should offer some combo of Henry, McGuire, Funchess or either Ajayi or Parker

  6. ↓ Post By Spinman

    Thanks BL!!! I’ll pivot to Parker.

  7. ↓ Post By Uncle_Maynard

    Got offered Dez and TY for Julio. Standard league? Thoughts?

    1. ↓ Post By maniacalmoose@gmail.com

      How’s your wr depth?

      1. ↓ Post By Uncle_Maynard

        I have Keenan Allen, garcon, Funchess and Marvin Jones.

  8. ↓ Post By maniacalmoose@gmail.com

    Does Darius slay shadow Kelvin Benjamin this week?

  9. ↓ Post By autumnhunter33

    I was offered Freeman-Foreman-Dem. Thomas for Hunt. Keep league and I have Cook, Carson on IR now. Collins, Gallman, Gills, Ekler, D. Henry. WR’s are Cobb, Amendola, M. Bryant, JuJu, Humphries. Would you do this trade?

  10. ↓ Post By rw-sXuQi4cqP

    Where’s the love for Jesse James this week? Everyone was on ASJ last week with the thinking that everything will be forced to the middle of the field with those corners and for the price, it somewhat paid off. Is he not worth a flier at 3K this week?

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      eh- if you have a trashy gut feeling- go into HyperDFS and lock James in – then run Hyper around it.

  11. ↓ Post By stephen

    PPR.dynasty. trade offer. we start 2qb 3rb 3wr 1 TD k-def. 10 bench spots. my current rbs= bell, hunt,hyde, cj anderson, mixon,, gallman, rawls. WR= odb,parker,cooks, bryant, jeffery,crabtree, juron brown. trying to get jordy nelson and i offered him hyde and jeffrey FOR jordy and james conner since i have bell. he has been thinking about it for 2 days. what do you think i can offer to push him a little? he did say that he would do desean watson and hyde for jordy and conner AND dalton but this is a dynasty 2 qb league and i was targeting watson as a keeper. i now have brady,kousins and watson.. thoughts?

    the black snake 4-0

    1. ↓ Post By Byron Lambert

      Offer him Martavis + Alshon + Mixon or Rawls. If you really want to get it done you could stick with Hyde- but that’s a lot.

  12. ↓ Post By Coldbear

    Cohen, Jones or Mixon. 1pt PPR.

    Same league 1pt PPR WR who sits
    Parker, R Matthews, W Fuller and Robert Woods? Hurting at WR this week. There some WR I could PU as FA. Terrence Williams, Aghlor, Marvin Jones or Dionte Thompson. Hurting at WR

  13. ↓ Post By justin.windsor@alliance-it.com

    Season Long (ppr)
    1 QB – Rivers, Eli, Brisset or Wentz

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