Week 6 – WR Touchdown Dependency Ratios
Byron Lambert, Rosterwatch.com

Who’s fantasy value spawns from the end zone? Who’s comes naturally anytime they touch the ball? It’s a good thing to know when making a tough roster decision.

These are the RosterWatch Week 6 WR TD Dependency Ratios.

The Week 6 Running Back TD Dependency ratios, along with other free weekly tools can be found in the Tools section.

Victor Cruz is pretty freaking good. He’s likely overproducing to some extent. It’s worth inspecting the trade possibilities. His value is at an all time high.

Definitely trade Marques Colston. His recent production is astronomical and his value is inflated.

Julio Jones is 60% more touchdown dependent than Roddy White.

Owners have to love the reliability and upside of Reggie Wayne, Percy Harvin, Brian Hartline, and Demaryius Thomas. Great plays every week.

I’m comfortable with Wes Welker having a 12% TD ratio and being the #15 ranked fantasy receiver. I’m not ok with Calvin Johnson having a 12% TD ratio and being the #17 ranked receiver. Megatron has played one less game but he still needs to start getting in the endzone.

If you have Malcom Floyd as your #3 fantasy receiver, you are super pleased.

It would really help if Brandon Lloyd, Antonio Brown, and Jordy Nelson would you know….start scoring a few more touchdowns.

Andre Johnson is an outlier in Chart 2. He has been somewhat overly touchdown dependent. He has also underperformed relative to general expectations. A bad combination.

+Chart 1 is sorted by total fantasy points on the season.
* Blue is good. It represents productive players who have not relied on touchdowns to accumulate their fantasy points. Consistency is projected ahead.
** Red is concerning. It could be an indication of over-performance. It could signal future inconsistency. These are players whose fantasy production has been heavily touchdown dependent. Players that are a good option to trade away when their value is high. If you keep them just don’t plan to rely on them on a weekly basis. They could be your wildcard players if you have an otherwise strong roster.



+Chart 2 is sorted by touchdown dependency ratio in ascending order. This chart is more of an examination of TD dependency versus points on the season vs the general expectations we had for the player.
* Green is good. It represents value in their performance and consistency.
** Yellow is alarming. In this week’s version it mostly represents guys that have been touchdown deficient relative to our expectations. The outlier is Andre Johnson.