Here is a supplemental tool you can use for your 2018 draft research and preparation for the upcoming redraft season. The tool is a simple one: it calculates and gives a visualization of the frequency with which a fantasy player either had a monster game or an awful one for fantasy purposes.
The tool is color-coded from white (the worst) to dark green (the best) and is sorted by early 2018 ADP. For the purposes of the tool, a “bust” in standard leagues is a score of anything less than 7 points while a monster is any score over 20. For PPR, the parameters are anything under 10 points being labeled as a bust while monsters are considered any output over 25. A few notes on the tool:
– No rookies are included as we do not have an NFL sample to use for fantasy points scored, obviously.
– Among veterans, the last two years of data (all games, including Week 17 and NFL playoffs when applicable) are taken into consideration. For players who only have one season of NFL data on the books, only that season was taken into consideration.
– You’ll notice some players have a star(*) next to their name in the sheet. For these players, a special set of data was taken that did not include all games in the same way the others did. Those players for the purposes of this tool are:
– James Conner’s data comes from 2018 only.
– Damien Williams’ data comes from 2018 only.
– Devonta Freeman’s data comes from 2017 and 2016.
– D’Onta Foreman’s data comes from 2017 only.