2019 RB Scoring Distribution Tool: Busts and Monsters

alex bylineHere is a supplemental tool you can use for your 2018 draft research and preparation for the upcoming redraft season. The tool is a simple one: it calculates and gives a visualization of the frequency with which a fantasy player either had a monster game or an awful one for fantasy purposes.

PRO MEMBERS: Click here to head to the downloads section and check out the tool.


The tool is color-coded from white (the worst) to dark green (the best) and is sorted by early 2018 ADP. For the purposes of the tool, a “bust” in standard leagues is a score of anything less than 7 points while a monster is any score over 20. For PPR, the parameters are anything under 10 points being labeled as a bust while monsters are considered any output over 25. A few notes on the tool:

– No rookies are included as we do not have an NFL sample to use for fantasy points scored, obviously.

– Among veterans, the last two years of data (all games, including Week 17 and NFL playoffs when applicable) are taken into consideration. For players who only have one season of NFL data on the books, only that season was taken into consideration.

– You’ll notice some players have a star(*) next to their name in the sheet. For these players, a special set of data was taken that did not include all games in the same way the others did. Those players for the purposes of this tool are:

– James Conner’s data comes from 2018 only.
– Damien Williams’ data comes from 2018 only.
– Devonta Freeman’s data comes from 2017 and 2016.
– D’Onta Foreman’s data comes from 2017 only.


  1. Keeper for this year only. PPR. Kerryon Johnson in the 6th. Sony Michel in the 9th.

    1. I think I would keep Kerryon at that price and not have to worry about Sony’s knee.

      1. I agree Alex plus Kerryon is going to be even better this year than he did last year. It is hard to say the same about Sony.

  2. Post By ronm524@yahoo.com

    Dynasty trade: should I Trade George Kittle for Tevin Coleman and Jordan Reed?
    I have Njoku and my backs are David Johnson and Derrius Guice. Picking 7th or 8th in this year’s draft.


    1. No way man

      1. Post By ronm524@yahoo.com

        Thanks for the advice, guys!

  3. With all do respect you guys have lost your minds regarding Gurley. I see he is now ranked behind Freeman whom has his own injury history. I know the team actions are signing/drafting RBs. But when rolling Gurley is without a doubt the best RB in the NFL. In the best system. They didn’t even perform any major surgeries on him this offseason. If indeed this Gurley injury hype is just fake news as I suspect his current ranking would be the biggest mistake on the sheet.

    He is a first rounder in my book and will have him ahead of Bell. Lucky all my drafts are not until September but I’m taking him in all best ball drafts at value.

    1. the sheet is not rankings and Gurley’s slotting has room to move up for sure but we’re not getting any of him at his current ADP so there is no need to artificially move him up. Please remember, the cheat sheet is not rankings.

  4. Post By evanelkan@gmail.com

    Do you guys not want any shares of Drake in 2019? Currently way down on the sheet.

    1. We’ve never wanted any shares of Drake.

      1. Post By Kwillee@hotmail.com


  5. You can keep Drake in the 4th round like I’ve seen in my last two BB drafts, give me Ballage in the 13th.

  6. Post By cpmarinelli69@gmail.com

    KEEPERS FOR THIS YEAR….need 2….kerryon round 5, luck round 7 and aaron jones round 15…leaning jones and luck….any advice

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