Here is a supplemental tool you can use for your 2023 draft research and preparation for the upcoming redraft season. The tool is a simple one: it calculates and gives a visualization of the frequency with which a fantasy player either had a monster game or an awful one for fantasy purposes.
The tool is color-coded from red (the worst) to blue (the best) and is sorted by early 2023 ADP. For the purposes of the tool, a “bust” in standard leagues is a score of anything less than 7 points while a monster is any score over 20. For PPR, the parameters are anything under 10 points being labeled as a bust while monsters are considered any output over 25. A few notes on the tool:
– No rookies are included as we do not have an NFL sample to use for fantasy points scored, obviously.
– Among MOST* veterans, the last two years of data (all games, including Week 17 and NFL playoffs when applicable) are taken into consideration. For players who only have one season of NFL data on the books, only that season was taken into consideration.
– For some veterans, special samples were taken, and in this case, you should see a * by their name. These are usually veteran players who have only had one season with their 2022 team under their belts such as Christian McCaffrey with the 49ers, Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson with the Dolphins, etc.