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PRO 2023 WR Scoring Distribution Tool: Busts and Monsters

alex bylineHere is a supplemental tool you can use for your 2023 draft research and preparation for the upcoming redraft season. The tool is a simple one: it calculates and gives a visualization of the frequency with which a fantasy player either had a monster game or an awful one for fantasy purposes.

PRO MEMBERS: Click here to head to the downloads section and check out the tool.


The tool is color-coded from red (the worst) to blue (the best) and is sorted by early 2023 ADP. For the purposes of the tool, a “bust” in standard leagues is a score of anything less than 7 points while a monster is any score over 20. For PPR, the parameters are anything under 10 points being labeled as a bust while monsters are considered any output over 25. A few notes on the tool:

– No rookies are included as we do not have an NFL sample to use for fantasy points scored, obviously.

– Among veterans, the last two years of data (all games, including Week 17 and NFL playoffs when applicable) are taken into consideration. For players who only have one season of NFL data on the books, only that season was taken into consideration.

– For some veterans, special samples were taken, and in this case, you should see a * by their name. These are usually veteran players who have only had one season with their 2021 team under their belts such as Tyreek Hill with the Dolphins, etc.


  1. 10 Team Dynasty – Year 5
    1QB Full PPR and 6pt Passing TDs

    QB: Trey Lance, Baker Mayfield, Ryan Tannehill
    RB: Breece Hall, Travis Etienne, Kenneth Gainwell, Zamir White, Jeffery Wilson, James Robinson, Keaontay Ingram, Ty Chandler, D’Ernest Johnson, Eno Benjamin
    WR: A.J. Brown, D.J. Moore, Jahan Dotson, Elijah Moore, Darnell Mooney, Tyler Boyd, Nico Collins, D.J. Chark, Rashid Shaheed, Josh Palmer, Parris Campbell, Van Jefferson
    TE: Juwan Johnson, Noah Fant, Hunter Henry

    Picks: 1.1, 1.7, 2.1, 4.1

    1) I need an honest assessment here after tanking the past 2 years and I want to finally make a competitive run but not sure if I’m quite ready?

    2a) Need to drop 4 guys for my rookie picks so who gets cut?

    2b) Could also try consolidating some depth in some 2 for 1 trades… ideas?

    3) Draft strategy question – I’m obviously taking Bijan at 1.1 but would you guys recommend taking AR at 1.7 or one of the top RB/WR there? I will have pick 2.1 as well but doubt AR falls me to there?

    Thanks in advance!

  2. 1) Once you get Bijan and your 1.7 and 2.1 you’re ready to make a run.

    2) I’d drop a few of your RBs like J-Rob, Eno, probably Keaontay. You can also drop one of your QBs like Tannehill who’s likely to only be around one more year and snag Bryce Young at 1.7 assuming A-Rich is gone.

    2) You have guys you should probably be dropping, I’d drop them and not consolidate.

    3) Take AR or like I said even consider Bryce Young. Your QBs are worrisome.

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