PRO DraftKings Week 14 Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props

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Here is a tool you can use in your Week 14 DFS research. We’ve aggregated all the open Week 14 NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the organic fantasy production occurring in Week 14.

Always remember, we talk about organic production at RosterWatch because touchdowns, while necessary to any player’s fantasy success, are unpredictable. By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.

PLEASE NOTE:

– These are not RW’s Week 14 Rankings. Those can be found on the rankings page.
– This is not a comprehensive list of all players, but we do our best to find as many props as we can across dozens of different sports books. Players will be added into the spreadsheet through Saturday Night after the SiriusXM radio performance as the bookmakers we gather the information from put them up.
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our members in decision making.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. The Week 14 Cheat Sheet can be downloaded here.
– Receivers with no over/under receptions props available have been supplemented with 2015 season-average receptions per-game adjusted per RW proprietary matchup coefficient.
– Running backs were given their season-average of receptions and receiving yards in their current situations.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 95.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 89.5 to 94.5 receive 2.5 points, 80-89 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point. Any projection under 69.5 yards does not receive an expected bonus score.

Click Here to go to the spreadsheet

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15 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By darkcloud682

    Hey RW! Made the playoffs in both leagues, one of which I have a 1st round BYE, so I only need help with one this week. 0.5 PPR, 2 QB league …. QB 5 pts pass TD, 6 pts rush TD, -5 INT. Big bonus for RBs over 100 yards. I just had Ingram go down for the season so I need a bit more help than usual.

    QB1 – Eli Manning
    QB2 – Blaine Gabbert
    RB1 – Darren McFadden
    RB2 – Shaun Draughn
    WR1 – Julio Jones
    WR2 – DeMaryius Thomas
    WR3 – Allen Hurns
    TE – Greg Olsen
    FLEX – DeVante Parker
    Bench – Latavius Murray, Tyler Lockett, Travis Kelce, Matt Ryan

    I just don’t want to play Matt Ryan this week. On the waiver wire there is also Johnny Manziel & Brock Osweiler. Gabbert has scored 18, 15, and 29 the last 3 weeks and Osweiler has only scored 23, 11, and 6. Gabbert has done is against great defenses too. What adjustments should I make?

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      like your lineup and logic DC, best of luck to you brother.

      1. ↓ Post By darkcloud682

        Thanks alex

  2. ↓ Post By renourka

    Can’t decide on who to start at the FLEX in my PPR matchup:

    J. Hill vs. PIT
    D. Parker vs. NYG
    M. Jones @CHI
    Duke Johnson vs. SF
    or even Powell vs. TEN (he’s the highest ranked RB on site rankings)

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      Feel like hill may be a tad bit safer, but I’d roll with DeVante in a PPR for the upside. PIT has not been easy to run on.

  3. ↓ Post By freebird

    TE dilemma and I need your advice.
    8 team Standard league, flex is only RB/WR so only one TE position
    I have Gronk, and picked up Kelce when he went down.
    I admire Belichick, so can’t trust my play-off game to Gronk’s travelling with the team. Both Cameron and Tye are available. Should I drop Kelce for either (I’m leaning towards Tye due to the QB) in case Gronk doesn’t play?

    I’m considering sitting Julio Jones (I’ll be playing Freeman) due to M. Ryan and a bad matchup and playing 3 of the other 6 WRs in my 2WR/1Flex positions:
    Hopkins, Evans, Watkins (Landry, Hurns & Cooks)
    Any thoughts on my starting three?
    Thanks in advance.

    1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

      we don’t mind benching Julio for the likes of Hop, Evans and Watkins, but that’s about as far as we’ll go with fear over Norman. I don’t think Gronk is going to play so I’d roll out Kelce, but that’s not anything we (or anyone not named Belichick) has any inside info on. Would hate to drop Kelce in case Gronk is not back until Week 17 b/c you’ll still need him for two more weeks.

      1. ↓ Post By freebird

        Thanks Alex.

        1. ↓ Post By Alex Dunlap

          now with the news of Gronk possibly playing, it makes this harder. I think with Schefter saying it looks like he’ll be active, I might go with plan one.

          1. Post By freebird

            thanks

  4. ↓ Post By kidmiller

    Hey guys having some trouble deciding who to start in the flex this weekend.
    Standard League.

    Options are:
    Danny Amendola
    Spencer Ware
    Shaun Draughn

    Thanks for the advice

  5. ↓ Post By kidmiller

    Also I have Jeremy Maclin

  6. ↓ Post By DStandridge79

    Just seen that Sproles is starting for the Eagles. I currently have Gore in the flex. Do I make the swap and start Sproles now?

    .5 ppr is making me think so. But I also feel that Mathews will get the red zone / goal line work.

    1. ↓ Post By Dorian Colbert

      you’re right, it’s hard to say what mathews’ involvement will, but it could be considerable. The eagles are dressing all 4 backs, so i’d stick with the sure thing in gore.

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