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PRO Betting Picks Against the Spread: Value Index Tool – Week 12

The Value Index Algorithm (VIA) aka “The ALGO” is a time-tested, proprietary NFL betting tool that predicts scores with 58-62% historical accuracy. The predicted margin of victory is compared to las Vegas spreads to determine value in every NFL game. The model was created in 2015 and has never produced a losing season. In 2021, the algorithm was amongst the top 30% in the Circa Sports Million Contest with its worst performing year. The Value Index Algorithm derives from investment modeling techniques used by veteran investment industry professional “Can’t Miss Mitch”.

Gain access to the VIA’s picks for EVERY game of EACH week, along with helpful tools for sports betting, player props and more and by upgrading to a PREMIUM MEMBERSHIP.

 

Value Index Tool Week 12 by Can’t Miss Mitch

 

Chicago  @ New York Jets (-6.5) Sunday 1pm 

 

Chicago has been awful defensively, giving up a league leading worst 31 points/game their last 3 games while the Jets have been sensational only giving up 16.3 points/game. However the Bears offense is ranked top 5 this month averaging 28.7 points/game, that’s more than Bills and KC. Granted, that has been with Justin Fields under center who is looking more and more unlikely to play this week. New York has struggled on the offensive side of the ball, putting up 13.3 points/game the last 3 weeks.

 

Value Index Prediction: Chicago 24.39 – 14.33 New York

 

Pick: Chicago

 

Value: 16.55

 

*****

 

Houston @ Miami (-14) Sunday 1pm

 

The Dolphins are coming off a bye week as one of the league’s best offensive units. YTD they are ranked 6th, putting up 25 points/game, and over their last 3 they are averaging an impressive 35 points/game. Statistically, Houston stinks in just about every category. Defensively, the Texans are giving up 25 points/game this month. The Texans are just averaging 15.9 points/game YTD.

 

Value Index Prediction: Miami 31.59 – 16.41 Houston

 

Pick: Miami

 

Value: 1.17

 

******

Green Bay  @ Philadelphia (-6.5) SNF

 

The Packers are a top 10 offense, averaging 354 total yards/game over their last 3 games. However, their defensive unit almost mirror those stats giving up 361 yards/game in November. The Eagles have been statistically incredible on both sides of the ball, ranked 2nd YTD in limiting opponents to 300 yards/game and ranked 4th putting up 26.3 points/game. However, they are averaging 4 points less than thier season average over the last 3 games.

 

Value Index Prediction: Philadelphia 21.69 – 20.85 Green Bay

 

Pick: Green Bay

 

Value: 5.65

 

16 Comments

  1. ↓ Post By DJ

    Have a trade offer in play – Tagovailoa and Swift to me for K Murray and Kamara in PPR??? I have Etienne, Jacobs, Pollard, and Pacheco. Is the upgrade in QB worth the downgrade in losing Kamara? Both Murray and AK have byes in the next two weeks as well. Thanks!!!

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Tua and Swift side but it is close. good luck

  2. ↓ Post By Incognito

    If chase plays who would you sit. Metcalf or Aiyuk ?
    Thanks.

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Chase is out. Eas choice now good luck

  3. ↓ Post By R A

    Full PPR

    Pick 1: Garrett Wilson, London, Burks, Kyren

    Thanks!

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Burks has been coming on. He is the one

  4. ↓ Post By Uncle Jesse

    Need 2 WR/1 Flex: Curtis Samuel, Brandin Cooks, Treylon Burks, Samaje Perine, Van Jefferson.

    1. ↓ Post By Uncle Jesse

      PPR

    2. ↓ Post By Uncle Jesse

      Sorry 1 WR / 1 Flex PPR

    3. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      Burks and Cooks (QB change in Houston) Perine for the flex

  5. ↓ Post By Srogerss90@hotmail.com

    Hey full point PPR need a wr and 2 flex from the following

    Garrett Wilson
    Marquis Brown
    People’s Jones
    Pickens
    Van Jefferson
    Cam Akers
    Jerick McKinnon

    Also if Fields is out do I go with Brady Heinicke Mariota Brissett Ryan

    Thanks a win secures a playoff spot which is huge since I lost most of my draft picks to injury

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      HW Brown is back and should see a nice amount of downfield targets pair him with Gar. Wilson. Mike White should look for Wilson often

  6. ↓ Post By renourka

    PPR, need the best starter for my last flex spot since Mixon is out …

    C. Samuel vs. ATL
    London @ WAS
    DPJ vs TB
    Julio Jones @CLE

    Matchup tool and Trashman ranks say Samuel but rankings say Drake London?!

    1. ↓ Post By Alan Seslowsky

      London should get peppered with targets. Go for it

  7. ↓ Post By Incognito

    flex Q — fanduel has Sutton worth more Aiyuk — would you agree to with Sutton and Metcalf and leave Aiyuk on the bench. thanks

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