PRO Conference Championship DraftKings Flex Values Based on Vegas Player Props
Here is a tool you can use in your Divisional Round DFS research. It’s quickly become one of our most popular. We’ve aggregated all the open Championship Weekend NFL player props available to us to identify how Vegas sees the organic fantasy production occurring over the weekend.
Always remember, we talk about organic production at RosterWatch because touchdowns, while necessary to any player’s fantasy success, are unpredictable. By gathering the Las Vegas over/unders on receptions, rushing and receiving yards, we can compare the projected output to the DraftKings pricing along with our proprietary matchup data as a tool in gauging the value of players while setting our DraftKings lineups.
PLEASE NOTE:
– These are not RW official projections, but rather, an additional tool to aid our PRO members in decision making for DFS.
– This is not the RosterWatch DFS Cheat Sheet. The DFS Cheat Sheet will be available to PRO Members Friday afternoon or evening.
– In the “matchup” column, the rank of the defense among the 4 playing this weekend is listed with “1” being the best and “4” being the toughest versus the position in question. The color coding is the same as the matchup tool. If a matchup cell is blue, the unit is a Top 8 matchup among all 32 teams per RW’s proprietary matchup algorithm. If it is light blue, it is Top 12, white/no color indicates middle-of-the-road matchups, pink means the team would be in the 12 toughest among all 32 and red indicates the matchup being one of the 8 toughest in the whole NFL.
– The “Bonus” column is indicative of the three-point bonus received on DraftKings for rushing or receiving for 100 yards. Players with organic production projected by the bookmakers at 95.5 yards (rushing or receiving – not combined) or over receive three points, 89.5 to 94.5 receive 2.5 points, 80-89 receive two points, 69.5-79.5 receive one point. Any projection under 69.5 yards does not receive an expected bonus score.
– The “TD odds” column has been added to show what the Vegas odds are on a player scoring a touchdown represent by American moneyline. The Color-coding is the same as with matchups, with blues being good, whites being average and reds being bad.
